Burgos vs Valladolid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Burgos - Valladolid
Result
0:1
12/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 9
  • Referee: Perez M. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.230.47
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
68% (207/306)71% (242/343)
Yellow Cards
67
Expected Goals (xG)
0.230.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.120.28
Total shots
711
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1611
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
2816
Passes
68% (207/306)71% (242/343)
Long passes
38% (27/71)35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
56% (56/100)57% (56/98)
Crosses
15% (3/20)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.300.51
Throw-ins
3027
Fouls
1628
Tackles
50% (7/14)65% (11/17)
Duels won
6873
Clearances
1429
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.280.12
Goals prevented
-0.720.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Garriel I. 🟨,
  • 21', Atienza M. 🟨,
  • 22', Alejo I. 🟨,
  • 35', Meseguer Cavas V. A. 🟨,
  • 38', Canos S. , Chuki ,
  • 44', Morante I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Lizancos A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Morante I. , Cordoba I. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. , Cordoba A. ,
  • 55', Miguel F. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Chuki ,
  • 64', Gonzalez M. , Mejia M. ,
  • 64', Appin K. , Garcia F. ,
  • 68', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
  • 70', Garriel I. , Bueno G. ,
  • 70', Peter Federico , Marcos Andre ,
  • 73', Juric S. 🟨,
  • 75', Nino F. 🟨,
  • 75', Biuk S. 🟨,
  • 75', Biuk S. , Ponceau J. ,
  • 75', Meseguer Cavas V. A. , Alani I. ,
  • 83', Torres D. 🟨,
  • 90', Chuki 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/vr7kunzz

Chances of winning


Burgos
12.3%
Draw
36%
Valladolid
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 32.1% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 32.3% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgos's form might have worsened.
  • Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valladolid's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+23.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-19.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valladolid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Burgos - Valladolid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    12.08
    (2.62)
    3.61
    (2.96)
    2.39
    (2.99)
    -22.2%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Burgos - Valladolid?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Valladolid will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 9)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Burgos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury) Exposito M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Valladolid: Jaouab M. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Injury) Maroto M. (Health problems) Ndiaye A. (Face Injury)
    • There are questionable in Valladolid: Juric S. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Valladolid were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Burgos - Valladolid 2:2
    27.07.2024 Valladolid - Burgos 1:1
    13.01.2024 Burgos - Valladolid 1:0
    01.10.2023 Valladolid - Burgos 3:0
    Latest results of Burgos
    04.10.2025 Huesca - Burgos 2:1
    28.09.2025 Burgos - Málaga 2:1
    22.09.2025 Burgos - Granada 1:1
    07.09.2025 Burgos - Las Palmas 0:0
    Latest results of Valladolid
    05.10.2025 Valladolid - Mirandés 1:1
    28.09.2025 Valladolid - Leonesa 0:1
    13.09.2025 Valladolid - Almería 3:1
    06.09.2025 Zaragoza - Valladolid 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander1061324:17719
    2Las Palmas1053211:6518
    3Cadiz CF1053211:9218
    4Dep. La Coruna1044218:11716
    5Almeria1044219:17216
    6Burgos CF1043316:11515
    7Valladolid1043312:9315
    8Andorra1043313:13015
    9Gijon1050516:17-115
    10Ceuta1043310:12-215
    11Leganes1035210:7314
    12Albacete1034315:16-113
    13Cordoba1034311:13-213
    14Huesca94148:11-313
    15Eibar1033411:10112
    16Castellon1033413:13012
    17Cultural Leonesa1032512:13-111
    18Malaga103259:12-311
    19Granada CF1024411:15-410
    20Real Sociedad B923414:16-29
    21Mirandes102359:14-59
    22Zaragoza101366:17-116

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