Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 22
- Referee: Hilsberg S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Bulic R. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, El-Zein A. ⚽, Dajaku L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tugbenyo J. ↓, Symalla J. ↑,
- 46', Bulic R. ↓, Muller L. ↑,
- 51', Noss C. 🟨,
- 63', Bazzoli L. 🟨,
- 65', Sussek P. ↓, Borkowski D. ↑,
- 65', Noss C. ↓, Kruger F. ↑,
- 67', Hahn A. 🟨,
- 72', Kolle N. 🟨,
- 76', Sadlek G. E. ↓, Topken T. ↑,
- 78', El-Zein A. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
- 78', Dajaku L. ↓, Loder E. ↑,
- 78', Kolle N. ↓, Mazagg L. ↑,
- 85', Brandt M. ↓, Vukancic N. ↑,
- 90+1', Meier J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Chessa D. ↓, Vater F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ulm 1846
29.4% | Draw
27.6% | Duisburg
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+2%)
Ulm 1846 - Duisburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↑
(3.05) |
3.38 ↓
(3.67) |
2.16 ↑
(2.1) |
7.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ulm 1846 - Duisburg?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulm (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Duisburg (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Ulm (2.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Duisburg will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulm (votes: 4 - 50%). Duisburg (votes: 4 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Duisburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Duisburg could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ulm won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Ulm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulm 1846 won against Duisburg?
Ulm 1846 has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Duisburg won against Ulm 1846?
Duisburg has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulm 1846 - Duisburg were as follows:
23.08.2025
Duisburg
-
Ulm 1846
2:1
27.01.2024
Ulm 1846
-
Duisburg
2:2
25.08.2023
Duisburg
-
Ulm 1846
1:1
Latest results of Ulm 1846
Latest results of Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck ✔ | 36 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 61:30 | 31 | 76 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 69:50 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Duisburg | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:48 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | RW Essen | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 74:64 | 10 | 64 |
| 5 | Verl | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 79:47 | 32 | 61 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 65:43 | 22 | 61 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 67:56 | 11 | 58 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 51:50 | 1 | 50 |
| 10 | Viktoria Koln | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 50:49 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Regensburg | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 54:56 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | Mannheim | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 57:67 | -10 | 49 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 46 |
| 14 | Saarbrucken | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 15 | Ingolstadt | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 58:54 | 4 | 43 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 62:67 | -5 | 40 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse ✔ | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 53:81 | -28 | 32 |
| 18 | Ulm ✔ | 36 | 9 | 5 | 22 | 46:74 | -28 | 32 |
| 19 | Aue ✔ | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 47:68 | -21 | 30 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt ✔ | 36 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 34:80 | -46 | 21 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
VfL Osnabruck is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
TSV Havelse is Relegated to
Ulm is Relegated to
Aue is Relegated to
Schweinfurt is Relegated to
