Valour vs Forge – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Canadian Premier League Valour - Forge
Result
0:5
22/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Canadian Premier League
  • Referee: Mohseni S. M. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaOneSoccer
usaUsaFox Soccer Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.823.75
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
90% (415/462)87% (375/431)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.823.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.033.76
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1132
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
2018
Passes
90% (415/462)87% (375/431)
Long passes
65% (35/54)53% (20/38)
Passes in final third
71% (65/91)75% (78/104)
Crosses
42% (5/12)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.122.27
Throw-ins
818
Fouls
1820
Tackles
54% (7/13)47% (8/17)
Duels won
4047
Clearances
1612
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
3.760.03
Goals prevented
-0.240.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Wright B. , Nimick D. (A),
  • 14', 0 - 2, Wright B. ,
  • 29', Rama R. 🟨,
  • 34', Figueiredo B. 🟨,
  • 35', Achinioti-Jonsson A. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 3, Wright B. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Figueiredo B. , Mlah S. ,
  • 46', Venancio X. , Faria J. ,
  • 57', Alarcon R. , Morgan M. ,
  • 57', Ressurreicao D. , Pop E. ,
  • 62', Ampomah N. 🟨,
  • 68', 0 - 4, Ampomah N. , Babouli M. (A),
  • 70', Massunda H. , Choiniere D. ,
  • 71', Ampomah N. , Kane K. ,
  • 76', Wright B. , Filion M. ,
  • 76', 0 - 5, Fernandez Z. (Own goal),
  • 76', Achinioti-Jonsson A. , Jensen N. ,
  • 78', Hojabrpour A. , Paton B. ,

Chances of winning


Valour
25.7%
Draw
26.2%
Forge
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 28.5% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 28.4% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Valour - Forge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.57
    (3.45)
    3.49
    (3.22)
    1.9
    (2.04)
    9.2%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valour won 1.
    • Valour has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Forge is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Valour may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Forge is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valour won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valour won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valour - Forge were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Forge - Valour 1:1
    06.10.2024 Valour - Forge 0:1
    04.08.2024 Valour - Forge 2:1
    23.06.2024 Forge - Valour 2:1
    27.04.2024 Forge - Valour 2:1
    Latest results of Valour
    15.06.2025 Atlético Ottawa - Valour 3:0
    04.06.2025 Valour - Vancouver FC 3:1
    01.06.2025 Valour - Pacific FC 0:0
    25.05.2025 Cavalry - Valour 4:0
    Latest results of Forge
    15.06.2025 Vancouver FC - Forge 0:2
    08.06.2025 Forge - HFX Wanderers 2:1
    31.05.2025 Forge - Cavalry 1:1
    24.05.2025 Pacific FC - Forge 0:1
    20.05.2025 Forge - CF Montréal 1:0
    Canadian Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Ottawa16105135:161935
    2Forge1697028:121634
    3Cavalry1574422:13925
    4York Utd1673627:20724
    5HFX Wanderers1673621:20124
    6Pacific FC16331015:30-1512
    7Valour15321016:35-1911
    8Vancouver FC16151015:33-188

          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)