Result
27/06/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 13
- Referee: Thorarinsson V. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (298/398) | 76% (331/436) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (298/398) | 76% (331/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (32/74) | 38% (26/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (52/97) | 58% (68/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.07 | -1.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', Magnusson T. 🟨,
- 10', 0 - 1, Palsson A. ⚽, Heimisson L. (A),
- 12', 0 - 2, Sigurgeirsson A. (Own goal),
- 34', Baldvinsson B. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Adalsteinsson B. ⚽, Rodri (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Baldvinsson B. ↓, Edmundsson J. S. ↑,
- 46', Valsson D. ↓, Hrafnkelsson G. ↑,
- 59', Romer M. 🟨,
- 64', Edmundsson J. S. 🟨,
- 69', Pedersen P. ↓, Skoglund A. ↑,
- 69', Arnason J. ↓, Stole I. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 3, Magnusson T. ⚽,
- 73', 1 - 4, Skoglund A. ⚽, Larusson S. (A),
- 79', Romer M. ↓, Thordarson M. ↑,
- 81', Heimisson L. ↓, Kjartansson O. ↑,
- 81', Jonsson J. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
- 83', Sigurgeirsson A. ↓, Kjartansson V. ↑,
- 85', Palsson A. ↓, Stefansson S. ↑,
- 85', Magnusson T. ↓, Hoti A. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 5, Stefansson S. ⚽,
- 90', 2 - 5, Gudmundsson H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
KA Akureyri
30.9% | Draw
24.9% | Valur
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KA Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KA Akureyri's performance.Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KA Akureyri that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
KA Akureyri - Valur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↓
(3.93) |
3.8
(3.8) |
2.14 ↑
(1.75) |
5.6%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for KA Akureyri - Valur?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. KA Akureyri will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Valur will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Valur (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KA Akureyri won 2.
- KA Akureyri has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Valur is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- KA Akureyri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Valur could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KA Akureyri won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:34. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, KA Akureyri won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has KA Akureyri won against Valur?
KA Akureyri has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against KA Akureyri?
Valur has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KA Akureyri - Valur were as follows:
23.04.2025
Valur
-
KA Akureyri
3:1
06.08.2024
KA Akureyri
-
Valur
1:0
02.07.2024
KA Akureyri
-
Valur
3:2
11.05.2024
Valur
-
KA Akureyri
3:1
07.08.2023
Valur
-
KA Akureyri
4:2
Latest results of KA Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur ✔ | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 52:33 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 40:27 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | Stjarnan ✔ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | Breidablik ✔ | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Fram | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 28 |
| 7 | Vestmannaeyjar | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 8 | Vestri | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | KA Akureyri | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:38 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | KR Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 42:44 | -2 | 24 |
| 11 | Afturelding ✔ | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Akranes ✔ | 20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Vikingur Reykjavik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Breidablik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
KR Reykjavik is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Afturelding is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Akranes is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
