Result
5:1
26/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 6
- Referee: Moen C. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (494/560) | 81% (331/411) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.37 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (494/560) | 81% (331/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (25/50) | 47% (23/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (138/172) | 74% (97/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 3.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.99 | -1.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Gulbrandsen F. ⚽, Hestad E. (A),
- 38', Gulbrandsen F. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Haren L. ⚽, Grundetjern M. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Sorensen E. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
- 48', Sjatil H. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 1, Breivik E. ⚽, Kabini S. (A),
- 55', 3 - 1, Gulbrandsen F. ⚽, Granaas S. (A),
- 57', 4 - 1, Hestad E. ⚽,
- 63', Daehli M. ↓, Christensen J. ↑,
- 63', Gulbrandsen F. ↓, Abdullai J. ↑,
- 69', Sjatil H. ↓, Holm O. T. ↑,
- 69', Grundetjern M. ↓, Rajkovic G. ↑,
- 80', Hestad E. ↓, Bender V. ↑,
- 86', 5 - 1, Granaas S. ⚽, Abdullai J. (A),
- 88', Haren L. ↓, Hedenstad V. ↑,
- 89', Nasberg I. ↓, Tshiembe K. ↑,
- 89', Granaas S. ↓, Kone-Doherty T. ↑,
- 89', Breivik E. ↓, Spiten-Nysaeter O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Molde
46.5% | Draw
25.4% | Vålerenga
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Molde - Vålerenga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.84) |
3.73 ↓
(4.01) |
3.38 ↓
(3.81) |
5.8%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Molde - Vålerenga?
Users Predictions:
Molde will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molde won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Molde might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Molde: Daga D.
(Injury)
Dahl F.
(Knee Injury)
Kikkenborg M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Oyvann C.
(Injury)
Spiten-Nysaeter O.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vålerenga: Ofkir M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Molde: Amundsen I.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Molde won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 47:20. (average 2.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Molde won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:8. (average 2.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Molde won against Vålerenga?
Molde has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vålerenga won against Molde?
Vålerenga has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Molde - Vålerenga were as follows:
28.09.2025
Molde
-
Vålerenga
4:1
22.06.2025
Vålerenga
-
Molde
2:3
19.08.2023
Molde
-
Vålerenga
0:0
15.07.2023
Vålerenga
-
Molde
0:4
13.11.2022
Vålerenga
-
Molde
1:2
Latest results of Vålerenga
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Viking | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Molde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | HamKam | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Brann | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:11 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Kristiansund | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Sandefjord | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | KFUM Oslo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Rosenborg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Start | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
