Result
2:1
11/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (273/331) | 88% (447/506) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (273/331) | 88% (447/506) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 68% (38/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (65/99) | 77% (102/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (18/25) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Borges T. ⚽, Massunda H. (A),
- 40', Cisse E. 🟨,
- 43', Antonoglou T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 1, Froese K. ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 1, Froese K. ⚽,
- 70', Froese K. ↓, Figueiredo B. ↑,
- 70', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Venancio X. ↑,
- 70', Paton B. ↓, Jevremovic M. ↑,
- 71', Jensen N. ↓, Babouli M. ↑,
- 73', Jevremovic M. 🟨,
- 77', Choiniere D. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
- 77', Bekker K. ↓, Bruno Z. ↑,
- 82', Morgan M. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
- 84', Ohin R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Antonoglou T. ↓, Egwu K. ↑,
- 90+2', Borges T. ↓, Lipovschek K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Valour
16.9% | Draw
24.2% | Forge
58.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Valour - Forge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.58 ↑
(4.7) |
3.88 ↓
(3.9) |
1.6 ↓
(1.61) |
6.2%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Valour - Forge?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Forge (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valour won 1.
- Valour has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Forge is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Forge is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valour won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valour won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Valour won against Forge?
Valour has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against Valour?
Forge has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valour - Forge were as follows:
02.08.2025
Forge
-
Valour
5:0
22.06.2025
Valour
-
Forge
0:5
19.04.2025
Forge
-
Valour
1:1
06.10.2024
Valour
-
Forge
0:1
04.08.2024
Valour
-
Forge
2:1
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 46:20 | 26 | 53 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 50:25 | 25 | 51 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 41:30 | 11 | 39 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | York Utd | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 33 |
| 6 | Valour | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 28:54 | -26 | 22 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:50 | -26 | 21 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
