Result
1:6
04/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 3.39 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 12.5% (1/8) | 28.57% (6/21) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 71.43% (15/21) | 87.5% (7/8) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (0/0) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 57.5 | 42.5 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 04:11, 0 - 1, Klemetti A. (G), Soderlund T. (A), Ruotsalainen V. (A2)
- 07:29, 0 - 2, Saarelainen J. (G), Ruotsalainen V. (A), Soderlund T. (A2)
- 13:04, 0 - 3, Mykra O. (G), Timofejev D. (A), Gallet H. (A2)
- 17:13, 1 - 3, Levanen E. (G), Tiihonen M. (A), Valtanen J. (A2)
- 18:45, Hult O. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 3)
- 03:25, 1 - 4, Soderlund T. (G), Klemetti A. (A), Westerlund F. (A2)
- 05:39, 1 - 5, Kombe K. (G), Borchardt C. (A),
- 16:02, 1 - 6, Ketola J. (G), Saarelainen J. (A), Kanak L. (A2)
Chances of winning
Vaasan Sport
16.5% | Draw
19% | KalPa
64.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Vaasan Sport - KalPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.73 ↓
(5.87) |
4.87 ↑
(4.71) |
1.45
(1.45) |
7.1%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 0.
- Vaasa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- KalPa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, KalPa is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 47:68. (average 2.4:3.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 2.8:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against KalPa?
Vaasan Sport has won 4 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Vaasan Sport?
KalPa has won 13 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vaasan Sport - KalPa were as follows:
09.01.2026
KalPa
-
Vaasan Sport
4:3
04.12.2025
KalPa
-
Vaasan Sport
5:3
29.11.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
KalPa
2:5
15.02.2025
KalPa
-
Vaasan Sport
4:1
11.02.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
KalPa
2:3
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
