Result
4:1
07/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Mendez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, DSports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | DSports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (204/269) | 88% (366/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.98 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (204/269) | 88% (366/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (17/45) | 68% (28/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (63/97) | 75% (71/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 3.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 1 - 0, Paredes J. (Pen),
- 38', 1 - 1, Joao Victor ⚽, Lucas Piton (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 50', 2 - 1, Padron G. ⚽, Paredes J. (A),
- 55', Mateus Carvalho ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
- 55', Tche Tche ↓, Moreira N. ↑,
- 56', Mbaye M. 🟨,
- 58', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
- 60', 3 - 1, Guerrero R. ⚽, Meza D. (A),
- 65', Guerrero R. ↓, Awudu Abdul ↑,
- 65', 4 - 1, Paredes J. ⚽, Padron G. (A),
- 69', Rayan ↓, Adson ↑,
- 73', Linares H. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
- 74', Meza D. ↓, Manzambi N. ↑,
- 74', Paredes J. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
- 78', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 79', Paulo Henrique ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 79', Coutinho ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 81', Contreras H. ↓, Echeverria J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Academia Puerto Cabello
16.3% | Draw
24.1% | Vasco da Gama
59.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Academia Puerto Cabello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Academia Puerto Cabello's form might have worsened.Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Academia Puerto Cabello - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.76 ↑
(4.39) |
3.88 ↑
(3.66) |
1.57 ↓
(1.77) |
6.6%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Academia Puerto Cabello - Vasco da Gama?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Vasco (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Vasco da Gama will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Puerto Cabello has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vasco has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vasco is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Puerto Cabello won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Academia Puerto Cabello won against Vasco da Gama?
Academia Puerto Cabello has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Academia Puerto Cabello?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Academia Puerto Cabello - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
08.04.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Academia Puerto Cabello
1:0
Latest results of Academia Puerto Cabello
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
