Result
0:0
09/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Varesina
34.8% | Draw
28% | Casatese
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varesina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casatese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Varesina - Casatese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.28) |
3.23 ↓
(3.35) |
2.44 ↓
(2.68) |
10.3%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).
- In recent matches, Varesina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Casatese is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Varesina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varesina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Varesina won against Casatese?
Varesina has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casatese won against Varesina?
Casatese has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varesina - Casatese were as follows:
17.04.2025
Varesina
-
Casatese
2:3
27.01.2024
Varesina
-
Casatese
4:1
01.10.2023
Casatese
-
Varesina
2:3
16.04.2023
Casatese
-
Varesina
3:1
04.12.2022
Varesina
-
Casatese
0:1
Latest results of Varesina
Latest results of Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 26 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 37:25 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | Chievo | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 43 |
| 5 | AC Milan U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:30 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Leon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:26 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Oltrepo | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Scanzorosciate | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Castellanzese | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
| 12 | Caldiero Terme | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 14 | Breno | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:38 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Varesina | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Pavia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 19 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 15:39 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
