Frayles de Guasave vs Venados de Mazatlán – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
99:83
07/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CIBACOPA

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6672
Field goals made
3731
Field goals %
56.06%43.06%
2-point field goals attempts
4651
2-point field goals made
2726
2-point field goals %
58.7%50.98%
3-point field goals attempts
2021
3-point field goals made
105
3-point field goals %
50%23.81%
Free throws attempts
2021
Free throws made
1516
Free throws %
75%76.2%
Offensive rebounds
1213
Defensive rebounds
3020
Total rebounds
4233
Assists
2221
Blocks
42
Turnovers
1914
Steals
717
Personal fouls
2216

Chances of winning


Frayles de Guasave
58.5%
Venados de Mazatlán
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 58.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Frayles de Guasave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frayles de Guasave's performance.
  • Venados de Mazatlán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Venados de Mazatlán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frayles de Guasave than the current prediction. (-17.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frayles de Guasave that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados de Mazatlán than the current prediction. (+17.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venados de Mazatlán could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Frayles de Guasave - Venados de Mazatlán Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (2)

    2.24
    (1.66)
    7.5%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 181.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guasave won 1.
    • Guasave is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Venados de Mazatlán has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Guasave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Guasave will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guasave won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 840:915. (average 93.3:101.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guasave won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 484:536. (average 96.8:107.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Frayles de Guasave - Venados de Mazatlán were as follows:
    06.03.2026 Frayles de Guasave - Venados de Mazatlán 85:73
    23.04.2025 Frayles de Guasave - Venados de Mazatlán 93:110
    22.04.2025 Frayles de Guasave - Venados de Mazatlán 87:104
    05.04.2025 Venados de Mazatlán - Frayles de Guasave 92:90
    04.04.2025 Venados de Mazatlán - Frayles de Guasave 95:88
    Mexican CIBACOPA Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Astros660550:4771.000
    2Zonkeys de Tijuana151051295:12450.667
    3Halcones de Obregon14951296:12290.643
    4Toros Laguna13851144:10840.615
    5Frayles de Guasave14861328:13100.571
    6Pioneros de Los Mochis14771305:13140.500
    7Rayos de Hermosillo12661022:10650.500
    8Angeles CDMX14681284:12620.429
    9Ostioneros de Guaymas13491140:11930.308
    10Caballeros de Culiacan144101277:13810.286
    11Venados de Mazatlan154111283:13640.267

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