Result
1:1
01/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 9
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (516/587) | 83% (258/312) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (516/587) | 83% (258/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (24/39) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (107/143) | 72% (62/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Tche Tche ⚽, Paulo Henrique (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Willian Oliveira ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
- 62', Lavega J. 🟨,
- 62', David ↓, Brenner ↑,
- 62', Hugo Moura ↓, Cauan Barros ↑,
- 63', Lavega J. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 69', Vini Paulista 🟨,
- 72', Moreira N. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 77', Bruno Melo ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
- 77', Tinga ↓, Joao Pedro Chermont ↑,
- 78', Gomez S. ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 85', Lucas Piton ↓, Riquelme Avellar ↑,
- 85', Hinestroza M. ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Saldivia A. (Own goal),
- 90+3', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
Chances of winning
Coritiba
36.8% | Draw
30.8% | Vasco da Gama
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Coritiba - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.54) |
3.06 ↓
(3.14) |
2.94
(2.94) |
5.6%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Coritiba - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Vasco (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 1.
- In recent matches, Coritiba has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vasco is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Vasco da Gama?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Coritiba?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
21.09.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Coritiba
5:1
11.05.2023
Coritiba
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
Latest results of Coritiba
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
