Varzim vs Felgueiras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Varzim - Felgueiras
Result
2:3
04/05/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Feliz ,
  • 33', Banguera E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Xandao ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Moreira P. , Pereira N. ,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Bonilla J. ,
  • 56', Ufala S. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 2, Silva A. ,
  • 65', Souza N. , Braga V. ,
  • 65', Santos Teixeira L. , Pimenta G. ,
  • 71', Andrade D. 🟨,
  • 72', Carlos Eduardo , Santos J. ,
  • 72', Feliz , Takahashi K. ,
  • 72', Lemos I. M. , Pereira G. ,
  • 80', Ufala S. , Dias J. ,
  • 80', Cassio L. , Moura M. ,
  • 87', Sangare M. , Areias R. ,
  • 87', Andrade D. , Bruninho ,
  • 88', Vasco Rocha 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 3, Pereira G. ,
  • 90+3', Xandao 🟨,

Chances of winning


Varzim
17.6%
Draw
25.3%
Felgueiras
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 28.8% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 28.5% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varzim's form might have worsened.
  • Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felgueiras's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varzim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felgueiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varzim - Felgueiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.26
    (3.65)
    3.66
    (3.26)
    1.62
    (2.06)
    8.1%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )).
    • Varzim is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Felgueiras is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Felgueiras is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Varzim won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varzim - Felgueiras were as follows:
    09.03.2024 Felgueiras - Varzim 1:0
    28.01.2024 Varzim - Felgueiras 1:0
    29.10.2023 Felgueiras - Varzim 2:0
    20.01.2023 Felgueiras - Varzim 2:0
    17.09.2022 Varzim - Felgueiras 3:0
    Latest results of Varzim
    28.04.2024 Alverca - Varzim 1:0
    20.04.2024 Varzim - Atlético CP 1:1
    13.04.2024 Braga B - Varzim 2:1
    07.04.2024 Varzim - Lusitânia 4:3
    Latest results of Felgueiras
    28.04.2024 Felgueiras - Lusitânia 2:0
    20.04.2024 Alverca - Felgueiras 1:1
    07.04.2024 Felgueiras - Atlético CP 2:0
    30.03.2024 Felgueiras - Covilhã 2:0
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1Pacos FerreiraOs Belenenses2 : 0, 1 : 2