Madureira vs Vasco da Gama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
02/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 5

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.251.92
Ball possession
32%68%
Total shots
624
Shots on target
26
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
43
Passes
79% (218/277)91% (546/597)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.251.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.631.69
Total shots
624
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
48
Blocked shots
010
Shots inside the box
414
Shots outside the box
210
Hit the woodwork
12
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1044
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1616
Passes
79% (218/277)91% (546/597)
Long passes
40% (18/45)69% (27/39)
Passes in final third
59% (24/41)85% (180/211)
Crosses
22% (2/9)32% (9/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.251.22
Throw ins
1223
Fouls
1616
Tackles
65% (13/20)67% (10/15)
Duels won
6051
Clearances
3315
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
62
xGOT faced
1.690.63
Goals prevented
1.690.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Rodriguez J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Robert Renan , Cuesta C. ,
  • 58', Jaco , Fashanu M. ,
  • 58', Geovane Maranhao , Isaias ,
  • 63', Brenner , Hinestroza M. ,
  • 63', Moreira N. , David ,
  • 65', Everton 🟨,
  • 69', Everton , Vinicius Balotelli ,
  • 69', Juninho , Wallace Camilo ,
  • 73', Rojas J. , Adson ,
  • 74', Cuesta C. 🟨,
  • 80', Fuba , Adriano ,
  • 80', Lucas Piton , Minete D. ,
  • 90+3', Wallace Camilo 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Madureira
22%
Draw
28.8%
Vasco da Gama
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.6% 22.3% 61.2%

Madureira - Vasco da Gama Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.18
(5.62)
3.2
(4.18)
1.87
(1.52)
8.6%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Madureira - Vasco da Gama?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Madureira will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Vasco will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Madureira (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Vasco (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.75 - Madureira (1.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Madureira (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Madureira (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Vasco (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madureira won 0.
    • Vasco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Madureira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Vasco is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Madureira won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 9:27. (average 0.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Madureira won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Madureira - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
    23.01.2025 Vasco da Gama - Madureira 2:0
    25.01.2024 Vasco da Gama - Madureira 2:0
    14.01.2023 Vasco da Gama - Madureira 0:0
    Latest results of Madureira
    26.01.2026 Madureira - Portuguesa RJ 0:2
    17.01.2026 Bangu - Madureira 0:1
    14.01.2026 Fluminense - Madureira 2:1
    27.08.2025 Madureira - Maricá 1:2
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    29.01.2026 Mirassol - Vasco da Gama 2:1
    25.01.2026 Boavista - Vasco da Gama 0:3
    21.01.2026 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 1:0
    15.01.2026 Vasco da Gama - Maricá 4:2
    Brazilian Campeonato Carioca Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense54018:5312
    2Volta Redonda53118:4410
    3Bangu53026:609
    4Vasco52217:348
    5Sampaio Correa FE52126:7-17
    6Portuguesa RJ51135:7-24


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Botafogo RJ53026:339
    2Madureira52124:5-17
    3Boavista52125:7-27
    4Nova Iguacu51228:805
    5Flamengo RJ51134:8-44
    6Marica51045:9-43

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