Result
5:0
02/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.93 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (521/576) | 85% (331/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.93 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.55 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (521/576) | 85% (331/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 75% (40/53) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (67/94) | 50% (30/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 50% (1/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 94% (15/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 4.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Borges T. ⚽,
- 40', Fernandez Z. ↓, Alarcon R. ↑,
- 43', Mlah S. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 0, Babouli M. ⚽,
- 45', 3 - 0, Ampomah N. ⚽, Bekker K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', Froese K. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
- 60', Morgan M. ↓, Faria J. ↑,
- 67', Wright B. ↓, Massunda H. ↑,
- 67', Borges T. ↓, Jensen N. ↑,
- 67', 4 - 0, Choiniere D. ⚽,
- 73', 5 - 0, Jensen N. ⚽, Ampomah N. (A),
- 74', Nimick D. ↓, Hojabrpour A. ↑,
- 74', Ampomah N. ↓, Filion M. ↑,
- 76', Figueiredo B. ↓, Ressurreicao D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Forge
61.8% | Draw
21.9% | Valour
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Forge - Valour Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.57) |
4.21 ↑
(3.94) |
5.68 ↑
(4.66) |
8.4%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Forge - Valour?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Forge will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forge: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Forge (votes: 6 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Forge will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forge won 3.
- Forge is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Valour has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Forge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Forge is the team to beat.
- We predict that Forge will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Forge won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Forge won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against Valour?
Forge has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valour won against Forge?
Valour has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forge - Valour were as follows:
22.06.2025
Valour
-
Forge
0:5
19.04.2025
Forge
-
Valour
1:1
06.10.2024
Valour
-
Forge
0:1
04.08.2024
Valour
-
Forge
2:1
23.06.2024
Forge
-
Valour
2:1
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 18 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 35:13 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 37:17 | 20 | 39 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
| 5 | York Utd | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:22 | 6 | 25 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21:34 | -13 | 19 |
| 7 | Valour | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19:43 | -24 | 14 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 19:37 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
