Result
2:1
02/06/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 10
- Referee: Thordarson T. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | Stod 2 Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (598/693) | 77% (311/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (598/693) | 77% (311/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (25/61) | 40% (32/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (146/195) | 66% (78/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 0, Pedersen P. ⚽, Antonsson B. (A),
- 64', 1 - 1, Dimitrijevic V. ⚽, Garcia I. (A),
- 65', Asgrimsson H. ↓, Hlynsson O. ↑,
- 65', Magnusson G. ↓, Bystrom J. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Haraldsson T. ⚽, Schram F. (A),
- 77', Sigurdsson K. ↓, Kjartansson O. ↑,
- 77', Heimisson L. ↓, Larusson S. ↑,
- 77', Haraldsson T. ↓, Skoglund A. ↑,
- 81', Garcia I. 🟨,
- 83', Thorbjornsson T. ↓, Konradsson K. ↑,
- 85', Pedersen P. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
- 90+1', Jonsson J. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Valur
67.3% | Draw
17.6% | Fram
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Fram has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fram than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Valur - Fram Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.39) |
5.31 ↑
(5.18) |
6.17 ↓
(6.37) |
7.2%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for Valur - Fram?
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 42 - 87.5%). Fram will win (votes: 2 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 78.1% – 96.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Valur will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 2.
- Valur is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fram's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fram may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Valur is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Valur will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against Fram?
Valur has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fram won against Valur?
Fram has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valur - Fram were as follows:
18.01.2025
Valur
-
Fram
1:0
28.07.2024
Fram
-
Valur
4:1
29.04.2024
Valur
-
Fram
1:1
24.02.2024
Valur
-
Fram
2:1
31.01.2024
Fram
-
Valur
3:2
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 39:20 | 19 | 30 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 30 |
| 3 | Breidablik | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Fram | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Stjarnan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | Vestri | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:14 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Afturelding | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Hafnarfjordur | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Vestmannaeyjar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 18 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:31 | -15 | 18 |
| 11 | KR Reykjavik | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Akranes | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 16:34 | -18 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
