Result
3:2
13/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 21
- Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Serbia | Sportklub |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (419/508) | 70% (215/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (419/508) | 70% (215/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/52) | 40% (29/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (145/195) | 55% (54/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (11/27) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 3.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Thorvaldsen F. ⚽,
- 9', Thorvaldsen F. 🟨,
- 14', 1 - 1, Mathisen U. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 2, Sorensen E. ⚽,
- 53', Knudsen F. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 2, Myhre F. ⚽, Pedersen T. (A),
- 60', Gudmundsson E. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
- 60', Pedersen T. ↓, De Roeve D. ↑,
- 61', Mathisen U. ↓, Holm N. ↑,
- 61', Hedenstad V. ↓, Sjatil H. ↑,
- 66', 3 - 2, Magnusson S. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
- 68', Magnusson S. 🟨,
- 69', Sorensen J. 🟨,
- 72', Holm N. 🟨,
- 73', Ambina F. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
- 73', Ofkir M. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
- 79', Lange C. ↓, Sjovold S. ↑,
- 79', Nasberg I. ↓, Tshiembe K. ↑,
- 79', Soltvedt J. ↓, Dragsnes V. ↑,
- 90', Tshiembe K. 🟨,
- 90+3', Magnusson S. ↓, Sande M. ↑,
- 90+3', Bjordal H. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Brann
59.6% | Draw
21.9% | Vålerenga
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brann than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Brann - Vålerenga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.7) |
4.3 ↓
(4.45) |
5.11 ↑
(4.71) |
5.2%
(2.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Brann - Vålerenga?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Brann (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Brann will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brann won 4.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, Brann is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Brann: Opsahl S.
(Foot Injury)
Sery Larsen J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O.
(Knee Injury)
Grundetjern M.
(Foot Injury)
Nasberg I.
(Injury)
Vinicius Nogueira
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brann won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brann won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Brann won against Vålerenga?
Brann has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vålerenga won against Brann?
Vålerenga has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brann - Vålerenga were as follows:
03.05.2025
Vålerenga
-
Brann
2:4
22.03.2025
Brann
-
Vålerenga
2:1
27.02.2024
Vålerenga
-
Brann
0:3
08.10.2023
Vålerenga
-
Brann
1:2
12.07.2023
Vålerenga
-
Brann
3:2
Latest results of Vålerenga
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 58:19 | 39 | 48 |
| 2 | Viking | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 51:29 | 22 | 46 |
| 3 | Brann | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 38:30 | 8 | 40 |
| 4 | Tromso | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 33 |
| 6 | Fredrikstad | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 30 |
| 7 | Valerenga | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 36:35 | 1 | 30 |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 37:30 | 7 | 28 |
| 9 | KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 33:26 | 7 | 28 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 28 |
| 11 | Molde | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:42 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | HamKam | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23:36 | -13 | 21 |
| 14 | Bryne | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 25:37 | -12 | 20 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 21 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 16 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12:54 | -42 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
