Result
4:3
20/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Mazatan O. ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, Guzman W. ⚽, Casillas J. (A),
- 38', 1 - 2, Jimenez J. ⚽, Mazatan O. (A),
- 45', Casillas J. ↓, Navarrete D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 55', 2 - 2, Calero J. ⚽, Madrid W. (A),
- 57', Galvan P. 🟨,
- 61', Galvan P. ↓, Benitez S. ↑,
- 61', Vidrio N. ↓, Grijalva A. ↑,
- 61', Lopez F. ↓, Rios P. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 3, Razo L. ⚽, Avila J. (A),
- 74', Amador K. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
- 74', Catalan A. ↓, Torres Sauri M. ↑,
- 77', Razo L. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 3, Calero J. ⚽, Madrid W. (A),
- 85', Guzman W. 🟨,
- 87', Avila J. ↓, De Los Rios S. ↑,
- 88', Jimenez J. ↓, Padilla P. ↑,
- 88', Garcia A. ↓, Espinosa B. ↑,
- 88', 4 - 3, Calero J. ⚽, Madrid W. (A),
Chances of winning
Venados
31.6% | Draw
27.4% | Mineros de Zacatecas
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Venados's form might have worsened.Mineros de Zacatecas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Venados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Venados - Mineros de Zacatecas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.5) |
3.52 ↑
(3.4) |
2.35 ↓
(2.53) |
3.9%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 11)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Mineros de Zacatecas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Venados won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Mineros de Zacatecas?
Venados has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mineros de Zacatecas won against Venados?
Mineros de Zacatecas has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Mineros de Zacatecas were as follows:
27.04.2025
Mineros de Zacatecas
-
Venados
2:0
24.04.2025
Venados
-
Mineros de Zacatecas
2:0
28.03.2025
Venados
-
Mineros de Zacatecas
2:0
12.10.2024
Mineros de Zacatecas
-
Venados
2:2
04.02.2024
Venados
-
Mineros de Zacatecas
1:0
Latest results of Venados
Latest results of Mineros de Zacatecas
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
