Result
2:0
01/03/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 25
- Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (261/342) | 82% (403/489) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (261/342) | 82% (403/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (30/63) | 52% (29/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (49/86) | 74% (103/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 56% (14/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.96 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Cathline Y. ⚽,
- 25', Oufkir A. 🟨,
- 33', Owusu-Oduro R. 🟨,
- 35', 2 - 0, Stepanov A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mijnans S. ↓, Smit K. ↑,
- 46', Meerdink M. ↓, Parrott T. ↑,
- 46', Penetra ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
- 54', Oufkir A. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
- 76', Stepanov A. ↓, Min D. ↑,
- 76', Jensen I. ↓, Daal R. ↑,
- 77', Alarcon A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 81', Smit K. 🟨,
- 81', van der Hoorn M. 🟨,
- 83', Cathline Y. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 89', Zechiel G. ↓, Bozdogan C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Utrecht
41.7% | Draw
27.9% | AZ Alkmaar
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utrecht's performance.AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utrecht that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.56) |
3.39 ↑
(3.38) |
3.13 ↑
(2.54) |
5.4%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). AZ will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 33.3%). AZ (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 1.
- In recent matches, Utrecht has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- AZ is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Utrecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:37. (average 1.5:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against AZ Alkmaar?
Utrecht has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Utrecht?
AZ Alkmaar has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
26.10.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Utrecht
4:1
18.01.2025
Utrecht
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:0
29.09.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Utrecht
1:2
19.05.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Utrecht
3:3
03.12.2023
Utrecht
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:1
Latest results of Utrecht
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
