Vanoli-Braga Cremona vs Derthona Basket Tortona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
71:76
21/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Lega A - Round 12
  • Referee: Bartolomeo A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyLBA TV

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5664
Field Goals Made
2328
Field Goals %
41.07%43.75%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2432
2-Point Field Goals Made
1418
2-Point Field Goals %
58.33%56.25%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3232
3-Point Field Goals Made
910
3-Point Field Goals %
28.13%31.25%
Free Throws Attempted
1912
Free Throws Made
1610
Free Throws %
84.2%83.3%
Offensive Rebounds
109
Defensive Rebounds
2929
Total Rebounds
3938
Assists
1214
Blocks
11
Turnovers
128
Steals
65
Personal Fouls
1818

Chances of winning


Vanoli-Braga Cremona
40.8%
Derthona Basket Tortona
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 51.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vanoli-Braga Cremona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vanoli-Braga Cremona's form might have worsened.
  • Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derthona Basket Tortona's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanoli-Braga Cremona than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vanoli-Braga Cremona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derthona Basket Tortona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Derthona Basket Tortona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2)

    1.6
    (1.71)
    5.9%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 175.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Derthona Basket Tortona?
  • Users Predictions: Vanoli-Braga Cremona will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vanoli-Braga Cremona will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:90.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremona won 1.
    • Recent form of Cremona has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tortona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tortona will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cremona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 660:632. (average 82.5:79).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cremona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 331:306. (average 82.8:76.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Derthona Basket Tortona were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Derthona Basket Tortona 94:99
    29.09.2024 Derthona Basket Tortona - Vanoli-Braga Cremona 80:68
    30.03.2024 Derthona Basket Tortona - Vanoli-Braga Cremona 87:76
    17.12.2023 Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Derthona Basket Tortona 83:67
    Latest results of Vanoli-Braga Cremona
    Latest results of Derthona Basket Tortona
    Italian Lega A Basketball Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Virtus Bologna191631631:149032
    2Brescia191541700:159630
    3Olimpia Milano191451615:146428
    4Venezia181351630:150726
    5Tortona191271653:163524
    6Trieste181081542:156720
    7Trento199101621:159618
    8Udine198111559:154416
    9Cremona198111552:160716
    10Basket Napoli187111501:154514
    11Reggiana187111445:145614
    12Varese197121555:164314
    13Sassari196131594:167512
    14Cantu195141605:170710
    15Treviso183151449:16206
    16Trapani0000:00

          Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation