Result
1:0
02/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Miranda J. 🟨,
- 39', Lora S. 🟨,
- 45', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Miranda J. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, Trejo C. ⚽, Figueroa F. (A),
- 61', Trejo C. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 65', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 69', Amador K. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 72', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 73', Figueroa F. ↓, Polydoro L. ↑,
- 75', Casillas J. 🟨,
- 81', Madrid W. ↓, Espinosa E. ↑,
- 83', Dominguez M. ↓, Romero P. ↑,
- 83', Ortega W. ↓, Tecpanecatl A. ↑,
- 90+1', Parra D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Morelia
45.6% | Draw
26.9% | Venados
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Morelia's performance.Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Venados might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Morelia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venados could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Morelia - Venados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.3) |
3.38 ↓
(3.6) |
3.32 ↑
(2.63) |
9.7%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Morelia won 2.
- Atlético Morelia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Venados is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Atlético Morelia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Atlético Morelia will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Atlético Morelia won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Venados?
Atlético Morelia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Atlético Morelia?
Venados has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Venados were as follows:
13.09.2024
Venados
-
Atlético Morelia
2:1
28.03.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Venados
3:4
09.11.2023
Atlético Morelia
-
Venados
2:1
19.10.2023
Venados
-
Atlético Morelia
2:1
26.01.2023
Atlético Morelia
-
Venados
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Latest results of Venados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
