Result
26/10/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
58.5% | Draw
21.8% | Utrecht
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)The chances for Utrecht have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.6) |
4.36 ↑
(4.33) |
4.78 ↑
(4.75) |
5.2%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 0.
- In recent matches, AZ has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Utrecht has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, AZ is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 2.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Utrecht?
AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against AZ Alkmaar?
Utrecht has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht were as follows:
18.01.2025
Utrecht
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:0
29.09.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Utrecht
1:2
19.05.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Utrecht
3:3
03.12.2023
Utrecht
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:1
07.02.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Utrecht
1:2
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:6 | 19 | 25 |
| 2 | PSV | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27:12 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Groningen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Nijmegen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Twente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Sittard | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:22 | -9 | 13 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:18 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 | NAC Breda | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Volendam | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Heracles | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7:27 | -20 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
