Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.98 | 0.67 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
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12 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 3 |
Passes |
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83% (281/339) | 91% (571/625) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.98 | 0.67 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.58 | 0.82 |
Total shots |
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12 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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15 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 7 |
Passes |
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83% (281/339) | 91% (571/625) |
Long passes |
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44% (19/43) | 71% (24/34) |
Passes in final third |
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67% (62/93) | 86% (166/192) |
Crosses |
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20% (4/20) | 32% (9/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.92 | 0.90 |
Throw-ins |
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16 | 10 |
Fouls |
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7 | 17 |
Tackles |
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100% (7/7) | 67% (4/6) |
Duels won |
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42 | 29 |
Clearances |
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24 | 25 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.82 | 1.58 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.18 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
- 33', Matheuzinho 🟥,
- 38', Janderson 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽, Lucas Piton (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Osvaldo ↓, Renato Kayzer ↑,
- 46', Wellington Rato ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 46', Paulinho Paula ↓, Hugo Moura ↑,
- 57', Janderson ↓, Gustavo Silva ↑,
- 57', Ricardo Ryller ↓, Baralhas ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Renato Kayzer ⚽,
- 67', Sforza J. ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
- 67', Rayan ↓, Adson ↑,
- 67', Coutinho ↓, Augusto L. ↑,
- 75', Augusto L. 🟨,
- 82', Moreira N. ↓, Lukas Zuccarello ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Renato Kayzer ⚽, Gustavo Silva (A),
- 90+1', Caceres R. ↓, Neris ↑,
- 90+5', Lucas Piton 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador 47.5% | Draw 28.4% | Vasco da Gama 24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória Salvador's performance.Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.01 ↓ (2.32) |
3.33 ↑ (3.24) |
3.92 ↑ (3.16) |
5.2% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vitória could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Vitória: Carlos Eduardo
(Inactive)
Claudinho
(Yellow Cards)
Pepe
(Inactive)
Renato Kayzer
(Thigh Injury)
Willian Oliveira
(Knee Injury)
Ze Marcos
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vasco: David
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Estrella
(Knee Injury)
Lemos M.
(Injury)
Paulo Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Payet D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Gabriel
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Vasco da Gama?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Vitória Salvador?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
01.09.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Vasco da Gama
0:1
12.05.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Vitória Salvador
2:1
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet