Result
0:5
22/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Referee: Mohseni S. M. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Canada | OneSoccer |
Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.82 | 3.75 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
90% (415/462) | 87% (375/431) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.82 | 3.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.03 | 3.76 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 32 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
20 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
90% (415/462) | 87% (375/431) |
Long passes |
---|
65% (35/54) | 53% (20/38) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (65/91) | 75% (78/104) |
Crosses |
---|
42% (5/12) | 0% (0/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.12 | 2.27 |
Throw-ins |
---|
8 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 20 |
Tackles |
---|
54% (7/13) | 47% (8/17) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 12 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.76 | 0.03 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.24 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 8', 0 - 1, Wright B. ⚽, Nimick D. (A),
- 14', 0 - 2, Wright B. ⚽,
- 29', Rama R. 🟨,
- 34', Figueiredo B. 🟨,
- 35', Achinioti-Jonsson A. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 3, Wright B. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Figueiredo B. ↓, Mlah S. ↑,
- 46', Venancio X. ↓, Faria J. ↑,
- 57', Alarcon R. ↓, Morgan M. ↑,
- 57', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
- 62', Ampomah N. 🟨,
- 68', 0 - 4, Ampomah N. ⚽, Babouli M. (A),
- 70', Massunda H. ↓, Choiniere D. ↑,
- 71', Ampomah N. ↓, Kane K. ↑,
- 76', Wright B. ↓, Filion M. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 5, Fernandez Z. (Own goal),
- 76', Achinioti-Jonsson A. ↓, Jensen N. ↑,
- 78', Hojabrpour A. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Valour 25.7% | Draw 26.2% | Forge 48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-3%)
Valour - Forge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.57 ↑ (3.45) |
3.49 ↑ (3.22) |
1.9 ↓ (2.04) |
9.2% (9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valour won 1.
- Valour has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Forge is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Valour may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Forge is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valour won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valour won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Valour won against Forge?
Valour has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against Valour?
Forge has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valour - Forge were as follows:
19.04.2025
Forge
-
Valour
1:1
06.10.2024
Valour
-
Forge
0:1
04.08.2024
Valour
-
Forge
2:1
23.06.2024
Forge
-
Valour
2:1
27.04.2024
Forge
-
Valour
2:1
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Atl. Ottawa | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forge | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 28:12 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Cavalry | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:13 | 9 | 25 |
4 | York Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 24 |
5 | HFX Wanderers | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Pacific FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15:30 | -15 | 12 |
7 | Valour | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:35 | -19 | 11 |
8 | Vancouver FC | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)