Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/01/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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NHL

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
34	28
Shots off target
15	12
Shooting PCT
17.65% (6/34)	17.86% (5/28)
Blocked shots
14	15
Goalkeeper Saves
23	28
Saves PCT
82.14% (23/28)	82.35% (28/34)
Penalties
1	3
PIM
2	6
Power-play Goals
2	1
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
66.67% (2/3)	100% (1/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
0% (0/1)	33.33% (1/3)
Hits
18	17
Faceoffs Won
26	43
Faceoffs %
37.68	62.32
Giveaways
13	18
Takeaways
4	5
Empty Net Goals
0	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (1 - 3)
02:05, 0 - 1, Rielly M. (G), Nylander W. (A), Tavares J. (A2)
05:03, 0 - 2, Nylander W. (G), Maccelli M. (A), Carlo B. (A2)
06:36, McCabe J. (2 min),
08:12, 1 - 2, Dorofeyev P. (G), Marner M. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
09:57, 1 - 3, Matthews A. (G), McCabe J. (A), Stecher T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:48, McCabe J. (2 min),
05:51, 2 - 3, Kolesar K. (G), Bowman B. (A), Hanifin N. (A2)
11:36, Hertl T. (2 min),
12:46, 2 - 4, Tavares J. (G), Maccelli M. (A), Knies M. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
02:03, Cowan E. (2 min),
02:10, 3 - 4, Dorofeyev P. (G), Marner M. (A), Hertl T. (A2)
08:58, 3 - 5, Laughton S. (G), Knies M. (A), Lorentz S. (A2)
10:14, 4 - 5, Stone M. (G), Barbashev I. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
19:53, 5 - 5, Hertl T. (G), Eichel J. (A), Stone M. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:44, 6 - 5, Eichel J. (G), Stone M. (A), Theodore S. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning

Vegas Golden Knights
43.1%

Draw
22.8%

Toronto Maple Leafs
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

22.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

22.3%

30.5%

Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.99)	4.19 ↓ (4.26)	2.8 ↓ (3.12)	5.3% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

What is the prediction for Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vegas: 29.6% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vegas (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 3.
Vegas has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Toronto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 42:46. (average 3:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Vegas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 3.9:3.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Vegas Golden Knights won against Toronto Maple Leafs?

Vegas Golden Knights has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Vegas Golden Knights?

Toronto Maple Leafs has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:

05.03.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:2

20.11.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights 3:0

27.02.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights 2:6

22.02.2024 Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:7

08.11.2022 Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights 3:4

Latest results of Vegas Golden Knights

14.01.2026 Los Angeles Kings - Vegas Golden Knights 2:3 ✺

11.01.2026 San Jose Sharks - Vegas Golden Knights 2:7 ✺

10.01.2026 Vegas Golden Knights - St. Louis Blues 4:2 ✺

08.01.2026 Vegas Golden Knights - Columbus Blue Jackets 5:3 ✺

06.01.2026 Winnipeg Jets - Vegas Golden Knights 3:4 ✺

Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs

13.01.2026 Utah Mammoth - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:1 ✺

12.01.2026 Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4 ✺

10.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Vancouver Canucks 5:0 ✺

08.01.2026 Philadelphia Flyers - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:2 ✺

06.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Florida Panthers 4:1 ✺

NHL Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Colorado Avalanche	45	30	3	8	4	182:103	74
2	Dallas Stars	48	23	4	9	12	162:135	63
3	Minnesota Wild	48	18	8	9	13	150:136	61
4	Vegas Golden Knights	46	16	7	12	11	153:143	58
5	Edmonton Oilers	48	18	5	8	17	159:158	54
6	Utah Mammoth	48	18	6	4	20	147:132	52
7	San Jose Sharks	46	13	11	3	19	146:164	51
8	Seattle Kraken	46	15	6	9	16	127:135	51
9	Los Angeles Kings	46	12	7	11	16	122:131	49
10	Nashville Predators	46	15	7	4	20	129:151	48
11	Anaheim Ducks	46	14	8	3	21	153:169	47
12	Chicago Blackhawks	47	15	4	7	21	131:149	45
13	St. Louis Blues	47	18	0	8	21	117:161	44
14	Calgary Flames	47	16	4	4	23	122:141	44
15	Winnipeg Jets	46	17	2	5	22	141:144	43
16	Vancouver Canucks	47	10	6	5	26	126:170	37

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Tampa Bay Lightning	45	23	6	3	13	160:116	61
2	Carolina Hurricanes	47	19	9	4	15	158:142	60
3	Detroit Red Wings	48	20	8	4	16	149:148	60
4	Montreal Canadiens	48	17	9	7	15	162:159	59
5	New York Islanders	47	17	9	5	16	139:130	57
6	Buffalo Sabres	46	20	6	4	16	153:143	56
7	Boston Bruins	48	20	7	2	19	159:148	56
8	Pittsburgh Penguins	46	18	4	10	14	147:140	54
9	Toronto Maple Leafs	47	17	6	8	16	158:155	54
10	Washington Capitals	48	21	3	6	18	155:138	54
11	Philadelphia Flyers	46	15	7	8	16	138:143	52
12	Florida Panthers	45	21	3	3	18	139:145	51
13	New Jersey Devils	47	16	8	2	21	126:145	50
14	Ottawa Senators	46	17	5	5	19	151:153	49
15	Columbus Blue Jackets	47	13	8	7	19	144:157	49
16	New York Rangers	48	13	7	6	22	126:147	46

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