Result
3:1
27/07/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (267/356) | 80% (330/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 2.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (267/356) | 80% (330/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (22/72) | 55% (38/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (54/89) | 68% (100/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.24 | 2.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.24 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Larusson S. ↓, Hoti A. ↑,
- 10', 1 - 0, Pedersen P. ⚽,
- 17', Antonsson B. 🟨,
- 38', Tufegdzic S. 🟨,
- 38', Bodvarsson B. 🟨,
- 45+4', Heimisson L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', Pedersen P. ↓, Haraldsson T. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 0, Heimisson L. ⚽,
- 63', Helgason B. ↓, Ingvarsson E. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 0, Haraldsson T. ⚽, Palsson A. (A),
- 71', 3 - 1, Hallsson S. ⚽, Halldorsson K. (A),
- 76', Sverrisson B. ↓, Finnbogason Kr. ↑,
- 76', Gunnarsson G. ↓, Faqa A. ↑,
- 81', Sigurdsson K. ↓, Johannsson A. ↑,
- 81', Jonsson J. ↓, Skoglund A. ↑,
- 81', Palsson A. ↓, Kjartansson O. ↑,
- 81', Bjornsson U. ↓, Bjarkason B. ↑,
- 81', Halldorsson K. ↓, Fjeldsted D. ↑,
- 84', Ingvarsson E. 🟨,
- 85', Bjarkason B. 🟨,
- 90+3', Schram F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Valur
54.1% | Draw
23.1% | FH Hafnarfjordur
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)FH Hafnarfjordur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FH Hafnarfjordur than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.68) |
4.03 ↓
(4.18) |
4.08 ↓
(4.15) |
7.5%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur?
Users Predictions:
Valur will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Valur will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 1.
- Valur is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Hafnarfjordur's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Valur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Valur has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Valur is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Valur will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:30. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against FH Hafnarfjordur?
Valur has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FH Hafnarfjordur won against Valur?
FH Hafnarfjordur has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur were as follows:
04.05.2025
FH Hafnarfjordur
-
Valur
3:0
19.10.2024
FH Hafnarfjordur
-
Valur
1:1
19.08.2024
FH Hafnarfjordur
-
Valur
2:2
25.05.2024
Valur
-
FH Hafnarfjordur
2:2
24.04.2024
Valur
-
FH Hafnarfjordur
3:0
Latest results of FH Hafnarfjordur
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur ✔ | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 52:33 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 40:27 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | Stjarnan ✔ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | Breidablik ✔ | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Fram | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 28 |
| 7 | Vestmannaeyjar | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 8 | Vestri | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | KA Akureyri | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:38 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | KR Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 42:44 | -2 | 24 |
| 11 | Afturelding ✔ | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Akranes ✔ | 20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Vikingur Reykjavik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Breidablik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
KR Reykjavik is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Afturelding is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Akranes is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
