Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
03/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.991.91
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
93
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
40
Passes
79% (285/360)79% (374/472)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.991.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.631.20
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
20
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
2016
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1212
Passes
79% (285/360)79% (374/472)
Long passes
54% (29/54)38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
57% (52/92)65% (92/141)
Crosses
22% (4/18)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.86
Throw ins
1814
Fouls
1212
Tackles
57% (8/14)84% (16/19)
Duels won
4847
Clearances
1321
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
17
xGOT faced
1.200.63
Goals prevented
-0.80-1.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Monzon F. , Gomez E. (A),
  • 11', 0 - 2, Lanzini M. , Valdes D. (A),
  • 45', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Munoz E. , Lencioni F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Franco J. 🟨,
  • 51', Valdes D. , Aliendro R. ,
  • 55', Andrada B. , Ceballos J. ,
  • 55', Sanchez U. , Sabatini I. ,
  • 61', Pellegrini M. , Arias M. ,
  • 67', Fernandez E. , Simoni V. ,
  • 73', Lencioni F. 🟨,
  • 75', Gomez E. 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 2, Modica A. , Lencioni F. (A),
  • 83', Franco J. , Cortez I. ,
  • 84', Modica A. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 89', Lanzini M. , Romero B. ,
  • 89', Monzon F. , Godoy D. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Mammana E. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
23.6%
Draw
32.6%
Vélez Sársfield
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.2% 32.8% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9% 31.2% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4
    (3.55)
    2.91
    (2.84)
    2.16
    (2.27)
    5.7%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Gimnasia Mendoza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Vélez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Vélez could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B. (Muscle Injury) Franco J. (Inactive) Gonzales (Injury) O'Connor T. (Knee Injury) Romano N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S. (Inactive) Gordon J. (Knee Injury) Machuca I. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Gimnasia Mendoza: Rodriguez S. (Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1475215:9626
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1454521:17419
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    4Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1475215:10526
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1456316:11521
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)