Result
4:0
17/08/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 18
- Referee: Stofringshaug M. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Norway | TV2, TV2 Play |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (357/437) | 82% (365/443) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (357/437) | 82% (365/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/61) | 39% (16/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (132/180) | 74% (89/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 100% (3/3) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 2.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', Wichne E. ↓, Reinhardsen P. ↑,
- 18', 1 - 0, Sorensen E. ⚽, Bjordal H. (A),
- 42', 2 - 0, Sorensen E. ⚽, Ofkir M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Job D. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
- 46', Tangen H. ↓, Bruseth H. ↑,
- 46', Koch M. 🟨,
- 50', Ambina F. 🟨,
- 71', Hedenstad V. ↓, Sjatil H. ↑,
- 71', Sorensen E. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
- 72', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Berget J. ↑,
- 74', Odegaard M. 🟨,
- 75', 3 - 0, Vinicius Nogueira ⚽,
- 77', 4 - 0, Ofkir M. ⚽, Bjordal H. (A),
- 78', Lange C. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
- 78', Vinicius Nogueira ↓, Pallas N. ↑,
- 78', Hiim A. ↓, Skuseth N. ↑,
- 80', Grundetjern M. ↓, Thorvaldsen F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vålerenga
63% | Draw
20.5% | Sarpsborg 08
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vålerenga's performance.Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarpsborg 08 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-15.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vålerenga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarpsborg 08 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(2.05) |
5.53 ↑
(4) |
7.06 ↑
(3.05) |
-10.7%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08?
Users Predictions:
Vålerenga will win
(36 of 41 users predict this - 87.8%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.78% – 97.82%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vålerenga will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 2.
- Recent performances by Vålerenga have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sarpsborg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Vålerenga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vålerenga might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F.
(Thigh Injury)
Ndiaye M.
(Red Card)
Sher A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vålerenga: Lange C.
(Injury)
Tshiembe K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Jeahze M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vålerenga won against Sarpsborg 08?
Vålerenga has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Vålerenga?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
06.04.2025
Sarpsborg 08
-
Vålerenga
1:1
01.02.2025
Vålerenga
-
Sarpsborg 08
1:0
09.03.2024
Vålerenga
-
Sarpsborg 08
5:3
05.11.2023
Sarpsborg 08
-
Vålerenga
3:2
16.04.2023
Vålerenga
-
Sarpsborg 08
0:2
Latest results of Vålerenga
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59:20 | 39 | 49 |
| 2 | Viking | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 52:29 | 23 | 49 |
| 3 | Brann | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 41:30 | 11 | 43 |
| 4 | Tromso | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 35:27 | 8 | 42 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Valerenga | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 37:36 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 29 |
| 9 | Sandefjord | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37:33 | 4 | 28 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 28 |
| 11 | Molde | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:42 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Bryne | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:38 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 | HamKam | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23:37 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12:56 | -44 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
