Vålerenga vs Tromsø – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Norwegian Eliteserien Vålerenga - Tromsø
Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eliteserien - Round 24
  • Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2, TV2 Play
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.900.99
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
80% (290/363)86% (477/557)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.900.99
xG on target (xGOT)
2.051.15
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2126
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
80% (290/363)86% (477/557)
Long passes
40% (22/55)58% (33/57)
Passes in final third
67% (50/75)75% (129/172)
Crosses
23% (3/13)40% (8/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.982.05
Throw-ins
2013
Fouls
1615
Tackles
75% (9/12)100% (15/15)
Duels won
3850
Clearances
2717
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.152.05
Goals prevented
1.151.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Thorvaldsen F. , Meliga P. ,
  • 59', Sorensen E. , Strand P. ,
  • 62', Hedvall O. 🟨,
  • 64', Hjerto-Dahl J. , Larsen L. O. ,
  • 70', Strand P. 🟨,
  • 71', Hedenstad V. , Sjatil H. ,
  • 73', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. , Vadebu I. ,
  • 73', Erlien V. , Braut D. ,
  • 75', Lange C. 🟨,
  • 77', Sjatil H. 🟨,
  • 80', Meliga P. 🟨,
  • 88', Bjordal H. , Hagen E. ,
  • 88', Lange C. , Sjovold S. ,
  • 88', 1 - 0, Ofkir M. ,
  • 90+2', Cornic L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cornic L. , Mikkelsen A. ,

Chances of winning


Vålerenga
32%
Draw
27.1%
Tromsø
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 28.1% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 28.7% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Vålerenga - Tromsø Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.74)
    3.51
    (3.41)
    2.31
    (2.59)
    5.6%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Vålerenga - Tromsø?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Tromsø will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tromsø: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tromsø (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 2.
    • Vålerenga is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tromsø is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Vålerenga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O. (Knee Injury) Grundetjern M. (Foot Injury) Tshiembe K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Tromsø: Innvaer S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vålerenga - Tromsø were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Tromsø - Vålerenga 2:1
    15.03.2025 Vålerenga - Tromsø 1:4
    01.05.2024 Vålerenga - Tromsø 1:0
    17.03.2024 Vålerenga - Tromsø 3:1
    03.12.2023 Vålerenga - Tromsø 1:1
    Latest results of Vålerenga
    28.09.2025 Molde - Vålerenga 4:1
    23.09.2025 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 1:2
    13.09.2025 Brann - Vålerenga 3:2
    30.08.2025 Vålerenga - Bryne 3:2
    Latest results of Tromsø
    28.09.2025 Tromsø - Strømsgodset 3:1
    21.09.2025 Tromsø - Hamarkameratene 1:0
    14.09.2025 Bryne - Tromsø 0:2
    24.08.2025 Molde - Tromsø 2:0
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Viking26185366:343259
    2Bodo/Glimt25184370:234758
    3Brann25164549:361352
    4Tromso26153842:34848
    5Sandefjord251221144:36838
    6Valerenga261141142:43-137
    7Fredrikstad2699833:28536
    8Sarpsborg 082698944:44035
    9Rosenborg2598835:36-135
    10KFUM Oslo26810839:32734
    11HamKam26871133:40-731
    12Kristiansund26871130:49-1931
    13Molde26931436:39-330
    14Bryne26671331:46-1525
    15Stromsgodset26621833:56-2320
    16Haugesund26132217:68-516

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen