Vaduz vs Bellinzona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.380.81
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
54
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
75
Passes
80% (349/438)83% (400/483)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.380.81
xG on target (xGOT)
2.160.92
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
48
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
95
Shots outside the box
411
Hit the woodwork
02
Headed goals
10
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1515
Passes
80% (349/438)83% (400/483)
Long passes
34% (20/59)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
66% (79/119)72% (99/138)
Crosses
35% (6/17)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.661.20
Throw ins
1319
Fouls
1515
Tackles
33% (7/21)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5953
Clearances
3517
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.922.16
Goals prevented
-1.08-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Monsberger M. , Schwizer D. (A),
  • 11', 2 - 0, Monsberger M. , Simani D. (A),
  • 39', Fetahu E. , Lopez B. ,
  • 40', Bomo J. 🟨,
  • 44', 3 - 0, Beyer B. , Monsberger M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Simani D. 🟨,
  • 48', Lopez B. 🟨,
  • 56', Dantas Fernandes R. , Cocic M. ,
  • 60', 3 - 1, Lymann F. , Vogt W. (A),
  • 64', Seiler S. , Gasser C. ,
  • 65', Schwizer D. , Sawadogo M. ,
  • 65', Simani D. 🟨,
  • 66', Rey A. , Moulin P. ,
  • 66', Bomo J. , Ayala D. ,
  • 68', 3 - 2, Vogt W. , Trapero (A),
  • 69', Vogt W. 🟨,
  • 72', Monsberger M. , Hasler A. ,
  • 72', Beyer B. , Campos A. ,
  • 85', Vogt W. , Kury J. ,
  • 85', Lymann F. , Mayorga J. ,
  • 90+1', Kury J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vaduz
72.4%
Draw
16.8%
Bellinzona
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 18.7% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 17.8% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vaduz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Vaduz - Bellinzona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.37)
    5.49
    (4.93)
    8.47
    (6.7)
    8.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Vaduz - Bellinzona?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vaduz will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vaduz: 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vaduz (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaduz won 4.
    • Vaduz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bellinzona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bellinzona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Vaduz has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Vaduz is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Vaduz: Berisha L. (Broken rib) Eberhard M. (Injury) Lang N. (Yellow Cards) Oehri T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bellinzona: Dermaku D. (Knee Injury) Mihajlovic D. (Inactive) Muci A. (Inactive) Osigwe S. (Injury) Sadiku A. (Injury) Shabani M. (Injury) Shala L. (Inactive) Sorensen A. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Vaduz won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 2.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vaduz won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 2.4:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vaduz - Bellinzona were as follows:
    13.02.2026 Bellinzona - Vaduz 0:2
    21.11.2025 Bellinzona - Vaduz 0:1
    22.08.2025 Vaduz - Bellinzona 6:0
    12.04.2025 Bellinzona - Vaduz 3:1
    16.03.2025 Vaduz - Bellinzona 2:0
    Latest results of Vaduz
    03.04.2026 Neuchâtel Xamax - Vaduz 1:3
    26.03.2026 Basel - Vaduz 2:5
    20.03.2026 Vaduz - Yverdon 2:1
    13.03.2026 Aarau - Vaduz 2:0
    06.03.2026 Rapperswil-Jona - Vaduz 0:0
    Latest results of Bellinzona
    03.04.2026 Yverdon - Bellinzona 5:2
    07.03.2026 Wil 1900 - Bellinzona 3:3
    27.02.2026 Bellinzona - Yverdon 0:4
    Swiss Challenge League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vaduz30215462:332968
    2Aarau29212660:402065
    3Yverdon30175861:382356
    4Lausanne Ouchy301171247:41640
    5Xamax301161343:46-339
    6Etoile-Carouge30891335:42-733
    7Wil29891231:43-1233
    8Rapperswil-Jona291021738:50-1232
    9Stade Nyonnais305131229:42-1328
    10Bellinzona29461929:60-3118

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