Result
2:1
29/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (283/369) | 84% (443/529) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (283/369) | 84% (443/529) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (29/67) | 57% (34/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (61/94) | 68% (100/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (14/26) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Fernandez Z. ⚽, Antonoglou T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 2 - 0, Morgan M. ⚽, Antonoglou T. (A),
- 60', 2 - 1, Gutierrez D. ⚽, Warschewski T. (A),
- 61', Sellouf A. ↓, Herdman J. ↑,
- 61', Aird F. ↓, Ntignee G. ↑,
- 61', Field T. ↓, Gherasimencov M. ↑,
- 70', Camargo S. 🟨,
- 72', Figueiredo B. ↓, Venancio X. ↑,
- 73', Antonoglou T. ↓, Alarcon R. ↑,
- 75', Camargo S. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
- 83', Piepgrass M. ↓, Montgomery C. ↑,
- 86', Ohin R. 🟨,
- 90', Morgan M. ↓, Romeo R. ↑,
- 90', Froese K. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
- 90+6', Pop E. 🟨,
- 90+6', Twardek K. ↓, Voytsekhovskyi M. ↑,
- 90+7', Ntignee G. 🟨,
- 90+8', Ntignee G. 🟥,
- 90+8', Facchineri G. 🟨,
- 90+10', Himaras E. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Valour
23% | Draw
25.6% | Cavalry
51.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Cavalry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valour than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Valour - Cavalry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.95 ↓
(4.3) |
3.55 ↓
(3.8) |
1.77 ↑
(1.75) |
10.1%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Valour - Cavalry?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cavalry (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valour won 0.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Cavalry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Valour has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cavalry is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valour won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valour won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Valour won against Cavalry?
Valour has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against Valour?
Cavalry has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valour - Cavalry were as follows:
20.07.2025
Valour
-
Cavalry
1:2
25.05.2025
Cavalry
-
Valour
4:0
19.10.2024
Valour
-
Cavalry
1:2
30.08.2024
Cavalry
-
Valour
2:2
07.07.2024
Valour
-
Cavalry
0:1
Latest results of Cavalry
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 33:12 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:15 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | York Utd | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Valour | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:41 | -23 | 14 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15:30 | -15 | 12 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
