Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Referee: Alayass M. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (437/498) | 85% (304/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (437/498) | 85% (304/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (20/32) | 68% (36/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (73/104) | 68% (57/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 44% (8/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', Antonoglou T. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Altobelli J. ⚽, Ferrin M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Altobelli J. 🟨,
- 62', Twardek K. ↓, Figueiredo B. ↑,
- 65', Figueiredo B. 🟨,
- 66', Altobelli J. ↓, Hundal S. ↑,
- 66', Ferrin M. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
- 72', Alarcon R. 🟨,
- 76', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Venancio X. ↑,
- 76', Froese K. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
- 77', Lopez L. ↓, Bitar G. ↑,
- 77', Alarcon R. ↓, Egwu K. ↑,
- 80', Bitar G. 🟨,
- 84', Jimoh S. ↓, DaSilva C. ↑,
- 88', Faria J. ↓, Romeo R. ↑,
Chances of winning
York United
60.1% | Draw
23.6% | Valour
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
York United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in York United's performance.Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valour might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for York United than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with York United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valour could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
York United - Valour Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.78) |
4 ↑
(3.53) |
5.76 ↑
(3.63) |
6.1%
(12.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York United won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Valour may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, York United is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, York United won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, York United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has York United won against Valour?
York United has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valour won against York United?
Valour has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between York United - Valour were as follows:
17.08.2025
Valour
-
York United
0:0
13.07.2025
York United
-
Valour
3:2
16.05.2025
Valour
-
York United
2:1
13.09.2024
York United
-
Valour
1:1
11.08.2024
Valour
-
York United
0:1
Latest results of York United
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 47:21 | 26 | 54 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 53:28 | 25 | 52 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | York Utd | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 37 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 38:33 | 5 | 36 |
| 6 | Valour | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31:58 | -27 | 23 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 27:53 | -26 | 22 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 33:55 | -22 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
