Result
4:3
05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 27
- Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.89 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (494/552) | 69% (137/200) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.89 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (494/552) | 69% (137/200) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 32% (13/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (126/156) | 50% (35/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (9/36) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 3.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.42 | -0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 1 - 0, Moreira N. ⚽, Paulo Henrique (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Cantalapiedra A. ⚽, Erick (A),
- 34', 1 - 2, Lucas Halter ⚽, Cantalapiedra A. (A),
- 38', Robert Renan 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Lucas Piton ↑,
- 46', Vegetti P. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 2, Rayan ⚽, Gomez C. A. (A),
- 65', Lucas Halter 🟨,
- 68', 3 - 2, Rayan (Pen),
- 70', Lucas Halter 🟨,
- 72', 3 - 3, Caceres R. ⚽, Erick (A),
- 78', Cauan Barros ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 80', Erick ↓, Claudinho ↑,
- 80', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
- 81', Ronald Lopes ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 81', Moreira N. ↓, David ↑,
- 88', Renato Kayzer ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 88', Tche Tche ↓, GB ↑,
- 90+3', Camutanga ↓, Neris ↑,
- 90+7', 4 - 3, GB ⚽, Lucas Piton (A),
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
50.7% | Draw
27.8% | Vitória Salvador
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.75) |
3.69 ↑
(3.57) |
4.69 ↓
(5.01) |
-3.9%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Vasco (1.69) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
Vasco da Gama will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vasco da Gama will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Vitória (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Vasco is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Cuesta C.
(Inactive)
Jair
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Piton
(Calf Injury)
Matheus Franca
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vitória: Fabricio
(Injury)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Lopez R.
(Yellow Cards)
Ramon
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Thiago Mendes
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Ramos R.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Vitória Salvador?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Vasco da Gama?
Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
10.05.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
01.09.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Vasco da Gama
0:1
12.05.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Vitória Salvador
2:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
