Result
4:1
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.35 | 1.24 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 12.9% (4/31) | 6.67% (1/15) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 93.33% (14/15) | 87.1% (27/31) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 48 | 52 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (3 - 0)
- 04:55, 1 - 0, Nilsson O. (G), Jarvinen J. (A),
- 11:22, 2 - 0, Lipiainen V. (G), Nurmi P. (A), Riihinen P. (A2)
- 15:40, 3 - 0, Kostilainen S. (G), Sebok B. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 05:09, 4 - 0, Fabre D. (G),
- 06:04, Hakkila H. (2 min),
- 09:25, 4 - 1, Timonen S. (G), Valtanen J. (A), Levanen E. (A2)
- 18:09, Straka A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 05:19, Kostilainen S. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Ässät
69.6% | Draw
17.5% | Vaasan Sport
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ässät that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Ässät - Vaasan Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.43) |
5.24 ↑
(4.98) |
7.18 ↑
(6.01) |
7.2%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Ässät - Vaasan Sport?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ässät will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 4.
- Ässät is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vaasa is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ässät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ässät is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 50:43. (average 2.5:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 2.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Vaasan Sport?
Ässät has won 14 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against Ässät?
Vaasan Sport has won 8 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
30.12.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Ässät
2:1
17.10.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Ässät
1:2
08.10.2025
Ässät
-
Vaasan Sport
4:2
03.09.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Ässät
2:4
28.08.2025
Ässät
-
Vaasan Sport
2:1
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
