Valladolid vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, Orange Futbol 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.47
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
82% (446/543)62% (153/248)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.041.32
Total shots
189
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
143
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
309
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
2114
Passes
82% (446/543)62% (153/248)
Long passes
66% (51/77)24% (17/72)
Passes in final third
70% (147/209)49% (23/47)
Crosses
28% (9/32)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.38
Throw-ins
3516
Fouls
1421
Tackles
76% (13/17)59% (13/22)
Duels won
7759
Clearances
1841
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.320.04
Goals prevented
0.320.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Collado D. , Sobrino R. (A),
  • 19', Hinojo R. 🟨,
  • 23', Almada G. 🟨,
  • 33', Latasa J. 🟨,
  • 38', Alejo I. 🟨,
  • 41', Ndiaye A. , Peter Federico ,
  • 45', Tomeo P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Bueno G. , Garriel I. ,
  • 59', Ponceau J. , Canos S. ,
  • 64', Collado D. 🟨,
  • 72', Biuk S. , Delgado J. ,
  • 73', Lachuer M. , Alani I. ,
  • 73', Bicho , Gonzalez Y. ,
  • 73', Collado D. , Larios J. ,
  • 74', Garcia V. , Barzic M. ,
  • 75', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
  • 80', Pibe , Diallo Selu M. ,
  • 83', Alejo I. , Trilli ,
  • 84', Hinojo R. , Cortes P. ,
  • 88', Sobrino R. , Justo M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mr2ffu43

Chances of winning


Valladolid
58.6%
Draw
23.7%
Leonesa
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 21.2% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 20.7% 13.5%

Valladolid - Leonesa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.71
(1.46)
4.05
(4.48)
5.43
(6.84)
1.5%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Valladolid - Leonesa?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Valladolid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Valladolid is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Valladolid: Chuki (Injury) Delgado J. (Injury) Jaouab M. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Injury) Maroto M. (Health problems)
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Calero I. (Red Card) Maestre S. (Knee Injury) Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Barzic M. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Valladolid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    Latest results of Valladolid
    13.09.2025 Valladolid - Almería 3:1
    06.09.2025 Zaragoza - Valladolid 1:1
    30.08.2025 Valladolid - Córdoba 0:0
    22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1
    Latest results of Leonesa
    20.09.2025 Leonesa - Castellón 1:3
    14.09.2025 Racing Santander - Leonesa 2:4
    10.09.2025 Alcorcón - Leonesa 0:1
    07.09.2025 Leonesa - Leganés 0:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander22125549:321741
    2Castellon22115636:251138
    3Las Palmas22108427:171038
    4Dep. La Coruna22107537:251237
    5Almeria22106641:32936
    6Malaga22105732:26635
    7Burgos CF22105726:20635
    8Cadiz CF2297625:24134
    9Gijon22103930:31-133
    10Cordoba2288627:25232
    11Ceuta2295825:29-432
    12Valladolid2277824:23128
    13Andorra2277825:30-528
    14Albacete2276927:34-727
    15Leganes2268823:23026
    16Eibar2267923:26-325
    17Cultural Leonesa22741124:34-1025
    18Real Sociedad B22661029:31-224
    19Granada CF22411723:27-423
    20Huesca22651120:31-1123
    21Zaragoza22561121:35-1421
    22Mirandes22451323:37-1417

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation