Result
0:5
22/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Referee: Mohseni S. M. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 3.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (415/462) | 87% (375/431) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 3.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 3.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (415/462) | 87% (375/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (35/54) | 53% (20/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (65/91) | 75% (78/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.76 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 8', 0 - 1, Wright B. ⚽, Nimick D. (A),
- 14', 0 - 2, Wright B. ⚽,
- 29', Rama R. 🟨,
- 34', Figueiredo B. 🟨,
- 35', Achinioti-Jonsson A. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 3, Wright B. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Figueiredo B. ↓, Mlah S. ↑,
- 46', Venancio X. ↓, Faria J. ↑,
- 57', Alarcon R. ↓, Morgan M. ↑,
- 57', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
- 62', Ampomah N. 🟨,
- 68', 0 - 4, Ampomah N. ⚽, Babouli M. (A),
- 70', Massunda H. ↓, Choiniere D. ↑,
- 71', Ampomah N. ↓, Kane K. ↑,
- 76', Wright B. ↓, Filion M. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 5, Fernandez Z. (Own goal),
- 76', Achinioti-Jonsson A. ↓, Jensen N. ↑,
- 78', Hojabrpour A. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Valour
25.7% | Draw
26.2% | Forge
48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-3%)
Valour - Forge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.57 ↑
(3.45) |
3.49 ↑
(3.22) |
1.9 ↓
(2.04) |
9.2%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valour won 1.
- Valour has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Forge is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Valour may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Forge is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valour won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valour won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Valour won against Forge?
Valour has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against Valour?
Forge has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valour - Forge were as follows:
19.04.2025
Forge
-
Valour
1:1
06.10.2024
Valour
-
Forge
0:1
04.08.2024
Valour
-
Forge
2:1
23.06.2024
Forge
-
Valour
2:1
27.04.2024
Forge
-
Valour
2:1
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Ottawa | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 | Forge | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 28:12 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:13 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | York Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15:30 | -15 | 12 |
| 7 | Valour | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:35 | -19 | 11 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
