V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League V-Varen Nagasaki - Sagan Tosu
Result
0:2
13/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
513
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
82% (570/697)79% (293/369)
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
513
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
310
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
119
Passes
82% (570/697)79% (293/369)
Fouls
712
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Kushibiki K. 🟨,
  • 30', Slivka V. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Yamada H. , Slivka V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Yamada R. , Kato M. ,
  • 60', Dudu Giusti , Arai I. ,
  • 60', Nagura T. , Sawada T. ,
  • 64', Matsuda E. , Uehara M. ,
  • 66', Juanma Delgado 🟨,
  • 73', 0 - 2, Yamada H. , Sakurai T. (A),
  • 76', Masuyama A. , Aoki S. ,
  • 76', Sakurai T. , Matsumoto N. ,
  • 76', Slivka V. , Hino S. ,
  • 76', Takahata K. , Yoneda S. ,
  • 78', Yamada H. 🟨,
  • 80', Arai H. , Imazu Y. ,
  • 80', Yamada H. , Shinkawa S. ,
  • 90+6', Yoneda S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


V-Varen Nagasaki
51%
Draw
25.8%
Sagan Tosu
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 22.6% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 21.6% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for V-Varen Nagasaki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • V-Varen Nagasaki - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.63)
    3.56
    (4)
    3.97
    (4.1)
    8.7%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki - Sagan Tosu?
  • Users Predictions: V-Varen Nagasaki will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 15).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Tosu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match V-Varen Nagasaki is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams V-Varen Nagasaki won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).
    Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito23146336:171948
    2Chiba23125633:211241
    3Vegalta Sendai23118428:21741
    4Sagan Tosu23116625:21439
    5Omiya Ardija23108532:211138
    6Tokushima23108523:131038
    7Iwata23115736:28838
    8V-Varen Nagasaki23108539:35438
    9Kofu2388723:20332
    10Imabari23710627:23431
    11Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo23941030:39-931
    12Oita Trinita2369820:23-327
    13Fujieda MYFC23761026:30-427
    14Iwaki2368928:32-426
    15Blaublitz23731328:42-1424
    16Montedio Yamagata23651231:35-423
    17Toyama23571119:27-822
    18Kumamoto23561226:36-1021
    19Renofa Yamaguchi233101019:28-919
    20Ehime232101123:40-1716

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League