Result
3:2
03/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (285/360) | 79% (374/472) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (285/360) | 79% (374/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (29/54) | 38% (22/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (52/92) | 65% (92/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | -1.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Monzon F. ⚽, Gomez E. (A),
- 11', 0 - 2, Lanzini M. ⚽, Valdes D. (A),
- 45', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Munoz E. ⚽, Lencioni F. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Franco J. 🟨,
- 51', Valdes D. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
- 55', Andrada B. ↓, Ceballos J. ↑,
- 55', Sanchez U. ↓, Sabatini I. ↑,
- 61', Pellegrini M. ↓, Arias M. ↑,
- 67', Fernandez E. ↓, Simoni V. ↑,
- 73', Lencioni F. 🟨,
- 75', Gomez E. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 2, Modica A. ⚽, Lencioni F. (A),
- 83', Franco J. ↓, Cortez I. ↑,
- 84', Modica A. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 89', Lanzini M. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
- 89', Monzon F. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Mammana E. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 23.6% | Draw 32.6% | Vélez Sársfield 43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4 ↑ (3.55) |
2.91 ↑ (2.84) |
2.16 ↓ (2.27) |
5.7% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Gimnasia Mendoza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Vélez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vélez could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B.
(Muscle Injury)
Franco J.
(Inactive)
Gonzales
(Injury)
O'Connor T.
(Knee Injury)
Romano N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S.
(Inactive)
Gordon J.
(Knee Injury)
Machuca I.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Gimnasia Mendoza: Rodriguez S.
(Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won against Vélez Sársfield?
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?
Vélez Sársfield has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
Latest results of Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Lanus ✔ | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 10 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 4 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:18 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)