Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs
Result
5:2
05/03/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • USA: NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2531
Shots off Goal
2317
Shooting PCT
20% (5/25)6.45% (2/31)
Blocked Shots
1515
Goalkeeper Saves
2920
Saves PCT
93.55% (29/31)80% (20/25)
Penalties
66
PIM
1515
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
16.67% (1/6)16.67% (1/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
83.33% (5/6)83.33% (5/6)
Hits
2536
Faceoffs Won
2540
Faceoffs %
38.4661.54
Giveaways
1811
Takeaways
21
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 0)
  • 00:03, Whitecloud Z. (5 min),
  • 00:03, Knies M. (5 min),
  • 04:33, 1 - 0, Hertl T. (G), Saad B. (A),
  • 05:57, Roy N. (2 min),
  • 11:18, 2 - 0, Howden B. (G), Barbashev I. (A), Kolesar K. (A2)
  • 14:50, Jarnkrok C. (2 min),
  • 15:03, 3 - 0, Eichel J. (G), Hanifin N. (A), Dorofeyev P. (A2)
  • 15:03, Woll J. , Stolarz A. ,
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 00:17, 4 - 0, Hanifin N. (G), Eichel J. (A), Pearson T. (A2)
  • 04:14, Tavares J. (2 min),
  • 10:38, Pietrangelo A. (2 min),
  • 13:33, 5 - 0, Pearson T. (G), Korczak K. (A), Hertl T. (A2)
  • 13:33, (2 min),
  • 16:45, Kolesar K. (2 min),
  • 18:01, 5 - 1, Matthews A. (G), Tavares J. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 13:27, 5 - 2, Marner M. (G),
  • 16:36, Howden B. (2 min),
  • 16:36, Howden B. (2 min),
  • 16:36, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 16:36, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vegas Golden Knights
47.9%
Draw
21.7%
Toronto Maple Leafs
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 22.2% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 22% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vegas Golden Knights's performance.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Maple Leafs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vegas Golden Knights that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Maple Leafs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.33)
    4.38
    (4.31)
    3.1
    (2.61)
    5.6%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
  • What is the prediction for Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vegas won 3.
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Vegas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Toronto have a series of guest games.
    • Vegas will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vegas: Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) Lehner R. (Hip Injury) Schwindt C. (Lower-Body Injury) Theodore S. (Arm Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Hakanpaa J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Lorentz S. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Vegas won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 37:44 (average 2.8:3.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vegas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:23 (average 3.7:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    20.11.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights 3:0
    27.02.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights 2:6
    22.02.2024 Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:7
    08.11.2022 Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights 3:4
    24.10.2022 Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:1
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Anaheim Ducks000000:00
    2Winnipeg Jets000000:00
    3Calgary Flames000000:00
    4Chicago Blackhawks000000:00
    5Colorado Avalanche000000:00
    6Dallas Stars000000:00
    7Edmonton Oilers000000:00
    8Los Angeles Kings000000:00
    9Minnesota Wild000000:00
    10Nashville Predators000000:00
    11San Jose Sharks000000:00
    12St. Louis Blues000000:00
    13Vancouver Canucks000000:00
    14Vegas Golden Knights000000:00
    15Seattle Kraken000000:00
    16Utah Mammoth000000:00


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Detroit Red Wings000000:00
    2Pittsburgh Penguins000000:00
    3Boston Bruins000000:00
    4Buffalo Sabres000000:00
    5Carolina Hurricanes000000:00
    6Columbus Blue Jackets000000:00
    7Florida Panthers000000:00
    8Montreal Canadiens000000:00
    9New Jersey Devils000000:00
    10New York Islanders000000:00
    11Ottawa Senators000000:00
    12Philadelphia Flyers000000:00
    13Tampa Bay Lightning000000:00
    14Toronto Maple Leafs000000:00
    15Washington Capitals000000:00
    16New York Rangers000000:00

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )