Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (394/448) | 86% (359/416) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (394/448) | 86% (359/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (19/29) | 61% (25/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (81/110) | 71% (50/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Deni Junior ⚽, Gleyson (A),
- 31', 2 - 0, Suengchitthawon T. ⚽,
- 37', Stewart H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Leandro Ribeiro ↓, Eisa M. ↑,
- 46', Gomis C. ↓, Kelvin ↑,
- 49', Doloh A. 🟨,
- 59', Stewart H. ↓, Meethoum A. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Angha M. ⚽, Davis B. (A),
- 68', Srisuwan K. ↓, Limwannasthian T. ↑,
- 68', Gleyson ↓, Kaewprom J. ↑,
- 81', Negueba ↓, Rakotoharimalala N. ↑,
- 90+1', Doloh A. ↓, Tann Sirimongkol ↑,
- 90+1', Davis B. ↓, Purisay S. ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 1, Tana ⚽, Rakotoharimalala N. (A),
- 90+8', Tana ↓, Promrak A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ratchaburi
54.6% | Draw
24.5% | Uthai Thani
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Uthai Thani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uthai Thani than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Ratchaburi - Uthai Thani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.74) |
3.69 ↓
(3.7) |
4.33 ↑
(4.15) |
10.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 9).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ratchaburi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Uthai Thani has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ratchaburi is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ratchaburi won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Ratchaburi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ratchaburi won against Uthai Thani?
Ratchaburi has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Uthai Thani won against Ratchaburi?
Uthai Thani has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ratchaburi - Uthai Thani were as follows:
26.10.2025
Uthai Thani
-
Ratchaburi
2:3
11.01.2025
Uthai Thani
-
Ratchaburi
1:2
17.08.2024
Uthai Thani
-
Ratchaburi
1:1
25.02.2024
Ratchaburi
-
Uthai Thani
1:0
24.09.2023
Uthai Thani
-
Ratchaburi
1:0
Latest results of Ratchaburi
Latest results of Uthai Thani
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 57:20 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Ratchaburi | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Port MTI FC | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42:19 | 23 | 40 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya Utd | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 29 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 28 |
| 9 | Chiangrai Utd | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Uthai Thani | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Chonburi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 25 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 22 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 29:39 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 22:44 | -22 | 16 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 15 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14:35 | -21 | 13 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
