Vaasan Sport vs Ilves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Vaasan Sport - Ilves
Result
0:2
01/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.722.92
Shots on Goal
2627
Shots off target
1011
Shooting PCT
0% (0/26)7.41% (2/27)
Blocked Shots
911
Goalkeeper Saves
2526
Saves PCT
96.15% (25/26)100% (26/26)
Penalties
63
PIM
126
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)16.67% (1/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
83.33% (5/6)100% (3/3)
Faceoffs Won
2117
Faceoffs %
55.2644.74
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 04:31, Borg E. (2 min),
  • 05:26, Stalberg S. (2 min),
  • 09:18, (2 min),
  • 17:44, Kerkkanen J. (2 min),
  • 20:00, Nieminen V. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 01:57, Piipponen S. (2 min),
  • 07:27, Claesson L. (2 min),
  • 10:10, Soini S. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 05:35, Piipponen S. (2 min),
  • 06:16, 0 - 1, Torok M. (G), Nyberg J. (A),
  • 19:36, 0 - 2, Henman L. (G),

Chances of winning


Vaasan Sport
34.9%
Draw
23.7%
Ilves
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 24.5% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 24.8% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Vaasan Sport - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.62)
    3.98
    (3.82)
    2.25
    (2.36)
    5.8%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
    What is the prediction for Vaasan Sport - Ilves?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Vaasa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 44:67. (average 2.2:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 2.4:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vaasan Sport - Ilves were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Ilves - Vaasan Sport 2:1
    10.01.2025 Vaasan Sport - Ilves 4:3
    31.10.2024 Vaasan Sport - Ilves 4:1
    01.10.2024 Ilves - Vaasan Sport 7:2
    17.02.2024 Vaasan Sport - Ilves 2:5
    Latest results of Vaasan Sport
    27.09.2025 Vaasan Sport - KooKoo 5:1
    19.09.2025 KooKoo - Vaasan Sport 2:6
    17.09.2025 Vaasan Sport - Kärpät 1:2
    13.09.2025 HPK - Vaasan Sport 4:1
    Latest results of Ilves
    27.09.2025 KalPa - Ilves 5:4
    26.09.2025 Ilves - Ässät 2:3
    24.09.2025 Ilves - JYP 1:5
    20.09.2025 Ilves - Lukko 6:3
    19.09.2025 Pelicans - Ilves 2:3
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat11800339:2324
    2JYP12800447:3624
    3SaiPa13621444:3523
    4KooKoo13620546:4122
    5Tappara12700539:2821
    6Kiekko-Espoo13603436:3521
    7Lukko13610635:3420
    8Jukurit13610634:3920
    9KalPa11431333:3419
    10TPS Turku12422429:2818
    11Hameenlinna12422432:3418
    12Karpat13501745:4516
    13Vaasan Sport13402734:4014
    14Pelicans12223523:3413
    15Ilves13311831:4512
    16IFK Helsinki12311725:4112

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