Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (440/543) | 76% (341/446) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (440/543) | 76% (341/446) |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Juanma Delgado (A),
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Yamada H. ⚽, Arai H. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Kimoto Y. 🟨,
- 54', Slivka V. ↓, Hino S. ↑,
- 60', Matsumoto T. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
- 60', Juanma Delgado ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
- 62', Yamada H. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
- 62', Kimoto Y. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
- 67', Teruyama H. ↓, Kushibiki K. ↑,
- 74', Sakurai T. ↓, Matsumoto N. ↑,
- 74', Nishizawa K. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Yoneda S. (A),
- 90+5', Diego Pituca ↓, Yamada R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu
27% | Draw
29.3% | V-Varen Nagasaki
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Sagan Tosu - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.39 ↑
(3.3) |
3.14 ↓
(3.32) |
2.12 ↑
(2.12) |
8.4%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - V-Varen Nagasaki?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 25%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- V-Varen Nagasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tosu has had a series of away games.
- V-Varen Nagasaki might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against V-Varen Nagasaki?
Sagan Tosu has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Sagan Tosu?
V-Varen Nagasaki has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - V-Varen Nagasaki were as follows:
13.04.2025
V-Varen Nagasaki
-
Sagan Tosu
0:2
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mito | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 44:27 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Chiba | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:25 | 14 | 51 |
| 3 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 46:38 | 8 | 51 |
| 4 | Tokushima | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 28:15 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38:23 | 15 | 47 |
| 6 | Vegalta Sendai | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 32:26 | 6 | 47 |
| 7 | Iwata | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | Imabari | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 35:29 | 6 | 43 |
| 9 | Sagan Tosu | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 43 |
| 10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 40 |
| 11 | Kofu | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 29:27 | 2 | 38 |
| 12 | Iwaki | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 36 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 39:41 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Fujieda MYFC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:37 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Blaublitz | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Kumamoto | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 33:42 | -9 | 30 |
| 17 | Oita Trinita | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 29 |
| 18 | Toyama | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 19 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 28 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 20 | Ehime | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 25:50 | -25 | 17 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League
