Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 24
- Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2, TV2 Play |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (290/363) | 86% (477/557) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (290/363) | 86% (477/557) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (22/55) | 58% (33/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (50/75) | 75% (129/172) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 40% (8/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 100% (15/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Thorvaldsen F. ↓, Meliga P. ↑,
- 59', Sorensen E. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
- 62', Hedvall O. 🟨,
- 64', Hjerto-Dahl J. ↓, Larsen L. O. ↑,
- 70', Strand P. 🟨,
- 71', Hedenstad V. ↓, Sjatil H. ↑,
- 73', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Vadebu I. ↑,
- 73', Erlien V. ↓, Braut D. ↑,
- 75', Lange C. 🟨,
- 77', Sjatil H. 🟨,
- 80', Meliga P. 🟨,
- 88', Bjordal H. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
- 88', Lange C. ↓, Sjovold S. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 0, Ofkir M. ⚽,
- 90+2', Cornic L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cornic L. ↓, Mikkelsen A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vålerenga
32% | Draw
27.1% | Tromsø
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Vålerenga - Tromsø Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.74) |
3.51 ↑
(3.41) |
2.31 ↓
(2.59) |
5.6%
(4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Vålerenga - Tromsø?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Tromsø will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tromsø: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tromsø (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 2.
- Vålerenga is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tromsø is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Vålerenga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O.
(Knee Injury)
Grundetjern M.
(Foot Injury)
Tshiembe K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Tromsø: Innvaer S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vålerenga won against Tromsø?
Vålerenga has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tromsø won against Vålerenga?
Tromsø has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vålerenga - Tromsø were as follows:
31.05.2025
Tromsø
-
Vålerenga
2:1
15.03.2025
Vålerenga
-
Tromsø
1:4
01.05.2024
Vålerenga
-
Tromsø
1:0
17.03.2024
Vålerenga
-
Tromsø
3:1
03.12.2023
Vålerenga
-
Tromsø
1:1
Latest results of Vålerenga
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Viking | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 66:34 | 32 | 59 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 70:23 | 47 | 58 |
| 3 | Brann | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 49:36 | 13 | 52 |
| 4 | Tromso | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Sandefjord | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 44:36 | 8 | 38 |
| 6 | Valerenga | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 42:43 | -1 | 37 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Sarpsborg 08 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 44:44 | 0 | 35 |
| 9 | Rosenborg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 34 |
| 11 | HamKam | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33:40 | -7 | 31 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:49 | -19 | 31 |
| 13 | Molde | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 36:39 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | Bryne | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 25 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 26 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 33:56 | -23 | 20 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 26 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17:68 | -51 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
