Result
3:1
12/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (224/312) | 79% (374/473) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (224/312) | 79% (374/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (29/69) | 46% (31/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (85/137) | 58% (59/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Nkama J. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Mihajlovic D. ⚽, Souza Espana C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gasser C. ↓, Emini L. ↑,
- 46', Deme M. ↓, Kaio Eduardo ↑,
- 50', Krauchi A. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 0, Nivokazi R. ⚽, L'Ghoul N. (A),
- 59', 3 - 0, Sutter N. ⚽, Souza Espana C. (A),
- 59', Souza Espana C. ↓, Chacon T. ↑,
- 60', Krauchi A. ↓, Wieser S. ↑,
- 60', Cavegn F. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
- 60', Dantas Fernandes R. ↓, Eberhard M. ↑,
- 63', Wieser S. 🟨,
- 70', Krasniqi J. 🟨,
- 75', 3 - 1, Kaio Eduardo ⚽, Hasler N. (A),
- 79', Lusuena N. ↓, Lymann F. ↑,
- 79', Nkama J. ↓, Matondo H. ↑,
- 79', Krasniqi J. ↓, Gorga S. ↑,
- 83', Mihajlovic D. 🟨,
- 85', L'Ghoul N. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
- 90+4', Chacon T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bellinzona
43.8% | Draw
27% | Vaduz
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Vaduz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (-2%)
Bellinzona - Vaduz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(2.01) |
3.41 ↓
(3.48) |
3.15 ↓
(3.4) |
8.7%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bellinzona - Vaduz?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Bellinzona will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Vaduz will win (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vaduz (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bellinzona won 0.
- Bellinzona has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Vaduz is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Bellinzona will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Bellinzona: Chukwuemeka C.
(Injury)
Diarra I.
(Injury)
Perrault T.
(Red Card)
Sorensen A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vaduz: De Donno J.
(Injury)
Mertens J.
(Inactive)
Onyegbule A.
(Injury)
Schwizer D.
(Injury)
Simani D.
(Yellow Cards)
Weber S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bellinzona: Sangare M.
(Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Bellinzona won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16:26 (average 1.2:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bellinzona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:13 (average 0.7:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Vaduz?
Bellinzona has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaduz won against Bellinzona?
Vaduz has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bellinzona - Vaduz were as follows:
16.03.2025
Vaduz
-
Bellinzona
2:0
08.12.2024
Bellinzona
-
Vaduz
1:2
29.09.2024
Vaduz
-
Bellinzona
2:1
20.05.2024
Vaduz
-
Bellinzona
2:2
28.02.2024
Bellinzona
-
Vaduz
0:1
Latest results of Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bellinzona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Xamax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Etoile-Carouge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Stade Nyonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Aarau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Vaduz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Yverdon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rapperswil-Jona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lausanne Ouchy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
