Result
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Chances of winning
Ässät
66.4% | Draw
18.4% | Vaasan Sport
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Ässät - Vaasan Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.43) |
5.06 ↑
(4.98) |
6.2 ↑
(6.01) |
7.6%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 4.
- Ässät is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vaasa is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ässät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ässät is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 50:43. (average 2.5:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 2.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Vaasan Sport?
Ässät has won 14 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against Ässät?
Vaasan Sport has won 8 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
30.12.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Ässät
2:1
17.10.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Ässät
1:2
08.10.2025
Ässät
-
Vaasan Sport
4:2
03.09.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Ässät
2:4
28.08.2025
Ässät
-
Vaasan Sport
2:1
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
