Celta de Vigo vs Valencia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
03/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 18
  • Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 3
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 5, S Sport, S Sport+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.641.72
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
86% (338/394)90% (515/575)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.641.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.931.63
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2428
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
910
Passes
86% (338/394)90% (515/575)
Long passes
52% (23/44)33% (11/33)
Passes in final third
62% (58/94)84% (116/138)
Crosses
57% (4/7)36% (9/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.18
Throw-ins
1714
Fouls
109
Tackles
50% (6/12)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3741
Clearances
2313
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.632.93
Goals prevented
0.63-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Pepelu (Penalty Awarded),
  • 28', Swedberg W. , Duran P. ,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Iglesias B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 54', Duro H. 🟨,
  • 57', Correia T. , Rioja L. ,
  • 57', Beltran L. , Ramazani L. ,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Iglesias B. , Duran P. (A),
  • 62', Ramazani L. 🟨,
  • 66', Guerra J. , Danjuma A. ,
  • 66', Foulquier D. , Tarrega C. ,
  • 67', Zaragoza B. , Alvarez H. ,
  • 67', Iglesias B. , El Abdellaoui J. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Pepelu ,
  • 75', Copete J. 🟨,
  • 79', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 81', Copete J. , Lopez D. ,
  • 81', Rodriguez J. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 81', Duran P. , Aspas I. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, El Abdellaoui J. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 1, Alvarez H. , Aspas I. (A),

Chances of winning


Celta de Vigo
47.6%
Draw
28.5%
Valencia
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 25.7% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 25.9% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Celta de Vigo - Valencia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.86)
    3.35
    (3.7)
    3.98
    (4.11)
    5%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo - Valencia?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). Valencia will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 51.9%83.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Celta (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Valencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Celta is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Celta: Dominguez C. (Groin Injury) Ristic M. (Muscle Injury) Rodriguez D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Valencia: Comert E. (Illness) Dimitrievski S. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Valencia: Tarrega C. (Knee Injury) Ugrinic F. (Illness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celta won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Celta de Vigo - Valencia were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Valencia - Celta de Vigo 2:1
    23.08.2024 Celta de Vigo - Valencia 3:1
    26.05.2024 Celta de Vigo - Valencia 2:2
    17.01.2024 Valencia - Celta de Vigo 1:3
    25.11.2023 Valencia - Celta de Vigo 0:0
    Latest results of Celta de Vigo
    Latest results of Valencia
    19.12.2025 Valencia - Mallorca 1:1
    07.12.2025 Valencia - Sevilla 1:1
    04.12.2025 Cartagena - Valencia 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona25201467:254261
    2Real Madrid25193354:213360
    3Villarreal25163647:272051
    4Atl. Madrid25146542:231948
    5Betis25119540:301042
    6Celta Vigo25910634:27737
    7Espanyol251051031:37-635
    8Ath Bilbao251041129:35-634
    9Osasuna25961030:29133
    10Real Sociedad2588937:38-132
    11Girona2579926:40-1430
    12Sevilla25851232:39-729
    13Getafe25851220:29-929
    14Alaves25761223:32-927
    15Rayo Vallecano24681022:31-926
    16Valencia25681126:39-1326
    17Elche255101032:37-525
    18Mallorca25661329:41-1224
    19Levante25461526:44-1818
    20Oviedo24381316:39-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2