Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        28/09/2025 at  15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Canadian Premier League
- Referee: Alayass M. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Canada | OneSoccer | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.83 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 58% | 42% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 88% (437/498) | 85% (304/359) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.83 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.32 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 7 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 22 | 17 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 16 | 12 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 88% (437/498) | 85% (304/359) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 63% (20/32) | 68% (36/53) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 70% (73/104) | 68% (57/84) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 44% (8/18) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.64 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 17 | 15 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 12 | 16 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 36% (5/14) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 44 | 37 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 20 | 13 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 12 | 11 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.28 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.28 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', Antonoglou T. 🟨, 
- 44', 1 - 0, Altobelli J. ⚽, Ferrin M. (A), 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Altobelli J. 🟨, 
- 62', Twardek K. ↓, Figueiredo B. ↑, 
- 65', Figueiredo B. 🟨, 
- 66', Altobelli J. ↓, Hundal S. ↑, 
- 66', Ferrin M. ↓, Reid A. ↑, 
- 72', Alarcon R. 🟨, 
- 76', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Venancio X. ↑, 
- 76', Froese K. ↓, Pop E. ↑, 
- 77', Lopez L. ↓, Bitar G. ↑, 
- 77', Alarcon R. ↓, Egwu K. ↑, 
- 80', Bitar G. 🟨, 
- 84', Jimoh S. ↓, DaSilva C. ↑, 
- 88', Faria J. ↓, Romeo R. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | York United 60.1%
 | Draw 23.6%
 | Valour 16.4%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        York United - Valour Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.57 ↓ (1.78)
 | 4 ↑ (3.53)
 | 5.76 ↑ (3.63)
 | 6.1% (12.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York United won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Valour may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, York United is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, York United won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, York United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has York United won against Valour?
                    
                    
                        
                            York United has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Valour won against York United?
                    
                    
                        
                             Valour has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between York United - Valour were as follows:
                                                        
                                17.08.2025 
                                Valour 
                                - 
                                York United 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                13.07.2025 
                                York United 
                                - 
                                Valour 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                16.05.2025 
                                Valour 
                                - 
                                York United 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                13.09.2024 
                                York United 
                                - 
                                Valour 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                11.08.2024 
                                Valour 
                                - 
                                York United 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of York United