Valladolid vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Valladolid - Leonesa
Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, Orange Futbol 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.47
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
82% (446/543)62% (153/248)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.041.32
Total shots
189
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
143
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
309
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
2114
Passes
82% (446/543)62% (153/248)
Long passes
66% (51/77)24% (17/72)
Passes in final third
70% (147/209)49% (23/47)
Crosses
28% (9/32)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.38
Throw-ins
3516
Fouls
1421
Tackles
76% (13/17)59% (13/22)
Duels won
7759
Clearances
1841
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.320.04
Goals prevented
0.320.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Collado D. , Sobrino R. (A),
  • 19', Hinojo R. 🟨,
  • 23', Almada G. 🟨,
  • 33', Latasa J. 🟨,
  • 38', Alejo I. 🟨,
  • 41', Ndiaye A. , Peter Federico ,
  • 45', Tomeo P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Bueno G. , Garriel I. ,
  • 59', Ponceau J. , Canos S. ,
  • 64', Collado D. 🟨,
  • 72', Biuk S. , Delgado J. ,
  • 73', Lachuer M. , Alani I. ,
  • 73', Bicho , Gonzalez Y. ,
  • 73', Collado D. , Larios J. ,
  • 74', Garcia V. , Barzic M. ,
  • 75', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
  • 80', Pibe , Diallo Selu M. ,
  • 83', Alejo I. , Trilli ,
  • 84', Hinojo R. , Cortes P. ,
  • 88', Sobrino R. , Justo M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mr2ffu43

Chances of winning


Valladolid
58.6%
Draw
23.7%
Leonesa
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 21.2% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 20.7% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valladolid's form might have worsened.
  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valladolid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Valladolid - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.46)
    4.05
    (4.48)
    5.43
    (6.84)
    1.5%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Valladolid - Leonesa?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Valladolid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Valladolid is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Valladolid: Chuki (Injury) Delgado J. (Injury) Jaouab M. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Injury) Maroto M. (Health problems)
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Calero I. (Red Card) Maestre S. (Knee Injury) Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Barzic M. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Valladolid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    Latest results of Valladolid
    13.09.2025 Valladolid - Almería 3:1
    06.09.2025 Zaragoza - Valladolid 1:1
    30.08.2025 Valladolid - Córdoba 0:0
    22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1
    Latest results of Leonesa
    20.09.2025 Leonesa - Castellón 1:3
    14.09.2025 Racing Santander - Leonesa 2:4
    10.09.2025 Alcorcón - Leonesa 0:1
    07.09.2025 Leonesa - Leganés 0:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander1061324:17719
    2Las Palmas1154212:7519
    3Cadiz CF1053211:9218
    4Ceuta1153311:12-118
    5Dep. La Coruna1044218:11716
    6Almeria1044219:17216
    7Cordoba1144314:14016
    8Burgos CF1043316:11515
    9Valladolid1043312:9315
    10Leganes1136210:7315
    11Andorra1043313:13015
    12Gijon1050516:17-115
    13Huesca104249:12-314
    14Eibar1134411:10113
    15Albacete1134416:19-313
    16Castellon1033413:13012
    17Cultural Leonesa1132612:14-211
    18Malaga103259:12-311
    19Granada CF1024411:15-410
    20Real Sociedad B923414:16-29
    21Mirandes102359:14-59
    22Zaragoza101366:17-116

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation