Result
1:2
04/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (461/512) | 79% (236/299) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (461/512) | 79% (236/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 32% (13/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (120/150) | 67% (52/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 73% (19/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Saldivia A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Alex Telles ↓, Caio Roque ↑,
- 52', Junior Santos 🟨,
- 55', Ferraresi N. 🟨,
- 60', Junior Santos ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, David ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
- 66', 1 - 1, Villalba Jaume L. M. ⚽, Caio Roque (A),
- 69', Edenilson ↓, Barria K. ↑,
- 69', Arthur Cabral ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
- 70', Tche Tche ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,
- 70', Rojas J. ↓, Moreira N. ↑,
- 78', David ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Matheus Martins ⚽, Montoro A. (A),
- 88', Allan ↓, Newton ↑,
- 90', Edenilson 🟨,
- 90+2', Raul Steffens 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
48.3% | Draw
28% | Botafogo RJ
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.23) |
3.39 ↑
(3.33) |
4.01 ↑
(3.3) |
5.1%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
- Vasco is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Botafogo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vasco could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Vasco: Cuiabano
(Injury)
Jair
(Knee Injury)
Mateus Carvalho
(Knee Injury)
Spinelli C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Correa J.
(Inactive)
Kaio Pantaleao
(Knee Injury)
Marcal
(Inactive)
Ramos C.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Lucas Piton
(Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Alex Telles
(Injury)
Edenilson
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Botafogo RJ?
Vasco da Gama has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Vasco da Gama?
Botafogo RJ has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
08.02.2026
Vasco da Gama
-
Botafogo RJ
2:0
05.11.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Vasco da Gama
3:0
11.09.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Vasco da Gama
1:2
27.08.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Botafogo RJ
1:1
12.07.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Botafogo RJ
0:2
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gremio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense-SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
