Result
4:0
17/08/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 18
- Referee: Stofringshaug M. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Norway | TV2, TV2 Play |
Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.05 | 0.87 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
82% (357/437) | 82% (365/443) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.05 | 0.87 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.62 | 0.05 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
39 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
82% (357/437) | 82% (365/443) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (27/61) | 39% (16/41) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (132/180) | 74% (89/121) |
Crosses |
---|
32% (7/22) | 11% (2/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.48 | 0.97 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (12/15) | 100% (3/3) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 31 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
15 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.05 | 2.62 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.05 | -1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', Wichne E. ↓, Reinhardsen P. ↑,
- 18', 1 - 0, Sorensen E. ⚽, Bjordal H. (A),
- 42', 2 - 0, Sorensen E. ⚽, Ofkir M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Job D. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
- 46', Tangen H. ↓, Bruseth H. ↑,
- 46', Koch M. 🟨,
- 50', Ambina F. 🟨,
- 71', Hedenstad V. ↓, Sjatil H. ↑,
- 71', Sorensen E. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
- 72', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Berget J. ↑,
- 74', Odegaard M. 🟨,
- 75', 3 - 0, Vinicius Nogueira ⚽,
- 77', 4 - 0, Ofkir M. ⚽, Bjordal H. (A),
- 78', Lange C. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
- 78', Vinicius Nogueira ↓, Pallas N. ↑,
- 78', Hiim A. ↓, Skuseth N. ↑,
- 80', Grundetjern M. ↓, Thorvaldsen F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vålerenga 63% | Draw 20.5% | Sarpsborg 08 16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vålerenga's performance.Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarpsborg 08 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-15.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vålerenga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarpsborg 08 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↓ (2.05) |
5.53 ↑ (4) |
7.06 ↑ (3.05) |
-10.7% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08?
Users Predictions:
Vålerenga will win
(36 of 41 users predict this - 87.8%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.78% – 97.82%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vålerenga will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 2.
- Recent performances by Vålerenga have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sarpsborg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Vålerenga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vålerenga might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F.
(Thigh Injury)
Ndiaye M.
(Red Card)
Sher A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vålerenga: Lange C.
(Injury)
Tshiembe K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Jeahze M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vålerenga won against Sarpsborg 08?
Vålerenga has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Vålerenga?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
06.04.2025
Sarpsborg 08
-
Vålerenga
1:1
01.02.2025
Vålerenga
-
Sarpsborg 08
1:0
09.03.2024
Vålerenga
-
Sarpsborg 08
5:3
05.11.2023
Sarpsborg 08
-
Vålerenga
3:2
16.04.2023
Vålerenga
-
Sarpsborg 08
0:2
Latest results of Vålerenga
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 51:18 | 33 | 45 |
2 | Viking | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 49:27 | 22 | 45 |
3 | Brann | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35:28 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Tromso | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
5 | Valerenga | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 30 |
6 | Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Sandefjord | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 36:28 | 8 | 28 |
8 | KFUM Oslo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 27 |
9 | Fredrikstad | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 27 |
10 | Molde | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 27 |
11 | Sarpsborg 08 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 31:30 | 1 | 25 |
12 | Kristiansund | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
13 | HamKam | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:34 | -12 | 21 |
14 | Bryne | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 20 |
15 | Stromsgodset | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 13 |
16 | Haugesund | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12:51 | -39 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen