Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:6
23/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Sky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
slovakiaSlovakiaDajto, Voyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2131
Shots off target
1510
Shooting PCT
14.29% (3/21)19.35% (6/31)
Blocked shots
158
Goalkeeper Saves
2518
Saves PCT
83.33% (25/30)85.71% (18/21)
Penalties
11
PIM
22
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/1)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Hits
2111
Faceoffs Won
2921
Faceoffs %
5842
Giveaways
1518
Takeaways
26
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 2)
  • 01:06, 0 - 1, Eichel J. (G), Stone M. (A), Barbashev I. (A2)
  • 04:31, 0 - 2, Kolesar K. (G), Rondbjerg J. (A), Smith R. (A2)
  • 07:01, Laughton S. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (3 - 2)
  • 00:13, 1 - 2, Tavares J. (G), Knies M. (A), Maccelli M. (A2)
  • 03:32, 1 - 3, Dorofeyev P. (G),
  • 05:16, 1 - 4, Bowman B. (G), Laczynski T. (A), Holtz A. (A2)
  • 10:04, 2 - 4, Laughton S. (G), Knies M. (A),
  • 18:19, 3 - 4, McMann B. (G), Domi M. (A), Rielly M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 12:37, Hertl T. (2 min),
  • 15:11, 3 - 5, Stone M. (G), Barbashev I. (A),
  • 18:59, 3 - 6, Stone M. (G), Eichel J. (A), Andersson R. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
36.2%
Draw
23%
Vegas Golden Knights
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 23.2% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 23.4% 40.1%

Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.61
(2.59)
4.14
(4.08)
2.34
(2.34)
5.2%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Vegas will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 3 - 50%). Vegas (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • H/A, 3rd Period - Toronto (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Vegas (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
    • Toronto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vegas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Vegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Nylander W. (Groin Injury) Tanev C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Vegas: Hart C. (Lower-Body Injury) Howden B. (Lower-Body Injury) Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) McNabb B. (Upper-Body Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury) Saad B. (Injury) Sissons C. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Ekman-Larsson O. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 51:48. (average 3.4:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 3:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights were as follows:
    15.01.2026 Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:5
    05.03.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:2
    20.11.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights 3:0
    27.02.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights 2:6
    22.02.2024 Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:7
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche5534399212:13883
    2Minnesota Wild5821131014196:16978
    3Dallas Stars57286914193:16077
    4Vegas Golden Knights572071416191:17968
    5Utah Mammoth57237423183:15764
    6Edmonton Oilers58217822198:19464
    7Seattle Kraken56216920162:16563
    8Anaheim Ducks561812323185:19563
    9Los Angeles Kings561491419146:16160
    10Nashville Predators57197724169:19859
    11San Jose Sharks551611424171:19358
    12Chicago Blackhawks57175926154:18553
    13Winnipeg Jets56202826160:17552
    14Calgary Flames56194627142:16952
    15St. Louis Blues57191928147:20349
    16Vancouver Canucks57126633149:21042


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tampa Bay Lightning55289414199:14078
    2Carolina Hurricanes572610615197:16378
    3Montreal Canadiens572111817199:18772
    4Detroit Red Wings582310619174:17572
    5Pittsburgh Penguins562541215192:16970
    6Buffalo Sabres57266619195:17670
    7Boston Bruins57248520195:18269
    8New York Islanders582210521169:16269
    9Columbus Blue Jackets56209720179:17765
    10Washington Capitals59245723189:17765
    11Toronto Maple Leafs57198921188:19463
    12Ottawa Senators57226722191:18463
    13Philadelphia Flyers561871120167:18061
    14Florida Panthers57236325174:19161
    15New Jersey Devils571810227146:17558
    16New York Rangers57148629151:18050

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )