Result
3:6
23/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | Disney+, Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Slovakia | Dajto, Voyo |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 14.29% (3/21) | 19.35% (6/31) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 83.33% (25/30) | 85.71% (18/21) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 58 | 42 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 01:06, 0 - 1, Eichel J. (G), Stone M. (A), Barbashev I. (A2)
- 04:31, 0 - 2, Kolesar K. (G), Rondbjerg J. (A), Smith R. (A2)
- 07:01, Laughton S. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (3 - 2)
- 00:13, 1 - 2, Tavares J. (G), Knies M. (A), Maccelli M. (A2)
- 03:32, 1 - 3, Dorofeyev P. (G),
- 05:16, 1 - 4, Bowman B. (G), Laczynski T. (A), Holtz A. (A2)
- 10:04, 2 - 4, Laughton S. (G), Knies M. (A),
- 18:19, 3 - 4, McMann B. (G), Domi M. (A), Rielly M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 12:37, Hertl T. (2 min),
- 15:11, 3 - 5, Stone M. (G), Barbashev I. (A),
- 18:59, 3 - 6, Stone M. (G), Eichel J. (A), Andersson R. (A2)
Chances of winning
Toronto Maple Leafs
36.2% | Draw
23% | Vegas Golden Knights
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.59) |
4.14 ↑
(4.08) |
2.34
(2.34) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Vegas will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 3 - 50%). Vegas (votes: 3 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- H/A, 3rd Period - Toronto (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Vegas (votes: 3 - 37.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
- Toronto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vegas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Nylander W.
(Groin Injury)
Tanev C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Vegas: Hart C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Howden B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Karlsson W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
McNabb B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Pietrangelo A.
(Hip Injury)
Saad B.
(Injury)
Sissons C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Ekman-Larsson O.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 51:48. (average 3.4:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Vegas Golden Knights?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vegas Golden Knights won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Vegas Golden Knights has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights were as follows:
15.01.2026
Vegas Golden Knights
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
6:5
05.03.2025
Vegas Golden Knights
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:2
20.11.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Vegas Golden Knights
3:0
27.02.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Vegas Golden Knights
2:6
22.02.2024
Vegas Golden Knights
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:7
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest results of Vegas Golden Knights
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche ✔ | 71 | 42 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 266:179 | 106 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars ✔ | 72 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 245:198 | 97 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 73 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 20 | 239:210 | 94 |
| 4 | Anaheim Ducks | 72 | 24 | 17 | 4 | 27 | 243:247 | 86 |
| 5 | Edmonton Oilers | 73 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 254:249 | 81 |
| 6 | Utah Mammoth | 73 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 229:210 | 80 |
| 7 | Vegas Golden Knights | 73 | 24 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 228:229 | 79 |
| 8 | Nashville Predators | 72 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 217:239 | 77 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Kings | 72 | 19 | 10 | 18 | 25 | 193:216 | 76 |
| 10 | Seattle Kraken | 71 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 204:221 | 74 |
| 11 | Winnipeg Jets | 72 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 205:223 | 72 |
| 12 | San Jose Sharks | 70 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 212:251 | 71 |
| 13 | St. Louis Blues | 71 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 186:226 | 71 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 72 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 182:222 | 68 |
| 15 | Chicago Blackhawks | 72 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 188:233 | 67 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 71 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 182:266 | 50 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 71 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 20 | 252:211 | 96 |
| 2 | Buffalo Sabres | 72 | 37 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 254:211 | 96 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 71 | 35 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 260:199 | 94 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens | 71 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 251:231 | 90 |
| 5 | Boston Bruins | 72 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 240:224 | 88 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 72 | 29 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 247:228 | 88 |
| 7 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 72 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 232:219 | 87 |
| 8 | New York Islanders | 73 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 27 | 211:207 | 87 |
| 9 | Ottawa Senators | 72 | 32 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 242:220 | 86 |
| 10 | Detroit Red Wings | 71 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 207:211 | 84 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Flyers | 71 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 24 | 209:215 | 82 |
| 12 | Washington Capitals | 73 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 227:215 | 81 |
| 13 | New Jersey Devils | 71 | 25 | 12 | 2 | 32 | 197:215 | 76 |
| 14 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 73 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 229:255 | 75 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 71 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 213:236 | 73 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 72 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 202:230 | 65 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
