Result
3:2
13/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (348/406) | 88% (463/526) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (348/406) | 88% (463/526) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (28/53) | 59% (23/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (76/105) | 70% (80/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.21 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 15', Ressurreicao D. 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Williams K. ⚽,
- 36', Froese K. 🟨,
- 45', Viscosi J. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Altobelli J. (Pen),
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Yeates S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Morgan M. ↑,
- 46', Figueiredo B. ↓, Mlah S. ↑,
- 46', Yeates S. ↓, Accettola L. ↑,
- 47', 3 - 1, Reid A. ⚽, Botello O. (A),
- 53', Leon O. 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 2, Morgan M. ⚽, Twardek K. (A),
- 66', Twardek K. ↓, Faria J. ↑,
- 67', Froese K. ↓, Venancio X. ↑,
- 67', Reid A. ↓, Jimoh S. ↑,
- 67', Ferrin M. ↓, Bitar G. ↑,
- 75', Altobelli J. ↓, Ferrari M. ↑,
- 78', Ferrari M. 🟨,
- 81', Antonoglou T. ↓, Alarcon R. ↑,
- 83', Ferrazzo R. ↓, Higgins N. ↑,
- 89', Botello O. 🟨,
- 90+1', Jimoh S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Alarcon R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
York United
54.4% | Draw
25.2% | Valour
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
York United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for York United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
York United - Valour Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.69) |
3.6 ↑
(3.6) |
4.44 ↑
(4.31) |
10.5%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for York United - Valour?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. York United will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Valour will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. York United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York United won 2.
- York United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Valour is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, York United is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, York United won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, York United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has York United won against Valour?
York United has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valour won against York United?
Valour has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between York United - Valour were as follows:
16.05.2025
Valour
-
York United
2:1
13.09.2024
York United
-
Valour
1:1
11.08.2024
Valour
-
York United
0:1
27.06.2024
Valour
-
York United
1:0
10.05.2024
York United
-
Valour
3:1
Latest results of York United
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 33:12 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:15 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | York Utd | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Valour | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:41 | -23 | 14 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15:30 | -15 | 12 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
