Result
3:0
20/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (351/418) | 84% (277/328) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (351/418) | 84% (277/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (39/65) | 63% (27/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (54/93) | 65% (51/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Kobza E. ⚽, Musse A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 2 - 0, Ntignee G. ⚽, Camargo S. (A),
- 59', Egwu K. ↓, Twardek K. ↑,
- 59', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Figueiredo B. ↑,
- 67', Warschewski T. ↓, Elva C. ↑,
- 74', Froese K. 🟨,
- 75', Baldisimo M. 🟨,
- 76', Camargo S. ↓, Shome S. ↑,
- 77', Carducci M. 🟨,
- 80', Faria J. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
- 80', Froese K. ↓, Venancio X. ↑,
- 82', Baldisimo M. ↓, Myroniuk N. ↑,
- 83', Aird F. ↓, Gherasimencov M. ↑,
- 83', Ntignee G. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑,
- 84', Shome S. 🟨,
- 86', Morgan M. ↓, Voytsekhovskyi M. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Elva C. ⚽, Carducci M. (A),
Chances of winning
Cavalry
63.1% | Draw
21.7% | Valour
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Cavalry - Valour Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.48) |
4.23 ↓
(4.33) |
6.02 ↑
(5.5) |
9%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 3.
- Cavalry is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Valour's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cavalry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cavalry is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:23. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cavalry won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against Valour?
Cavalry has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valour won against Cavalry?
Valour has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cavalry - Valour were as follows:
29.07.2025
Valour
-
Cavalry
2:1
20.07.2025
Valour
-
Cavalry
1:2
25.05.2025
Cavalry
-
Valour
4:0
19.10.2024
Valour
-
Cavalry
1:2
30.08.2024
Cavalry
-
Valour
2:2
Latest results of Cavalry
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 47:21 | 26 | 54 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 53:28 | 25 | 52 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | York Utd | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 37 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 38:33 | 5 | 36 |
| 6 | Valour | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31:58 | -27 | 23 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 27:53 | -26 | 22 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 33:55 | -22 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
