Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 2
- Referee: Lien M. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Norway | TV2 Play |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.60 | 0.83 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
84% (457/547) | 83% (313/379) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.60 | 0.83 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.96 | 0.57 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
47 | 11 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
84% (457/547) | 83% (313/379) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (30/61) | 57% (27/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (174/225) | 81% (111/137) |
Crosses |
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31% (11/35) | 24% (6/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
3.04 | 0.92 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (9/11) | 61% (14/23) |
Duels won |
---|
35 | 59 |
Clearances Total |
---|
18 | 47 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 16 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.57 | 0.96 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.43 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Hedenstad V. ↓, Vinicius Nogueira ↑,
- 23', Sorensen E. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Riisnaes M. ⚽, Bjordal H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Berget J. ↓, Carstensen F. ↑,
- 63', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Sandberg N. ↑,
- 66', Christiansen S. 🟨,
- 66', Sorensen E. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Carstensen F. ⚽, Sandberg N. (A),
- 78', Brajanac M. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
- 78', Riisnaes M. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
- 78', Vinicius Nogueira ↓, Tshiembe K. ↑,
- 81', Tangen H. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
- 90', Sandberg N. 🟨,
- 90+3', Karlsbakk D. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sarpsborg 08 42.2% | Draw 26.8% | Vålerenga 31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↑ (2.23) |
3.55 ↓ (3.68) |
3.06 ↓ (3.08) |
4.9% (4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sarpsborg (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sarpsborg 08 will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg won 2.
- Sarpsborg is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Vålerenga is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Sarpsborg have a series of guest games.
- Recently Vålerenga have a series of home games.
- Sarpsborg will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sarpsborg: Hiim A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vålerenga: Borchgrevink C.
(Knee Injury)
Bully O.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 33:27 (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sarpsborg won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:5 (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Vålerenga?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vålerenga won against Sarpsborg 08?
Vålerenga has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga were as follows:
01.02.2025
Vålerenga
-
Sarpsborg 08
1:0
09.03.2024
Vålerenga
-
Sarpsborg 08
5:3
05.11.2023
Sarpsborg 08
-
Vålerenga
3:2
16.04.2023
Vålerenga
-
Sarpsborg 08
0:2
27.01.2023
Vålerenga
-
Sarpsborg 08
4:1
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Latest results of Vålerenga
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Viking | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 42:24 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Tromso | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 31 |
3 | Brann | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
4 | Bodo/Glimt | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 29 |
5 | Rosenborg | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 27 |
6 | Sandefjord | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 24 |
7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
8 | Fredrikstad | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Kristiansund | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
10 | KFUM Oslo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Valerenga | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 18 |
12 | Bryne | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Molde | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 17 |
14 | HamKam | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:25 | -11 | 14 |
15 | Stromsgodset | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 17:33 | -16 | 6 |
16 | Haugesund | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5:39 | -34 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen