Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro).

Serie A Betano - Round 27
Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.89	1.35
Ball Possession
74%	26%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
5	4
Corner Kicks
5	0
Passes
89% (494/552)	69% (137/200)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89	1.35
xG on target (xGOT)
3.03	1.58
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
11	4
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
2	1
Big Chances
5	4
Corner Kicks
5	0
Touches in opposition box
27	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
89% (494/552)	69% (137/200)
Long passes
52% (16/31)	32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
81% (126/156)	50% (35/70)
Crosses
25% (9/36)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.15	0.86
Throw-ins
28	11
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
67% (6/9)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
36	38
Clearances
19	45
Interceptions
10	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
1.58	3.03
Goals prevented
-1.42	-0.97

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Moreira N. ⚽, Paulo Henrique (A),
26', 1 - 1, Cantalapiedra A. ⚽, Erick (A),
34', 1 - 2, Lucas Halter ⚽, Cantalapiedra A. (A),
38', Robert Renan 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Lucas Piton ↑,
46', Vegetti P. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
52', 2 - 2, Rayan ⚽, Gomez C. A. (A),
65', Lucas Halter 🟨,
68', 3 - 2, Rayan (Pen),
70', Lucas Halter 🟨,
72', 3 - 3, Caceres R. ⚽, Erick (A),
78', Cauan Barros ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
80', Erick ↓, Claudinho ↑,
80', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
81', Ronald Lopes ↓, Dudu ↑,
81', Moreira N. ↓, David ↑,
88', Renato Kayzer ↓, Romarinho ↑,
88', Tche Tche ↓, GB ↑,
90+3', Camutanga ↓, Neris ↑,
90+7', 4 - 3, GB ⚽, Lucas Piton (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Vasco da Gama
50.7%

Draw
27.8%

Vitória Salvador
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

26.6%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.2%

18.7%

Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.75)	3.69 ↑ (3.57)	4.69 ↓ (5.01)	-3.9% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Vasco (1.69) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Vasco da Gama will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vasco da Gama will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Vitória (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Vasco is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) Cuesta C. (Inactive) Jair (Knee Injury) Lucas Piton (Calf Injury) Matheus Franca (Inactive)
There will not play in Vitória: Fabricio (Injury) Fintelman (Hip Injury) Jamerson (Ankle Injury) Lopez R. (Yellow Cards) Ramon (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Vasco: Thiago Mendes (Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Vitória: Ramos R. (Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Vitória Salvador?

Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Vasco da Gama?

Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador were as follows:

10.05.2025 Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama 2:1

01.09.2024 Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama 0:1

12.05.2024 Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador 2:1

Latest results of Vasco da Gama

01.10.2025 Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama 3:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro 2:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Bahia 3:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 1:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Ceará 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Vitória Salvador

02.10.2025 Vitória Salvador - Ceará 1:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Grêmio - Vitória Salvador 3:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Vitória Salvador - Fluminense 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro 1:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bragantino	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	6
2	Palmeiras	2	1	1	0	7:3	4	4
3	Mirassol	2	1	1	0	4:3	1	4
4	Sao Paulo	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
5	Botafogo RJ	2	1	0	1	7:5	2	3
6	Chapecoense-SC	1	1	0	0	4:2	2	3
7	Gremio	2	1	0	1	6:5	1	3
8	Fluminense	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
9	Bahia	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
10	Athletico-PR	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
11	Vitoria	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
12	Atletico-MG	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
13	Flamengo RJ	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
14	Internacional	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
15	Santos	2	0	1	1	3:5	-2	1
16	Remo	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
17	Vasco	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
18	Corinthians	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
19	Coritiba	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
20	Cruzeiro	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet