Result
4:3
09/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.59 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 21.05% (4/19) | 15% (3/20) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85% (17/20) | 78.95% (15/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 61.82 | 38.18 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 03:59, Valtanen J. (2 min),
- 04:37, 1 - 0, Borchardt C. (G), Rissanen J. (A), Lappalainen L. (A2)
- 10:33, 1 - 1, Harma M. (G), Tiihonen M. (A),
- 16:11, Westerlund F. (2 min),
- 19:09, 1 - 2, Tiihonen M. (G), Hietanen V. (A), Granath P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 10:30, Immonen V. (2 min),
- 10:54, 2 - 2, Borchardt C. (G), Rissanen J. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:56, Okany A. (2 min),
- 04:36, 3 - 2, Mykra O. (G), Lantta J. (A),
- 05:24, Aarnio A. (2 min),
- 08:14, 4 - 2, Mykra O. (G), Tornberg A. (A), Kombe K. (A2)
- 10:45, 4 - 3, Tiihonen M. (G), Claesson L. (A), Johnsson T. (A2)
Chances of winning
KalPa
72.5% | Draw
15.2% | Vaasan Sport
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
KalPa - Vaasan Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.41) |
6.1 ↑
(5.29) |
7.71 ↑
(6.29) |
7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for KalPa - Vaasan Sport?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. KalPa will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. KalPa (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - KalPa (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5, OT - KalPa (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. KalPa (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 5.
- Recent performances by KalPa have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vaasa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, KalPa is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that KalPa will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 67:48. (average 3.4:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:19. (average 3.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Vaasan Sport?
KalPa has won 12 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against KalPa?
Vaasan Sport has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
04.12.2025
KalPa
-
Vaasan Sport
5:3
29.11.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
KalPa
2:5
15.02.2025
KalPa
-
Vaasan Sport
4:1
11.02.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
KalPa
2:3
13.11.2024
KalPa
-
Vaasan Sport
7:3
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 45 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 169:110 | 91 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 45 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 151:128 | 80 |
| 3 | JYP | 42 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 147:121 | 79 |
| 4 | Lukko | 44 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 138:118 | 76 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 42 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 150:108 | 75 |
| 6 | Ilves | 44 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 139:116 | 75 |
| 7 | KalPa | 43 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 129:128 | 74 |
| 8 | Assat | 44 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 124:117 | 72 |
| 9 | IFK Helsinki | 45 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 108:148 | 60 |
| 10 | Kiekko-Espoo | 45 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 112:133 | 58 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 45 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 107:123 | 58 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 42 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 86:107 | 56 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 42 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 100:114 | 54 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 44 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 104:124 | 53 |
| 15 | Karpat | 44 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 133:147 | 51 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 44 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 93:148 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
