Utrecht vs Vitesse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/05/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 32
  • Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.992.02
Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
1520
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
65
Blocked Shots
310
Free Kicks
1015
Corner Kicks
47
Offsides
30
Throw-ins
1819
Goalkeeper Saves
55
Fouls
1510
Yellow Cards
03
Total Passes
293500
Completed Passes
229413
Tackles
1216
Attacks
7290
Dangerous Attacks
5653
Clearances Completed
2620

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', Boutrah A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Booth T. , Jensen V. ,
  • 46', Fraulo O. , Iqbal Z. ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Jensen V. , Toornstra J. (A),
  • 58', Tielemans M. 🟨,
  • 60', Tielemans M. , Meulensteen M. ,
  • 60', Mica Pinto , Cornelisse E. ,
  • 71', Boussaid O. , Lidberg I. ,
  • 75', van Ginkel M. , Buitink T. ,
  • 75', Boutrah A. , Hadj Moussa A. ,
  • 78', Hadj Moussa A. 🟨,
  • 80', Toornstra J. , Bozdogan C. ,
  • 85', ter Avest H. , Vesterlund N. ,
  • 86', Kozlowski K. , Domgjoni T. ,

Chances of winning


Utrecht
74.9%
Draw
15.7%
Vitesse
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.8% 21% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65% 20.6% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utrecht's performance.
  • Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitesse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utrecht that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitesse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Utrecht - Vitesse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.49)
    6.07
    (4.53)
    10.03
    (6.21)
    4.6%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Utrecht - Vitesse?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Vitesse will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 75.7%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • Vitesse is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 2.
    • Utrecht is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Vitesse is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Utrecht is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22-25.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Utrecht won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-9.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Vitesse were as follows:
    14.01.2024 Vitesse - Utrecht 0:0
    12.02.2023 Vitesse - Utrecht 2:0
    11.09.2022 Utrecht - Vitesse 1:0
    Latest results of Utrecht
    28.04.2024 Waalwijk - Utrecht 2:2
    14.04.2024 Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles 2:1
    07.04.2024 Heerenveen - Utrecht 2:3
    03.04.2024 Utrecht - Zwolle 5:1
    31.03.2024 Feyenoord - Utrecht 4:2
    Latest results of Vitesse
    28.04.2024 Vitesse - Fortuna Sittard 3:2
    13.04.2024 PSV Eindhoven - Vitesse 6:0
    07.04.2024 Vitesse - NEC Nijmegen 0:3
    02.04.2024 Vitesse - Sparta Rotterdam 1:4
    30.03.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Vitesse 2:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV28222478:374168
    2Feyenoord28165761:402153
    3Nijmegen28148669:472250
    4Ajax281212453:351848
    5Twente281211547:301747
    6AZ Alkmaar281261047:45242
    7Utrecht28118942:311141
    8Heerenveen28118949:46341
    9Sparta Rotterdam281251135:47-1241
    10Groningen281151240:37338
    11Sittard281051343:52-935
    12Zwolle28891138:53-1533
    13G.A. Eagles287111045:45032
    14Telstar28691338:46-827
    15FC Volendam28761530:48-1827
    16Excelsior28761529:47-1827
    17NAC Breda28581529:50-2123
    18Heracles28541933:70-3719

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie