Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, Orange Futbol 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (446/543) | 62% (153/248) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (446/543) | 62% (153/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (51/77) | 24% (17/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (147/209) | 49% (23/47) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 77 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Collado D. ⚽, Sobrino R. (A),
- 19', Hinojo R. 🟨,
- 23', Almada G. 🟨,
- 33', Latasa J. 🟨,
- 38', Alejo I. 🟨,
- 41', Ndiaye A. ↓, Peter Federico ↑,
- 45', Tomeo P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Bueno G. ↓, Garriel I. ↑,
- 59', Ponceau J. ↓, Canos S. ↑,
- 64', Collado D. 🟨,
- 72', Biuk S. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
- 73', Lachuer M. ↓, Alani I. ↑,
- 73', Bicho ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
- 73', Collado D. ↓, Larios J. ↑,
- 74', Garcia V. ↓, Barzic M. ↑,
- 75', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
- 80', Pibe ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
- 83', Alejo I. ↓, Trilli ↑,
- 84', Hinojo R. ↓, Cortes P. ↑,
- 88', Sobrino R. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mr2ffu43
Chances of winning
Valladolid
58.6% | Draw
23.7% | Leonesa
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valladolid's form might have worsened.Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valladolid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Valladolid - Leonesa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.46) |
4.05 ↓
(4.48) |
5.43 ↓
(6.84) |
1.5%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Valladolid - Leonesa?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Valladolid will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Valladolid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Valladolid is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Valladolid: Chuki
(Injury)
Delgado J.
(Injury)
Jaouab M.
(Injury)
Marcos Andre
(Injury)
Maroto M.
(Health problems)
- There will not play in Leonesa: Calero I.
(Red Card)
Maestre S.
(Knee Injury)
Satrustegui E.
(Knee Injury)
Tresaco R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Leonesa: Barzic M.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Valladolid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Valladolid won against Leonesa?
Valladolid has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Valladolid?
Leonesa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valladolid - Leonesa were as follows:
Latest results of Valladolid
Latest results of Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
