Ilves vs Vaasan Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
27/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.372.27
Shots on Goal
2723
Shots off target
167
Shooting PCT
18.52% (5/27)8.7% (2/23)
Blocked shots
77
Goalkeeper Saves
2122
Saves PCT
91.3% (21/23)81.48% (22/27)
Penalties
22
PIM
44
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (2/2)
Faceoffs Won
2722
Faceoffs %
55.144.9
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 1)
  • 04:33, Piipponen S. (2 min),
  • 07:12, 1 - 0, Looke J. (G), Kucerik R. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
  • 10:43, 2 - 0, Nyberg J. (G), Pelli A. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
  • 12:36, 2 - 1, Bertrand C. (G), Hakkila H. (A), Hunt B. (A2)
  • 19:25, 3 - 1, Mantykivi M. (G), Jasek L. (A),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:52, 3 - 2, Timonen S. (G), Hakkila H. (A), Harma M. (A2)
  • 07:32, 4 - 2, Mantykivi M. (G), Latvala O. (A), Looke J. (A2)
  • 09:05, Johansson S. (2 min),
  • 15:56, Hakkila H. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:29, Nattinen J. (2 min),
  • 15:32, 5 - 2, Engberg T. (G), Kucerik R. (A), Klingberg C. (A2)

Chances of winning


Ilves
79.5%
Draw
12.4%
Vaasan Sport
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.8% 14.3% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Ilves - Vaasan Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.17
    (1.25)
    7.39
    (6.5)
    11.63
    (8.59)
    7.9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4.
    • Recent performances by Ilves have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Vaasa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Vaasa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ilves is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 67:39. (average 3.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 3.2:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
    07.01.2026 Ilves - Vaasan Sport 3:2
    27.12.2025 Vaasan Sport - Ilves 1:4
    01.10.2025 Vaasan Sport - Ilves 0:2
    11.01.2025 Ilves - Vaasan Sport 2:1
    10.01.2025 Vaasan Sport - Ilves 4:3
    Latest results of Ilves
    24.01.2026 Mikkelin Jukurit - Ilves 2:3
    23.01.2026 Ilves - Tappara 2:6
    17.01.2026 Ilves - Ässät 5:1
    16.01.2026 Ässät - Ilves 2:1
    14.01.2026 Ilves - JYP 3:4
    Latest results of Vaasan Sport
    24.01.2026 Vaasan Sport - Pelicans 2:3
    21.01.2026 HIFK - Vaasan Sport 4:3
    17.01.2026 Vaasan Sport - Lukko 6:1
    16.01.2026 JYP - Vaasan Sport 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Tappara (1)Bye
    2Lukko (5)Hameenlinna (12)1 : 3
    3Ilves (4)Bye
    4KalPa (7)IFK Helsinki (10)3 : 2
    5KooKoo (2)Bye
    6JYP (6)Pelicans (11)0 : 3
    7SaiPa (3)Bye
    8Assat (8)Kiekko-Espoo (9)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tappara (1)Hameenlinna (12)1 : 1
    2Ilves (4)KalPa (7)2 : 0
    3KooKoo (2)Pelicans (11)1 : 1
    4SaiPa (3)Assat (8)1 : 1