Sagan Tosu vs V-Varen Nagasaki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu).

J2 League - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
15	6
Shots on target
5	6
Corner Kicks
8	5
Passes
81% (440/543)	76% (341/446)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Total shots
15	6
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
10	0
Corner Kicks
8	5
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
9	7
Passes
81% (440/543)	76% (341/446)
Fouls
6	8
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Juanma Delgado (A),
45+4', 1 - 1, Yamada H. ⚽, Arai H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Kimoto Y. 🟨,
54', Slivka V. ↓, Hino S. ↑,
60', Matsumoto T. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
60', Juanma Delgado ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
62', Yamada H. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
62', Kimoto Y. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
67', Teruyama H. ↓, Kushibiki K. ↑,
74', Sakurai T. ↓, Matsumoto N. ↑,
74', Nishizawa K. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Yoneda S. (A),
90+5', Diego Pituca ↓, Yamada R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Sagan Tosu
27%

Draw
29.3%

V-Varen Nagasaki
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

28%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

27.8%

44.2%

Sagan Tosu - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.3)	3.14 ↓ (3.32)	2.12 ↑ (2.12)	8.4% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - V-Varen Nagasaki?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 25%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
V-Varen Nagasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tosu has had a series of away games.
V-Varen Nagasaki might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against V-Varen Nagasaki?

Sagan Tosu has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Sagan Tosu?

V-Varen Nagasaki has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - V-Varen Nagasaki were as follows:

13.04.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Sagan Tosu 0:2

Latest results of Sagan Tosu

10.08.2025 Ehime - Sagan Tosu 0:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Consadole Sapporo - Sagan Tosu 1:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu 1:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita 2:1 ✺

05.07.2025 JEF United Chiba - Sagan Tosu 0:2 ✺

Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki

09.08.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Consadole Sapporo 2:1 ✺

02.08.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Vegalta Sendai 0:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Kashima Antlers - V-Varen Nagasaki 2:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Iwaki - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:1 ✺

05.07.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Oita Trinita 1:0 ✺

Japan J2 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mito	38	20	10	8	55:34	21	70
2	V-Varen Nagasaki	38	19	13	6	63:44	19	70
3	Chiba	38	20	9	9	56:34	22	69
4	Tokushima	38	18	11	9	45:24	21	65
5	Iwata	38	19	7	12	59:51	8	64
6	Omiya Ardija ✔	38	18	9	11	60:39	21	63
7	Vegalta Sendai	38	16	14	8	47:36	11	62
8	Sagan Tosu	38	16	10	12	46:43	3	58
9	Iwaki	38	15	11	12	55:44	11	56
10	Montedio Yamagata	38	15	8	15	58:54	4	53
11	Imabari	38	13	14	11	46:46	0	53
12	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	38	16	5	17	50:63	-13	53
13	Kofu	38	11	11	16	37:45	-8	44
14	Blaublitz	38	11	10	17	43:59	-16	43
15	Fujieda MYFC	38	9	12	17	41:50	-9	39
16	Oita Trinita	38	8	14	16	27:44	-17	38
17	Toyama	38	9	10	19	34:49	-15	37
18	Kumamoto	38	9	10	19	41:57	-16	37
19	Renofa Yamaguchi	38	7	15	16	36:47	-11	36
20	Ehime ✔	38	3	13	22	35:71	-36	22

      Promotion ~ J1 League
      Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
      Relegation ~ J3 League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Omiya Ardija is Qualified for J2 League (Promotion )
Ehime is Relegated to J3 League