Result
1:2
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 6, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | ESPN 3 |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | ESPN 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free |
Germany | RTL+ |
Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Max |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Macao | TDM TV |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport |
Norway | TV3+, Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+ |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 5 |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 14, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Turkey | Tabii Spor 1, Tabii |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (306/361) | 86% (420/489) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 2.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (306/361) | 86% (420/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 51% (23/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (28/48) | 71% (103/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 29% (2/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Douglas Luiz ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
- 46', McAtee J. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
- 47', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 1, Kalimuendo A. ⚽,
- 63', Didden M. ↓, van der Hoorn M. ↑,
- 65', Anderson E. 🟨,
- 69', Murillo ↓, Milenkovic N. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, van der Hoorn M. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
- 78', Dominguez N. ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
- 79', Cathline Y. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
- 80', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, Viergever N. ↑,
- 87', Kalimuendo A. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Igor Jesus ⚽,
- 89', Igor Jesus 🟨,
- 90', Zechiel G. 🟨,
- 90+2', Rodriguez M. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Utrecht 20.5% | Draw 25.2% | Nottingham Forest 54.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)The ML Model estimate for Utrecht aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Utrecht - Nottingham Forest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.65 ↑ (4.57) |
3.78 ↓ (3.88) |
1.76 ↑ (1.72) |
4.7% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Nottingham Forest?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Nottingham will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 61.5% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Utrecht (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Utrecht (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Utrecht (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Utrecht (3.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Nottingham (1.52) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH +0.5 - Utrecht (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Utrecht (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Utrecht (8.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nottingham Forest will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Nottingham (votes: 7 - 38.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nottingham is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Utrecht: Demircan E.
(Inactive)
Jenner I.
(Inactive)
Jensen V.
(Inactive)
Min D.
(Injury)
Ohio N.
(Inactive)
van den Berg D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Awoniyi T.
(Muscle Injury)
Bakwa D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Cunha
(Inactive)
Douglas Luiz
(Thigh Injury)
Gunn A.
(Knee Injury)
Hutchinson O.
(Inactive)
Wood Ch.
(Knee Injury)
Zinchenko O.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo
(Illness)
Yates R.
(Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Nottingham Forest?
Utrecht has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Utrecht?
Nottingham Forest has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
Latest results of Utrecht
Latest results of Nottingham Forest
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal