Result
1:3
19/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 18
- Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (368/432) | 82% (299/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (368/432) | 82% (299/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (29/47) | 36% (14/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (98/137) | 70% (62/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.29 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', Heister M. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Prevljak S. ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 1, Mamut I. ⚽, Duvnjak T. (A),
- 44', Puncec R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Ayuma I. ↓, Mauric A. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 2, Rozic V. ⚽, Frederiksen E. (A),
- 55', Koski V. ↓, Nasraoui M. ↑,
- 57', Nasraoui M. 🟨,
- 63', Ba L. 🟨,
- 67', Rozic V. 🟨,
- 67', Tavares I. ↓, Latkovic A. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 3, Prevljak S. ⚽, Frederiksen E. (A),
- 74', Rozic V. ↓, Taraba F. ↑,
- 78', Borsic A. ↓, Begonja D. ↑,
- 78', Duvnjak T. ↓, Antunovic M. ↑,
- 82', Mamut I. 🟨,
- 83', Prevljak S. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
- 83', Frederiksen E. ↓, Jay A. ↑,
- 83', Skaricic L. ↓, Tepsic N. ↑,
- 83', Belcar L. ↓, Puclin D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
37.4% | Draw
32.2% | Istra 1961
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Varaždin - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.58) |
2.91 ↓
(2.94) |
3.09 ↑
(2.77) |
7.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Istra 1961 will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Varaždin (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 1.
- Varaždin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Istra 1961 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Varaždin could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Bockaj P.
(Inactive)
Maglica F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Kadusic A.
(Muscle Injury)
Lawal S.
(International duty)
Nasraoui M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Istra 1961?
Varaždin has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Varaždin?
Istra 1961 has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Istra 1961 were as follows:
03.10.2025
Istra 1961
-
Varaždin
1:0
11.05.2025
Istra 1961
-
Varaždin
0:0
08.03.2025
Varaždin
-
Istra 1961
0:0
07.12.2024
Istra 1961
-
Varaždin
0:0
20.09.2024
Varaždin
-
Istra 1961
1:0
Latest results of Varaždin
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 36:16 | 20 | 35 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 34 |
| 3 | Istra 1961 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 23 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Gorica | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 19 |
| 8 | Lok. Zagreb | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:28 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:30 | -12 | 15 |
| 10 | Osijek | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
