Result
5:2
27/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.37 | 2.27 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 18.52% (5/27) | 8.7% (2/23) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.3% (21/23) | 81.48% (22/27) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 55.1 | 44.9 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (3 - 1)
- 04:33, Piipponen S. (2 min),
- 07:12, 1 - 0, Looke J. (G), Kucerik R. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
- 10:43, 2 - 0, Nyberg J. (G), Pelli A. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
- 12:36, 2 - 1, Bertrand C. (G), Hakkila H. (A), Hunt B. (A2)
- 19:25, 3 - 1, Mantykivi M. (G), Jasek L. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 03:52, 3 - 2, Timonen S. (G), Hakkila H. (A), Harma M. (A2)
- 07:32, 4 - 2, Mantykivi M. (G), Latvala O. (A), Looke J. (A2)
- 09:05, Johansson S. (2 min),
- 15:56, Hakkila H. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:29, Nattinen J. (2 min),
- 15:32, 5 - 2, Engberg T. (G), Kucerik R. (A), Klingberg C. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ilves
79.5% | Draw
12.4% | Vaasan Sport
8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Ilves - Vaasan Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.17 ↓
(1.25) |
7.39 ↑
(6.5) |
11.63 ↑
(8.59) |
7.9%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4.
- Recent performances by Ilves have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vaasa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vaasa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ilves is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 67:39. (average 3.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 3.2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Vaasan Sport?
Ilves has won 14 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against Ilves?
Vaasan Sport has won 5 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
07.01.2026
Ilves
-
Vaasan Sport
3:2
27.12.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Ilves
1:4
01.10.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Ilves
0:2
11.01.2025
Ilves
-
Vaasan Sport
2:1
10.01.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Ilves
4:3
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
