Result
27/06/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 13
- Referee: Thorarinsson V. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Iceland | SÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Ísland |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.26 | 2.03 |
Ball Possession |
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48% | 52% |
Total shots |
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7 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Passes |
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75% (298/398) | 76% (331/436) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.26 | 2.03 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.15 | 1.93 |
Total shots |
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7 | 20 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 7 |
Shots off target |
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1 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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4 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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16 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 17 |
Passes |
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75% (298/398) | 76% (331/436) |
Long passes |
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43% (32/74) | 38% (26/69) |
Passes in final third |
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54% (52/97) | 58% (68/117) |
Crosses |
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18% (3/17) | 26% (5/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.46 | 0.97 |
Throw-ins |
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22 | 21 |
Fouls |
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17 | 15 |
Tackles |
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69% (11/16) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
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46 | 51 |
Clearances |
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27 | 28 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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1.93 | 0.15 |
Goals prevented |
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-2.07 | -1.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', Magnusson T. 🟨,
- 10', 0 - 1, Palsson A. ⚽, Heimisson L. (A),
- 12', 0 - 2, Sigurgeirsson A. (Own goal),
- 34', Baldvinsson B. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Adalsteinsson B. ⚽, Rodri (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Baldvinsson B. ↓, Edmundsson J. S. ↑,
- 46', Valsson D. ↓, Hrafnkelsson G. ↑,
- 59', Romer M. 🟨,
- 64', Edmundsson J. S. 🟨,
- 69', Pedersen P. ↓, Skoglund A. ↑,
- 69', Arnason J. ↓, Stole I. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 3, Magnusson T. ⚽,
- 73', 1 - 4, Skoglund A. ⚽, Larusson S. (A),
- 79', Romer M. ↓, Thordarson M. ↑,
- 81', Heimisson L. ↓, Kjartansson O. ↑,
- 81', Jonsson J. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
- 83', Sigurgeirsson A. ↓, Kjartansson V. ↑,
- 85', Palsson A. ↓, Stefansson S. ↑,
- 85', Magnusson T. ↓, Hoti A. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 5, Stefansson S. ⚽,
- 90', 2 - 5, Gudmundsson H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
KA Akureyri 30.9% | Draw 24.9% | Valur 44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KA Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KA Akureyri's performance.Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KA Akureyri that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
KA Akureyri - Valur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.06 ↓ (3.93) |
3.8 (3.8) |
2.14 ↑ (1.75) |
5.6% (8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for KA Akureyri - Valur?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. KA Akureyri will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Valur will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Valur (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KA Akureyri won 2.
- KA Akureyri has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Valur is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- KA Akureyri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Valur could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KA Akureyri won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:34. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, KA Akureyri won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has KA Akureyri won against Valur?
KA Akureyri has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against KA Akureyri?
Valur has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KA Akureyri - Valur were as follows:
23.04.2025
Valur
-
KA Akureyri
3:1
06.08.2024
KA Akureyri
-
Valur
1:0
02.07.2024
KA Akureyri
-
Valur
3:2
11.05.2024
Valur
-
KA Akureyri
3:1
07.08.2023
Valur
-
KA Akureyri
4:2
Latest results of KA Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Valur | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 39:20 | 19 | 30 |
2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 30 |
3 | Breidablik | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 7 | 30 |
4 | Fram | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 23 |
5 | Stjarnan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 21 |
6 | Vestri | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:14 | -1 | 19 |
7 | Afturelding | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Hafnarfjordur | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 18 |
9 | Vestmannaeyjar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 18 |
10 | KA Akureyri | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:31 | -15 | 18 |
11 | KR Reykjavik | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Akranes | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 16:34 | -18 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )