Result
1:3
18/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
- 29', 1 - 1, Ferretti A. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Salducco V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 80', 1 - 3, Ferretti A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varese 37.4% | Draw 27.8% | Sestri Levante 34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+0.2%)The ML Model estimate for Sestri Levante aligns with the current prediction.
Varese - Sestri Levante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.42 ↑ (2.41) |
3.26 ↓ (3.28) |
2.6 ↑ (2.59) |
10.5% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
- Varese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sestri Levante is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Varese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Sestri Levante?
Varese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sestri Levante won against Varese?
Sestri Levante has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varese - Sestri Levante were as follows:
Latest results of Sestri Levante
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ligorna | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 50:21 | 29 | 59 |
| 2 | Vado | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 58 |
| 3 | Sestri Levante | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 45:22 | 23 | 47 |
| 4 | Chisola | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 32:22 | 10 | 47 |
| 5 | AS Biellese | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 34:35 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Sanremese | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 9 | Imperia | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:33 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Valenzana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Derthona FbC | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29:37 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | Gozzano | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:32 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Cairese | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Asti | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 25 |
| 15 | Celle Varazze | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Lavagnese | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:34 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Club Milano | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23:42 | -19 | 23 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 19:46 | -27 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation