Result
2:1
11/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 2.95 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 4.17% (1/24) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.8% (23/24) | 90% (18/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 14 | 35 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 14.29% (1/7) | 0% (0/7) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 85.71% (6/7) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 41.18 | 58.82 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 02:09, Latvala O. (2 min),
- 09:41, Nattinen J. (2 min),
- 14:15, 1 - 0, Gazda D. (G), Kononen J. (A), Nyberg J. (A2)
- 14:38, Hietanen V. (2 min),
- 17:24, Hjalmarsson S. (2 min),
- 18:06, 1 - 1, Heikkinen L. (G), Leppanen A. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 04:42, Straka A. (5 min),
- 04:55, Hietanen V. (2 min),
- 06:03, 2 - 1, Mantykivi M. (G), Suomi E. (A), Looke J. (A2)
- 08:31, Mantykivi M. (2 min),
- 13:57, Suomi E. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 08:19, Latvala O. (2 min),
- 09:20, Leppanen A. (2 min),
- 10:59, Suomi E. (2 min),
- 13:32, Johnsson T. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Ilves
57.5% | Draw
20.9% | Vaasan Sport
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+2%)
Ilves - Vaasan Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.74) |
4.55 ↑
(4.25) |
4.4 ↑
(3.85) |
6.1%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilves won 2.
- Recent matches Ilves is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Vaasa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Vaasa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Ilves is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ilves won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 67:46 (average 3.4:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ilves won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28:19 (average 3.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Vaasan Sport?
Ilves has won 10 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against Ilves?
Vaasan Sport has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
10.01.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Ilves
4:3
31.10.2024
Vaasan Sport
-
Ilves
4:1
01.10.2024
Ilves
-
Vaasan Sport
7:2
17.02.2024
Vaasan Sport
-
Ilves
2:5
27.01.2024
Ilves
-
Vaasan Sport
0:2
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
