Result
3:0
05/11/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 32
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (396/440) | 91% (384/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.90 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (396/440) | 91% (384/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (28/50) | 61% (17/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (114/132) | 77% (54/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 3.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 41', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Alex Telles (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Tche Tche ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 56', Matheus Franca 🟨,
- 62', Fernando Diniz 🟨,
- 64', Correa J. ↓, Artur ↑,
- 69', Cauan Barros ↓, Hugo Moura ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, Artur ⚽, Savarino J. (A),
- 73', Artur 🟨,
- 74', Arthur Cabral ↓, Ramos C. ↑,
- 74', Savarino J. ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
- 77', 3 - 0, Leo Jardim (Own goal),
- 79', Vegetti P. ↓, David ↑,
- 80', David 🟨,
- 81', Danilo ↓, Newton ↑,
- 81', Rodriguez S. ↓, Allan ↑,
- 88', Gomez C. A. ↓, GB ↑,
- 88', Coutinho ↓, Thiago Mendes ↑,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
50.9% | Draw
26.1% | Vasco da Gama
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(1.9) |
3.64 ↑
(3.61) |
4.13 ↑
(3.93) |
5.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Vasco will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 27% – 65.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 3 - 30%). Vasco (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.
- Recent performances by Botafogo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vasco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Botafogo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Correa J.
(Inactive)
Kaio
(Knee Injury)
Marcal
(Inactive)
Matheus Martins
(Injury)
Montoro A.
(Injury)
Nathan Fernandes
(Arm Injury)
Neto
(Thigh Injury)
Savarino J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Jair
(Knee Injury)
Moreira N.
(Yellow Cards)
Paulo Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Alex Telles
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Garre B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Vasco da Gama?
Botafogo RJ has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Botafogo RJ?
Vasco da Gama has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
11.09.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Vasco da Gama
1:2
27.08.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Botafogo RJ
1:1
12.07.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Botafogo RJ
0:2
23.02.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
05.11.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Vasco da Gama
3:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 74:24 | 50 | 75 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 60:32 | 28 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro ✔ | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 69 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 58:36 | 22 | 63 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 46:38 | 8 | 58 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 50:32 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Bahia | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 48:44 | 4 | 57 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 40:46 | -6 | 48 |
| 9 | Gremio | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:48 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | Vasco | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 55:53 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 45 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 45 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38:40 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 33:36 | -3 | 43 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Santos | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 41 |
| 17 | Internacional | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 41 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 38:53 | -15 | 37 |
| 19 | Juventude ✔ | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 34:65 | -31 | 34 |
| 20 | Sport Recife ✔ | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 28:69 | -41 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
