Result
0:1
14/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 17
- Referee: Olcar B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (471/553) | 72% (231/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (471/553) | 72% (231/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (39/64) | 33% (18/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (106/152) | 62% (52/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Bars E. ↓, Vlachomitros A. ↑,
- 59', Babacan A. ↓, Bulbul A. T. ↑,
- 62', Bilal H. ↓, Manis M. ↑,
- 64', Ozdemir T. ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,
- 74', Kosoko T. ↓, Yildirim O. ↑,
- 74', Bardhi J. ↓, Aktas K. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Djokanovic A. ⚽,
- 82', Bingol M. ↓, Usta G. ↑,
- 83', Jefferson ↓, Secgin E. ↑,
- 90+3', Topaloglu C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vanspor
61% | Draw
22.8% | Umraniyespor
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vanspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Vanspor - Umraniyespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.56) |
4.11 ↑
(4.05) |
5.69 ↑
(5.29) |
7.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Vanspor - Umraniyespor?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Vanspor will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Umraniyespor (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.75 - Umraniyespor (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Vanspor is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Umraniyespor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Umraniyespor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Vanspor is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Vanspor: Destici S.
(Knee Injury)
Genc F. C.
(Suspended)
Kesici T.
(Inactive)
Lucas Africo
(Red Card)
Manis M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Kaplan E.
(Suspended)
Saitoglu Y.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Vanspor: Dikmen E.
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Vanspor won against Umraniyespor?
Vanspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Vanspor?
Umraniyespor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vanspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:
Latest results of Vanspor
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
