Result
13/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield 62.7% | Draw 25% | Central Córdoba 12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield's performance.Central Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Córdoba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Córdoba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.5 ↓ (1.75) |
3.73 ↑ (3.2) |
7.57 ↑ (4.95) |
6.7% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba?
Users Predictions:
Vélez Sársfield will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vélez Sársfield will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 4.
- Recent performances by Vélez have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Central Córdoba's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vélez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vélez is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Central Córdoba?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Córdoba won against Vélez Sársfield?
Central Córdoba has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba were as follows:
06.09.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
Central Córdoba
2:0
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Central Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Independiente | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Platense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | River Plate | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Racing Club | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4:19 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)