Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Referee: Mohseni S. M. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (353/419) | 91% (524/574) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (353/419) | 91% (524/574) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 48% (19/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (65/100) | 71% (46/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 25% (2/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Romeo R. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Rodriguez D. ⚽, Tabla B. (A),
- 39', Tabla B. 🟨,
- 45+1', Coulanges J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Ohin R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 63', 0 - 2, Salter S. ⚽, Antinoro G. (A),
- 64', Tabla B. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
- 65', Coulanges J. ↓, Zapater A. ↑,
- 70', Williams K. ↓, Voytsekhovskyi M. ↑,
- 70', Romeo R. ↓, Alarcon R. ↑,
- 72', Castro J. ↓, Sissoko A. ↑,
- 73', Rodriguez D. ↓, Alvarez Villar A. ↑,
- 79', Morgan M. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
- 79', Mlah S. ↓, Ressurreicao D. ↑,
- 82', Salter S. ↓, Patterson M. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Antonoglou T. ⚽, Figueiredo B. (A),
- 90', Twardek K. ↓, Faria J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Valour
20.7% | Draw
24.6% | Atlético Ottawa
54.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valour's form might have worsened.Atlético Ottawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Ottawa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valour, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Ottawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Valour - Atlético Ottawa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.41 ↑
(3.4) |
3.7 ↑
(3.68) |
1.66 ↓
(1.86) |
9.8%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Valour - Atlético Ottawa?
Users Predictions:
Atlético Ottawa will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Ottawa will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valour won 0.
- Recent performances by Valour have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Ottawa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Valour may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético Ottawa is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valour won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:36. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valour won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Valour won against Atlético Ottawa?
Valour has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Ottawa won against Valour?
Atlético Ottawa has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valour - Atlético Ottawa were as follows:
15.06.2025
Atlético Ottawa
-
Valour
3:0
10.05.2025
Atlético Ottawa
-
Valour
5:2
09.09.2024
Valour
-
Atlético Ottawa
1:1
21.07.2024
Atlético Ottawa
-
Valour
2:2
09.06.2024
Valour
-
Atlético Ottawa
0:2
Latest results of Atlético Ottawa
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 20 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 38:13 | 25 | 46 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 4 | York Utd | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 33:23 | 10 | 29 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 29 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 19 |
| 7 | Valour | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20:47 | -27 | 15 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23:43 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
