Result
2:0
13/03/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 26
- Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (167/265) | 85% (533/628) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (167/265) | 85% (533/628) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (27/69) | 55% (33/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (42/78) | 61% (97/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 81% (17/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Vladi S. ⚽, Fazliu V. (A),
- 11', 2 - 0, Filet E. ⚽, Fazliu V. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Berisha L. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
- 54', Campos A. ↓, Akinola A. ↑,
- 60', Vladi S. ↓, Afriyie D. ↑,
- 70', Dantas Fernandes R. ↓, Beyer B. ↑,
- 77', Frokaj L. ↓, Jackle O. ↑,
- 77', Filet E. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
- 81', Gasser C. ↓, Hammerich M. ↑,
- 81', Seiler S. ↓, Monsberger M. ↑,
- 89', Fazliu V. ↓, Derbaci D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aarau
42.2% | Draw
25.1% | Vaduz
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Vaduz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Aarau - Vaduz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.25) |
3.67 ↑
(3.5) |
2.82 ↑
(2.38) |
8.6%
(15%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Aarau - Vaduz?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Aarau will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Vaduz will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarau: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aarau (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 2.
- In recent matches, Aarau has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vaduz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vaduz: Eberhard M.
(Inactive)
Hasler N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Vaduz?
Aarau has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaduz won against Aarau?
Vaduz has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aarau - Vaduz were as follows:
19.12.2025
Vaduz
-
Aarau
3:2
13.09.2025
Aarau
-
Vaduz
1:0
18.04.2025
Aarau
-
Vaduz
2:2
23.02.2025
Vaduz
-
Aarau
0:1
05.10.2024
Aarau
-
Vaduz
0:0
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 53:27 | 26 | 59 |
| 2 | Aarau | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 53:33 | 20 | 59 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49:32 | 17 | 47 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Xamax | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36:36 | 0 | 36 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
| 7 | Wil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:38 | -15 | 27 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 28:39 | -11 | 25 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 25:33 | -8 | 24 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 23:51 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
