Result
3:3
14/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 25
- Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (141/208) | 84% (414/490) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (141/208) | 84% (414/490) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (18/59) | 42% (18/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (41/66) | 71% (98/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.35 | -1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Appindangoye A. ⚽, Ethemi V. (A),
- 13', Destici S. 🟨,
- 22', Ciftci U. ↓, Celik M. ↑,
- 28', 2 - 0, Manaj R. ⚽, Ethemi V. (A),
- 30', 2 - 1, Mamah K. ⚽, Ozcan M. (A),
- 32', 3 - 1, Manaj R. ⚽,
- 37', Charisis C. 🟨,
- 41', Traore A. ↓, Bikoue ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Secgin E. ↓, Jefferson ↑,
- 46', Charisis C. ↓, Yigiter O. ↑,
- 57', Basyigit E. 🟨,
- 62', Caglayan O. 🟨,
- 63', Jefferson 🟨,
- 68', 3 - 2, Mamah K. ⚽,
- 74', Ethemi V. ↓, Malle A. ↑,
- 74', Celik C. ↓, Avramovski D. ↑,
- 77', Cavusoglu M. 🟨,
- 81', Ozcan M. ↓, Kara B. C. ↑,
- 81', Caglayan O. ↓, Bars E. ↑,
- 84', Okoronkwo J. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
- 86', Hostikka S. ↓, Bilal H. ↑,
- 90+3', Bars E. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 3, Cavusoglu M. ⚽, Bikoue (A),
Chances of winning
Sivasspor
40.6% | Draw
30.2% | Vanspor
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Sivasspor - Vanspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.2) |
3.06 ↓
(3.21) |
3.2 ↑
(3.11) |
7.4%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sivasspor - Vanspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Vanspor (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Sivasspor (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Vanspor (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 12).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sivasspor could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Vanspor: Xesc
(Hernia)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sivasspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Vanspor?
Sivasspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vanspor won against Sivasspor?
Vanspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sivasspor - Vanspor were as follows:
20.09.2025
Vanspor
-
Sivasspor
0:0
Latest results of Sivasspor
Latest results of Vanspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 77:24 | 53 | 75 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 75:34 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 77:32 | 45 | 67 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:35 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Boluspor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:52 | 0 | 42 |
| 15 | Umraniyespor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 40:51 | -11 | 40 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
