Atlético Morelia vs Venados – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Atlético Morelia - Venados
Result
1:0
02/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
42
Shots on Goal
20
Shots off Goal
22
Corner Kicks
38
Goalkeeper Saves
01
Yellow Cards
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Miranda J. 🟨,
  • 39', Lora S. 🟨,
  • 45', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Miranda J. , Lopez F. ,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Trejo C. , Figueroa F. (A),
  • 61', Trejo C. , Lopez R. ,
  • 65', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 69', Amador K. , Garcia M. ,
  • 72', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 73', Figueroa F. , Polydoro L. ,
  • 75', Casillas J. 🟨,
  • 81', Madrid W. , Espinosa E. ,
  • 83', Dominguez M. , Romero P. ,
  • 83', Ortega W. , Tecpanecatl A. ,
  • 90+1', Parra D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Morelia
45.6%
Draw
26.9%
Venados
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 25.4% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 25.6% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Morelia's performance.
  • Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Venados might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Morelia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venados could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético Morelia - Venados Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.3)
    3.38
    (3.6)
    3.32
    (2.63)
    9.7%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Morelia won 2.
    • Atlético Morelia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Venados is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Atlético Morelia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Atlético Morelia will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Atlético Morelia won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Venados were as follows:
    13.09.2024 Venados - Atlético Morelia 2:1
    28.03.2024 Atlético Morelia - Venados 3:4
    09.11.2023 Atlético Morelia - Venados 2:1
    19.10.2023 Venados - Atlético Morelia 2:1
    26.01.2023 Atlético Morelia - Venados 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Latest results of Venados
    15.02.2025 Cancún - Venados 1:2
    07.02.2025 Venados - Atlético La Paz 2:1
    02.02.2025 Venados - Atlante 1:1
    25.01.2025 Celaya - Venados 1:1
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Irapuato11004:133
    2Tapatio11002:023
    3Tampico Madero11001:013
    4Cancun11001:013
    5Atlante10101:101
    6Atl. Morelia10101:101
    7Correcaminos10101:101
    8Tlaxcala10101:101
    9Zacatecas Mineros10101:101
    10Tepatitlan de Morelos10101:101
    11Alebrijes Oaxaca00000:000
    12Dorados de Sinaloa10010:1-10
    13Leones Negros10010:1-10
    14Atletico La Paz10010:2-20
    15Venados10011:4-30

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)