Fram vs Valur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Icelandic Besta-deild karla Fram - Valur
Result
2:0
28/09/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Besta deild karla - Championship Group - Round 2
  • Referee: Thordarson T. (Ice)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Ísland
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.05
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
76% (327/431)82% (433/526)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.800.13
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
2523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
76
Passes
76% (327/431)82% (433/526)
Long passes
46% (36/79)40% (22/55)
Passes in final third
66% (90/136)64% (72/113)
Crosses
31% (5/16)24% (7/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.22
Throw-ins
821
Fouls
67
Tackles
67% (8/12)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3639
Clearances
3123
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.131.80
Goals prevented
0.13-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Fred Saraiva ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Fred Saraiva , Chopart K. (A),
  • 50', Lundemo M. 🟨,
  • 68', Heimisson B. , Palsson J. ,
  • 68', Bystrom J. , Hauksson R. ,
  • 68', Omarsson O. , Palsson A. ,
  • 75', Nakkim M. 🟨,
  • 77', Skoglund A. , Gunnarsson H. ,
  • 77', Larusson S. , Jonsson B. ,
  • 85', Tibbling S. , Aegisson M. ,
  • 86', Heimisson L. , Hoti A. ,
  • 90', Sigurdsson F. , Thordarson M. ,

Chances of winning


Fram
35.5%
Draw
26.1%
Valur
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 24.4% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 24.5% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fram has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fram than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Fram - Valur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.93)
    3.94
    (3.86)
    2.68
    (2.16)
    -2.8%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fram won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Recently, Valur has had a series of home games.
    • Valur is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fram won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fram won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fram - Valur were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Fram - Valur 2:1
    02.06.2025 Valur - Fram 2:1
    18.01.2025 Valur - Fram 1:0
    28.07.2024 Fram - Valur 4:1
    29.04.2024 Valur - Fram 1:1
    Latest results of Fram
    21.09.2025 Vikingur Reykjavik - Fram 2:1
    14.09.2025 FH Hafnarfjordur - Fram 2:2
    31.08.2025 Fram - Valur 2:1
    24.08.2025 KA Akureyri - Fram 2:0
    18.08.2025 Fram - KR Reykjavík 0:1
    Latest results of Valur
    22.09.2025 Valur - Breiðablik 1:1
    14.09.2025 Valur - Stjarnan 1:2
    31.08.2025 Fram - Valur 2:1
    26.08.2025 Valur - Afturelding 4:3
    22.08.2025 Valur - Vestri 0:1
    Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ 25156454:302451
    2Valur25135757:401744
    3Stjarnan25125847:41641
    4Breidablik25109642:38439
    5Hafnarfjordur2588942:38432
    6Fram25951136:36032

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vikingur Reykjavik is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )