Result
03/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Flamengo
63.4% | Draw
21.9% | Vasco da Gama
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Flamengo - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.44) |
4.31 ↑
(3.95) |
6.4 ↓
(6.97) |
6.1%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
- Flamengo is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Vasco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Flamengo is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:14. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Vasco da Gama?
Flamengo has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Flamengo?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
21.01.2026
Flamengo
-
Vasco da Gama
1:0
21.09.2025
Flamengo
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
19.04.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Flamengo
0:0
08.03.2025
Flamengo
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
01.03.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Flamengo
0:1
Latest results of Flamengo
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
