Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo RJ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ
Result
0:2
12/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 13
  • Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.473.50
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1121
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
91% (594/652)86% (289/338)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.473.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.203.56
Total shots
1121
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1829
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
91% (594/652)86% (289/338)
Long passes
56% (22/39)51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
75% (88/118)76% (67/88)
Crosses
21% (5/24)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.312.42
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
1214
Tackles
57% (8/14)53% (9/17)
Duels won
3944
Clearances
1127
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
3.560.20
Goals prevented
1.560.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Barboza A. 🟨,
  • 42', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Montoro A. 🟨,
  • 48', 0 - 1, Cabral A. ,
  • 52', Lucas Freitas , Mateus Carvalho ,
  • 61', Coutinho , Alex Teixeira ,
  • 63', Savarino J. , Correa J. ,
  • 75', Cabral A. , Nathan Fernandes ,
  • 79', 0 - 2, Nathan Fernandes , Marlon Freitas (A),
  • 83', Artur , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 83', Montoro A. , Newton ,
  • 84', Moreira N. , Garre B. ,
  • 84', Vegetti P. , GB ,
  • 84', Rayan , David ,
  • 87', Garre B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
26.5%
Draw
29.4%
Botafogo RJ
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 29.6% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 29.5% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.56
    (3.12)
    3.23
    (3.21)
    2.17
    (2.37)
    5.3%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Botafogo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vasco: David (Knee Injury) Guilherme Estrella (Knee Injury) Paulinho (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Jeffinho (Inactive) Matheus Martins (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    05.11.2024 Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama 3:0
    29.06.2024 Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ 1:1
    18.02.2024 Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama 2:4
    06.11.2023 Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ18124233:82540
    2Cruzeiro19114431:131837
    3Palmeiras17113323:15836
    4Bahia1786323:16730
    5Botafogo RJ1785423:101329
    6Mirassol1777328:181028
    7Sao Paulo1977522:20228
    8Bragantino1983822:25-327
    9Fluminense1773721:23-224
    10Atletico-MG1766519:18124
    11Internacional1866621:23-224
    12Ceara1864818:19-122
    13Corinthians1957718:23-522
    14Santos1863920:23-321
    15Gremio1855816:24-820
    16Vitoria1939716:22-618
    17Vasco1744919:24-516
    18Fortaleza1836918:29-1115
    19Juventude17421113:36-2314
    20Sport Recife17161010:25-159

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet