Duisburg vs Verl – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
08/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 23
  • Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
67
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
42
Total shots
713
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
16
Corner kicks
25
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1314
Throw ins
822
Fouls
1410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Lobinger L. , Symalla J. (A),
  • 4', 1 - 1, Mhamdi O. , Waidner D. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 1, Borkowski D. , Symalla J. (A),
  • 45', Borkowski D. , Jessen N. ,
  • 45+3', 3 - 1, Lobinger L. , Sussek P. (A),
  • 45+6', Bulic R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Otto Y. , Arweiler J. ,
  • 47', 4 - 1, Sussek P. ,
  • 49', Coskun C. 🟨,
  • 63', Eze J. , Worner M. ,
  • 65', Lobinger L. , Kother D. ,
  • 65', Bulic R. , Muller L. ,
  • 71', Taz B. , Stark J. ,
  • 73', Symalla J. , Noss C. ,
  • 73', Casar A. , Tugbenyo J. ,
  • 74', 4 - 2, Stark J. , Arweiler J. (A),
  • 83', Arweiler J. 🟨,
  • 84', Otto F. , Wessig F. ,
  • 84', Besio A. , Foti A. ,
  • 86', Schlicke B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Stark J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Sussek P. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Duisburg
32.9%
Draw
26.5%
Verl
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 26.1% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 26.3% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duisburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Duisburg - Verl Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.46)
    3.47
    (3.56)
    2.29
    (2.56)
    7.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Duisburg - Verl?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Verl will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Duisburg: 26.7%80.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Verl (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Duisburg (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Duisburg (votes: 1 - 20%). Verl (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 2.
    • Duisburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Verl is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Verl may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Duisburg has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Duisburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.8:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Duisburg - Verl were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Verl - Duisburg 2:3
    10.02.2024 Verl - Duisburg 1:3
    15.09.2023 Duisburg - Verl 2:3
    18.03.2023 Duisburg - Verl 3:3
    18.09.2022 Verl - Duisburg 1:0
    Latest results of Duisburg
    01.02.2026 Ulm 1846 - Duisburg 1:0
    24.01.2026 Duisburg - Jahn Regensburg 2:0
    09.01.2026 Hannover - Duisburg 2:0
    21.12.2025 Viktoria Köln - Duisburg 0:0
    Latest results of Verl
    01.02.2026 Verl - VfB Stuttgart II 4:0
    25.01.2026 Wehen Wiesbaden - Verl 2:1
    17.01.2026 Verl - Waldhof Mannheim 5:2
    08.01.2026 Bonner - Verl 0:5
    20.12.2025 1860 München - Verl 0:2
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck ✔ 36237661:303176
    2Cottbus36199869:501966
    3Duisburg36199865:481766
    4RW Essen361810874:641064
    5Verl361710979:473261
    6Hansa Rostock361613765:432261
    7Alemannia Aachen361771267:561158
    8Munich 18603615111053:48556
    9Wehen361481451:50150
    10Viktoria Koln361551650:49150
    11Regensburg361471554:56-249
    12Mannheim361471557:67-1049
    13Stuttgart II361371651:60-946
    14Saarbrucken3610141246:50-444
    15Ingolstadt3611101558:54443
    16Hoffenheim II361171862:67-540
    17TSV Havelse ✔ 36882053:81-2832
    18Ulm ✔ 36952246:74-2832
    19Aue ✔ 366121847:68-2130
    20Schweinfurt ✔ 36562534:80-4621

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    VfL Osnabruck is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
    TSV Havelse is Relegated to
    Ulm is Relegated to
    Aue is Relegated to
    Schweinfurt is Relegated to