Result
1:1
05/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 2
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.78 | 0.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (503/572) | 72% (208/289) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.78 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.82 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 54 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (503/572) | 72% (208/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 35% (19/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (151/187) | 41% (20/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (16/45) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 4.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | 3.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Higor Meritao ↑,
- 55', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Andres Gomez (A),
- 69', Italo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 69', Camilo Reijers ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 70', Brenner ↓, David ↑,
- 70', Bruno Leonardo ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
- 79', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, David Antunes ↑,
- 80', Lucas Piton ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 80', Thiago Mendes ↓, Hugo Moura ↑,
- 80', Moreira N. ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,
- 85', Coutinho ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Jean Carlos ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
60.1% | Draw
24.2% | Chapecoense
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Vasco da Gama - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.6) |
3.91 ↑
(3.78) |
6.05 ↑
(5.07) |
5.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Chapecoense?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -2.5 - Chapecoense (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Chapecoense (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vasco da Gama will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Chapecoense (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
- Vasco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chapecoense is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Chapecoense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Vasco has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Vasco is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Vasco: Jair
(Knee Injury)
Paulo Henrique
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Knee Injury)
Mancha
(Knee Injury)
Neto Pessoa
(Inactive)
Rafael Thyere
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Chapecoense?
Vasco da Gama has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Vasco da Gama?
Chapecoense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Chapecoense were as follows:
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Bahia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Flamengo RJ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Coritiba | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Gremio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Corinthians | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletico-PR | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Vitoria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Chapecoense-SC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Mirassol | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Santos | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Vasco | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Remo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
| 20 | Internacional | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
