Result
5:3
04/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | MTV Katsomo+, Viaplay 1 Urheilu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.93 | 2.33 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 21.74% (5/23) | 20% (3/15) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 81.82% (18/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 47.06 | 52.94 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 03:50, 0 - 1, Sundstrom J. (G), Stalberg S. (A), Hunt B. (A2)
- 19:24, 1 - 1, Hartikainen T. (G), Ketola J. (A), Korhonen B. (A2)
- 2nd Period (3 - 0)
- 00:12, Hult O. (2 min),
- 03:03, Gallet H. (2 min),
- 06:55, 2 - 1, Maenpaa J. (G), Hartikainen T. (A), Mononen V. (A2)
- 07:41, 3 - 1, Klemetti A. (G), Saarelainen J. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
- 12:31, 4 - 1, Maenpaa J. (G), Okany A. (A), Karlsson A. (A2)
- 13:17, Saarelainen J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 01:26, Claesson L. (2 min),
- 06:28, 4 - 2, Nieminen V. (G), Harma M. (A), Levanen E. (A2)
- 10:34, Stalberg S. (2 min),
- 15:18, Korhonen B. (2 min),
- 16:43, 5 - 2, Kononen J. (G), Kanak L. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
- 17:05, 5 - 3, Nieminen V. (G), Koivisto M. (A), Miketinac K. (A2)
Chances of winning
KalPa 52% | Draw 22.7% | Vaasan Sport 25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
KalPa - Vaasan Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↑ (1.71) |
4.05 ↓ (4.25) |
3.67 ↓ (4.08) |
7.4% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for KalPa - Vaasan Sport?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. KalPa (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
KalPa will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 5.
- Recent performances by KalPa have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vaasa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vaasa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, KalPa is the team to beat.
- We predict that KalPa will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 63:48. (average 3.2:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:16. (average 3.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Vaasan Sport?
KalPa has won 11 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against KalPa?
Vaasan Sport has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
29.11.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
KalPa
2:5
15.02.2025
KalPa
-
Vaasan Sport
4:1
11.02.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
KalPa
2:3
13.11.2024
KalPa
-
Vaasan Sport
7:3
05.10.2024
Vaasan Sport
-
KalPa
2:4
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 29 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 101:68 | 57 |
| 2 | Assat | 29 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 91:64 | 55 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 28 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 102:76 | 53 |
| 4 | JYP | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 101:78 | 51 |
| 5 | Lukko | 28 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 81:72 | 49 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 28 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 93:75 | 47 |
| 7 | Kiekko-Espoo | 30 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 79:88 | 44 |
| 8 | KalPa | 27 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 87:88 | 43 |
| 9 | TPS Turku | 30 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 69:76 | 40 |
| 10 | Jukurit | 30 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 68:82 | 39 |
| 11 | Ilves | 27 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 76:85 | 38 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 30 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 61:97 | 36 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 28 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 68:78 | 35 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 27 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 53:67 | 35 |
| 15 | Karpat | 29 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 89:99 | 32 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 26 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 60:86 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)