Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 27
  • Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.891.35
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
89% (494/552)69% (137/200)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.891.35
xG on target (xGOT)
3.031.58
Total shots
147
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
276
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
89% (494/552)69% (137/200)
Long passes
52% (16/31)32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
81% (126/156)50% (35/70)
Crosses
25% (9/36)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.150.86
Throw-ins
2811
Fouls
1114
Tackles
67% (6/9)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3638
Clearances
1945
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
1.583.03
Goals prevented
-1.42-0.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Moreira N. , Paulo Henrique (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Cantalapiedra A. , Erick (A),
  • 34', 1 - 2, Lucas Halter , Cantalapiedra A. (A),
  • 38', Robert Renan 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Rodriguez J. , Lucas Piton ,
  • 46', Vegetti P. , Gomez C. A. ,
  • 52', 2 - 2, Rayan , Gomez C. A. (A),
  • 65', Lucas Halter 🟨,
  • 68', 3 - 2, Rayan (Pen),
  • 70', Lucas Halter 🟨,
  • 72', 3 - 3, Caceres R. , Erick (A),
  • 78', Cauan Barros , Matheus Franca ,
  • 80', Erick , Claudinho ,
  • 80', Cantalapiedra A. , Osvaldo ,
  • 81', Ronald Lopes , Dudu ,
  • 81', Moreira N. , David ,
  • 88', Renato Kayzer , Romarinho ,
  • 88', Tche Tche , GB ,
  • 90+3', Camutanga , Neris ,
  • 90+7', 4 - 3, GB , Lucas Piton (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
50.7%
Draw
27.8%
Vitória Salvador
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 26.6% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 26.2% 18.7%

Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.1
(1.75)
3.69
(3.57)
4.69
(5.01)
-3.9%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Vasco da Gama will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Vasco is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) Cuesta C. (Inactive) Jair (Knee Injury) Lucas Piton (Calf Injury) Matheus Franca (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Vitória: Fabricio (Injury) Fintelman (Hip Injury) Jamerson (Ankle Injury) Lopez R. (Yellow Cards) Ramon (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Vasco: Thiago Mendes (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vitória: Ramos R. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama 2:1
    01.09.2024 Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama 0:1
    12.05.2024 Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador 2:1
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    01.10.2025 Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama 3:0
    27.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro 2:0
    24.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Bahia 3:1
    21.09.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    14.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Ceará 2:2
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ ✔ 36229574:245075
    2Palmeiras ✔ 36217860:322870
    3Cruzeiro ✔ 361912553:262769
    4Mirassol361712758:362263
    5Fluminense361771246:38858
    6Botafogo RJ351610950:321858
    7Bahia361691148:44457
    8Sao Paulo361391440:46-648
    9Gremio3612101442:48-646
    10Vasco361361755:53245
    11Bragantino361361740:54-1445
    12Corinthians351291438:42-445
    13Atletico-MG3511121238:40-245
    14Ceara3611101533:36-343
    15Vitoria3610121434:48-1442
    16Santos3610111539:50-1141
    17Internacional3610111541:53-1241
    18Fortaleza359101638:53-1537
    19Juventude ✔ 36972034:65-3134
    20Sport Recife ✔ 362112328:69-4117

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
    Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet