Result
1:0
05/05/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 32
- Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Netherlands | ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.99 | 2.02 |
Ball Possession |
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38% | 62% |
Goal Attempts |
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15 | 20 |
Shots on Goal |
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6 | 5 |
Shots off Goal |
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6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 10 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 15 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 7 |
Offsides |
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3 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 19 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 5 |
Fouls |
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15 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 3 |
Total Passes |
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293 | 500 |
Completed Passes |
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229 | 413 |
Tackles |
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12 | 16 |
Attacks |
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72 | 90 |
Dangerous Attacks |
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56 | 53 |
Clearances Completed |
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26 | 20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Boutrah A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Booth T. ↓, Jensen V. ↑,
- 46', Fraulo O. ↓, Iqbal Z. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Jensen V. ⚽, Toornstra J. (A),
- 58', Tielemans M. 🟨,
- 60', Tielemans M. ↓, Meulensteen M. ↑,
- 60', Mica Pinto ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
- 71', Boussaid O. ↓, Lidberg I. ↑,
- 75', van Ginkel M. ↓, Buitink T. ↑,
- 75', Boutrah A. ↓, Hadj Moussa A. ↑,
- 78', Hadj Moussa A. 🟨,
- 80', Toornstra J. ↓, Bozdogan C. ↑,
- 85', ter Avest H. ↓, Vesterlund N. ↑,
- 86', Kozlowski K. ↓, Domgjoni T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Utrecht 74.9% | Draw 15.7% | Vitesse 9.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utrecht's performance.Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitesse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utrecht that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitesse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Utrecht - Vitesse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.28 ↓ (1.49) |
6.07 ↑ (4.53) |
10.03 ↑ (6.21) |
4.6% (5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Vitesse?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Vitesse will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 75.7% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- Vitesse is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 2.
- Utrecht is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Vitesse is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Utrecht is indisputable favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22-25.
- Including matches at home between the teams Utrecht won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Vitesse?
Utrecht has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Utrecht?
Vitesse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Vitesse were as follows:
14.01.2024
Vitesse
-
Utrecht
0:0
12.02.2023
Vitesse
-
Utrecht
2:0
11.09.2022
Utrecht
-
Vitesse
1:0
Latest results of Utrecht
Latest results of Vitesse
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Nijmegen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
2 | PSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 9 |
3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
4 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
5 | Utrecht | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 6 |
6 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
7 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
8 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
9 | FC Volendam | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Twente | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Groningen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
12 | NAC Breda | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
13 | G.A. Eagles | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
14 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
15 | Heerenveen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
16 | Telstar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
17 | Heracles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
18 | Excelsior | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie