Result
0:0
11/05/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 34
- Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (493/573) | 70% (162/233) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (493/573) | 70% (162/233) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (18/43) | 38% (18/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (56/102) | 55% (35/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 68% (19/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Radosevic J. 🟨,
- 35', Latkovic A. (Pen),
- 41', Ba L. 🟨,
- 45', Marina M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Calusic I. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
- 63', Lawal S. ↓, Rozic V. ↑,
- 66', Antunovic M. ↓, Poldrugac J. ↑,
- 69', Duvnjak T. 🟨,
- 72', Koski V. 🟨,
- 73', Gagua G. ↓, Fucak K. ↑,
- 81', Latkovic A. ↓, Cuic M. ↑,
- 81', Duvnjak T. ↓, Tepsic N. ↑,
- 85', Keller S. ↓, Robertsson L. H. ↑,
- 85', Kadusic A. ↓, Heister M. ↑,
- 88', Heister M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Vuk M. ↓, Alic E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
44.9% | Draw
31.7% | Varaždin
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Istra 1961 - Varaždin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(2) |
2.99 ↑
(2.75) |
3.99 ↓
(4.2) |
6.3%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Varaždin?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Istra 1961 (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Istra 1961 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Istra 1961 is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Loncar S.
(Red Card)
Maresic D.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Varaždin?
Istra 1961 has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Istra 1961?
Varaždin has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Varaždin were as follows:
08.03.2025
Varaždin
-
Istra 1961
0:0
07.12.2024
Istra 1961
-
Varaždin
0:0
20.09.2024
Varaždin
-
Istra 1961
1:0
17.05.2024
Istra 1961
-
Varaždin
2:0
08.03.2024
Varaždin
-
Istra 1961
2:2
Latest results of Istra 1961
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Gorica | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Osijek | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
