Varese vs Sestri Levante – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
18/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group A - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Ferretti A. ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 2, Salducco V. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 80', 1 - 3, Ferretti A. ,

Chances of winning


Varese
37.4%
Draw
27.8%
Sestri Levante
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 27.6% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 27.7% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Sestri Levante aligns with the current prediction.
  • Varese - Sestri Levante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.41)
    3.26
    (3.28)
    2.6
    (2.59)
    10.5%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
    • Varese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sestri Levante is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Varese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    Latest results of Varese
    11.01.2026 Chisola - Varese 3:4
    04.01.2026 Varese - Imperia 1:1
    21.12.2025 Varese - Lavagnese 1:0
    14.12.2025 Saluzzo - Varese 1:1
    07.12.2025 Derthona - Varese 1:2
    Latest results of Sestri Levante
    Italian Serie D - Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ligorna26185350:212959
    2Vado26184448:183058
    3Sestri Levante26138545:222347
    4Chisola26145732:221047
    5AS Biellese26127733:221143
    6Varese FC26126834:35-142
    7Saluzzo26107942:37537
    8Sanremese2698927:23435
    9Imperia2698929:33-435
    10Valenzana26881023:33-1032
    11Derthona FbC26941329:37-831
    12Gozzano26781128:32-429
    13Cairese26611920:29-929
    14Asti26671322:30-825
    15Celle Varazze26671330:40-1025
    16Lavagnese264111122:34-1223
    17Club Milano26651523:42-1923
    18NovaRomentin26631719:46-2720

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
          Relegation