Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (281/339) | 91% (571/625) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (281/339) | 91% (571/625) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (19/43) | 71% (24/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (62/93) | 86% (166/192) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 32% (9/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
- 33', Matheuzinho 🟥,
- 38', Janderson 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽, Lucas Piton (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Osvaldo ↓, Renato Kayzer ↑,
- 46', Wellington Rato ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 46', Paulinho Paula ↓, Hugo Moura ↑,
- 57', Janderson ↓, Gustavo Silva ↑,
- 57', Ricardo Ryller ↓, Baralhas ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Renato Kayzer ⚽,
- 67', Sforza J. ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
- 67', Rayan ↓, Adson ↑,
- 67', Coutinho ↓, Augusto L. ↑,
- 75', Augusto L. 🟨,
- 82', Moreira N. ↓, Lukas Zuccarello ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Renato Kayzer ⚽, Gustavo Silva (A),
- 90+1', Caceres R. ↓, Neris ↑,
- 90+5', Lucas Piton 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
47.5% | Draw
28.4% | Vasco da Gama
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória Salvador's performance.Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.32) |
3.33 ↑
(3.24) |
3.92 ↑
(3.16) |
5.2%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vitória could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Vitória: Carlos Eduardo
(Inactive)
Claudinho
(Yellow Cards)
Pepe
(Inactive)
Renato Kayzer
(Thigh Injury)
Willian Oliveira
(Knee Injury)
Ze Marcos
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vasco: David
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Estrella
(Knee Injury)
Lemos M.
(Injury)
Paulo Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Payet D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Gabriel
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Vasco da Gama?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Vitória Salvador?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
01.09.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Vasco da Gama
0:1
12.05.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Vitória Salvador
2:1
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
