Result
4:3
09/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.59 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 21.05% (4/19) | 15% (3/20) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85% (17/20) | 78.95% (15/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 61.82 | 38.18 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 03:59, Valtanen J. (2 min),
- 04:37, 1 - 0, Borchardt C. (G), Rissanen J. (A), Lappalainen L. (A2)
- 10:33, 1 - 1, Harma M. (G), Tiihonen M. (A),
- 16:11, Westerlund F. (2 min),
- 19:09, 1 - 2, Tiihonen M. (G), Hietanen V. (A), Granath P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 10:30, Immonen V. (2 min),
- 10:54, 2 - 2, Borchardt C. (G), Rissanen J. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:56, Okany A. (2 min),
- 04:36, 3 - 2, Mykra O. (G), Lantta J. (A),
- 05:24, Aarnio A. (2 min),
- 08:14, 4 - 2, Mykra O. (G), Tornberg A. (A), Kombe K. (A2)
- 10:45, 4 - 3, Tiihonen M. (G), Claesson L. (A), Johnsson T. (A2)
Chances of winning
KalPa
72.5% | Draw
15.2% | Vaasan Sport
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KalPa's performance.Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KalPa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
KalPa - Vaasan Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.41) |
6.1 ↑
(5.29) |
7.71 ↑
(6.29) |
7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for KalPa - Vaasan Sport?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. KalPa will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - KalPa (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5, OT - KalPa (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KalPa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. KalPa (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 5.
- Recent performances by KalPa have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vaasa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, KalPa is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that KalPa will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 67:48. (average 3.4:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:19. (average 3.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Vaasan Sport?
KalPa has won 12 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against KalPa?
Vaasan Sport has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
04.12.2025
KalPa
-
Vaasan Sport
5:3
29.11.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
KalPa
2:5
15.02.2025
KalPa
-
Vaasan Sport
4:1
11.02.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
KalPa
2:3
13.11.2024
KalPa
-
Vaasan Sport
7:3
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
