Result
1:2 penalties
11/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Betano do Brasil - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (434/494) | 86% (333/387) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (434/494) | 86% (333/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 43% (20/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (88/118) | 75% (50/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Tche Tche ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
- 21', 0 - 1, Moreira N. ⚽,
- 38', Fernando Diniz 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Alex Telles (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lucas Piton ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 58', Correa J. ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
- 58', Ponte M. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 69', Coutinho ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 69', Rodriguez S. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
- 69', Jeffinho ↓, Artur ↑,
- 82', Moreira N. ↓, David ↑,
- 82', Mateus Carvalho ↓, Robert Renan ↑,
- 84', Artur ↓, Ramos C. ↑,
- Penalties (3 - 5)
- 1, Vegetti P. (Pen),
- 1, Alex Telles (Pen),
- 2, Rayan (Pen),
- 2, Marlon Freitas (Pen),
- 3, Rodriguez J. (Pen),
- 3, Matheus Martins (Pen),
- 4, Matheus Franca (Pen),
- 4, Savarino J. (Pen),
- 5, Robert Renan (Pen),
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
55.9% | Draw
26.5% | Vasco da Gama
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.61) |
3.52 ↓
(3.72) |
5.27 ↓
(5.52) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Botafogo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Cuiabano
(Ankle Injury)
Ramos C.
(Head Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Jair
(Injury)
Paulo Henrique
(Muscle Injury)
Tche Tche
(Muscle Injury)
Thiago Mendes
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Vasco da Gama?
Botafogo RJ has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Botafogo RJ?
Vasco da Gama has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
27.08.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Botafogo RJ
1:1
12.07.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Botafogo RJ
0:2
23.02.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
05.11.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Vasco da Gama
3:0
29.06.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Botafogo RJ
1:1
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Draw
20251/64-finals| 1 | Santos | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | CRB | |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | Bye | |
| 7 | Inter de Limeira | Vila Nova FC | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Rio Branco-VN | Amazonas | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Maringa FC | Juventude | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Uniao Carmolandense | America RN | 4 : 2 |
| 11 | Tocantinopolis | Atletico-MG | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Independencia | Manaus | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Concordia | Ponte Preta | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Portuguesa | Botafogo PB | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Flamengo RJ | |
| 17 | Operario VG | Sport Recife | 1 : 0 |
| 18 | Rio Branco ES | Novorizontino | 1 : 3 |
| 20 | Bye | Corinthians | |
| 21 | Sergipe | Ceara | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Parnahyba | Confianca | 0 : 5 |
| 24 | Bye | Palmeiras | |
| 25 | Sao Paulo | Bye | |
| 27 | Maranhao | Vitoria | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Santa Cruz de Natal | Nautico | 0 : 4 |
| 29 | Trem | Brusque | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Olaria | ABC | 1 : 0 |
| 31 | Pouso Alegre | Athletico-PR | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Guarany de Bage | AE Altos | 2 : 1 |
| 33 | Tuna Luso | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0 |
| 34 | Boavista | CSA | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Sao Raimundo RR | Gremio | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Barcelona | Athletic Club | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Humaita | Operario-PR | 0 : 1 |
| 38 | CSE | Tombense | 1 : 3 |
| 39 | Uniao Rondonopolis | Vasco | 0 : 3 |
| 40 | Barcelona RO | Nova Iguacu | 1 : 4 |
| 41 | Botafogo RJ | Bye | |
| 43 | Porto Velho | Cuiaba | 1 : 0 |
| 44 | Capital | Portuguesa RJ | 1 : 0 |
| 45 | Operario MS | Criciuma | 0 : 1 |
| 46 | GAS | Remo | 0 : 4 |
| 47 | Sousa | Bragantino | 1 : 2 |
| 48 | Oratorio | EC Sao Jose | 1 : 3 |
| 49 | Aguia De Maraba | Fluminense | 0 : 8 |
| 50 | Dourados | SER Caxias | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Cascavel | America MG | 1 : 0 |
| 52 | Votuporanguense | Aparecidense | 2 : 3 |
| 53 | Internacional | Bye | |
| 55 | Ceilandia | Coritiba | 3 : 2 |
| 56 | Maracana | Ferroviario | 2 : 1 |
| 57 | ASA | Atletico GO | 1 : 2 |
| 58 | Jequie | Retro | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Fortaleza | |
| 61 | Paysandu PA | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Bahia | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Santos | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | CRB | |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | Bye | |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | Rio Branco-VN | 6 : 0 |
| 5 | Maringa FC | Uniao Carmolandense | 4 : 2 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Manaus | 4 : 1 |
| 7 | Concordia | Botafogo PB | 0 : 4 |
| 8 | Bye | Flamengo RJ | |
| 9 | Operario VG | Novorizontino | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Corinthians | |
| 11 | Ceara | Confianca | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Palmeiras | |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | Bye | |
| 14 | Vitoria | Nautico | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Brusque | Olaria | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Athletico-PR | Guarany de Bage | 3 : 1 |
| 17 | Tuna Luso | CSA | 0 : 5 |
| 18 | Gremio | Athletic Club | 4 : 3 |
| 19 | Operario-PR | Tombense | 1 : 0 |
| 20 | Vasco | Nova Iguacu | 3 : 0 |
| 21 | Botafogo RJ | Bye | |
| 22 | Porto Velho | Capital | 1 : 3 |
| 23 | Criciuma | Remo | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bragantino | EC Sao Jose | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Fluminense | SER Caxias | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Cascavel | Aparecidense | 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Internacional | Bye | |
| 28 | Ceilandia | Maracana | 0 : 1 |
| 29 | Atletico GO | Retro | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Bye | Fortaleza | |
| 31 | Paysandu PA | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Bahia | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Santos | CRB | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | Vila Nova FC | 3 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Maringa FC | Atletico-MG | 0 : 4, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Botafogo PB | Flamengo RJ | 2 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | Corinthians | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Ceara | Palmeiras | 0 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | Nautico | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Brusque | Athletico-PR | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 9 | CSA | Gremio | 0 : 0, 3 : 2 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | Vasco | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | Capital | 0 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 12 | Criciuma | Bragantino | 0 : 6, 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Fluminense | Aparecidense | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Internacional | Maracana | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Retro | Fortaleza | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | Bahia | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | CRB | Cruzeiro | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Palmeiras | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | Athletico-PR | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | CSA | Vasco | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | Bragantino | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fluminense | Internacional | 1 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Retro | Bahia | 0 : 0, 2 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cruzeiro | Atletico-MG | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Athletico-PR | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Vasco | Botafogo RJ | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Fluminense | Bahia | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cruzeiro | Corinthians | |
| 2 | Vasco | Fluminense | |
Final
