Result
0:1
12/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 9
- Referee: Perez M. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (207/306) | 71% (242/343) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (207/306) | 71% (242/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (27/71) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (56/100) | 57% (56/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Garriel I. 🟨,
- 21', Atienza M. 🟨,
- 22', Alejo I. 🟨,
- 35', Meseguer Cavas V. A. 🟨,
- 38', Canos S. ↓, Chuki ↑,
- 44', Morante I. 🟨,
- 45+2', Lizancos A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Morante I. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
- 55', Miguel F. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 1, Chuki ⚽,
- 64', Gonzalez M. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
- 64', Appin K. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
- 70', Garriel I. ↓, Bueno G. ↑,
- 70', Peter Federico ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
- 73', Juric S. 🟨,
- 75', Nino F. 🟨,
- 75', Biuk S. 🟨,
- 75', Biuk S. ↓, Ponceau J. ↑,
- 75', Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↓, Alani I. ↑,
- 83', Torres D. 🟨,
- 90', Chuki 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/vr7kunzz
Chances of winning
Burgos
12.3% | Draw
36% | Valladolid
51.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgos's form might have worsened.Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valladolid's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+23.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-19.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valladolid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Burgos - Valladolid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
12.08 ↑
(2.62) |
3.61 ↑
(2.96) |
2.39 ↓
(2.99) |
-22.2%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Burgos - Valladolid?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Valladolid will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Burgos (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Burgos (1.41) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Burgos (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Valladolid (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Burgos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I.
(Muscle Injury)
Exposito M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Valladolid: Jaouab M.
(Injury)
Marcos Andre
(Injury)
Maroto M.
(Health problems)
Ndiaye A.
(Face Injury)
- There are questionable in Valladolid: Juric S.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Valladolid?
Burgos has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valladolid won against Burgos?
Valladolid has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Valladolid were as follows:
09.08.2025
Burgos
-
Valladolid
2:2
27.07.2024
Valladolid
-
Burgos
1:1
13.01.2024
Burgos
-
Valladolid
1:0
01.10.2023
Valladolid
-
Burgos
3:0
Latest results of Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
