Verl vs Ingolstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Verl - Ingolstadt
Result
2:2
01/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 9
  • Referee: Besong J. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
46
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
910
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
46
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1210
Throw-ins
2337
Fouls
69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Steczyk D. ,
  • 33', Frode L. , Plath M. ,
  • 45+1', Ponath M. , Eisele K. ,
  • 45+3', Scholz J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Steczyk D. 🟨,
  • 56', Plath M. 🟨,
  • 65', Eze J. , Otto Y. ,
  • 65', Steczyk D. , Arweiler J. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Christensen F. , Costly M. (A),
  • 68', Lorenz S. 🟨,
  • 77', Christensen F. , Borchers M. ,
  • 78', Christensen G. , Sekulovic D. ,
  • 79', Besio A. , Stark J. ,
  • 79', Stocker M. , Kijewski N. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Arweiler J. , Otto Y. (A),
  • 90+3', Taz B. , Mannhardt M. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Lorenz S. , Carlsen F. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Verl
44%
Draw
24.5%
Ingolstadt
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 25.2% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 25.3% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Verl's performance.
  • Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Verl that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Verl - Ingolstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.36)
    3.82
    (3.6)
    2.96
    (2.5)
    6.9%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Verl - Ingolstadt?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Verl: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verl won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ingolstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Verl will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Verl won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Verl won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Verl - Ingolstadt were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Verl - Ingolstadt 1:4
    19.10.2024 Ingolstadt - Verl 1:1
    17.03.2024 Ingolstadt - Verl 0:1
    14.10.2023 Verl - Ingolstadt 2:2
    05.11.2022 Verl - Ingolstadt 2:1
    Latest results of Verl
    28.09.2025 Jahn Regensburg - Verl 2:0
    21.09.2025 Verl - Energie Cottbus 2:1
    16.09.2025 Verl - Alemannia Aachen 2:1
    13.09.2025 Hoffenheim II - Verl 2:4
    30.08.2025 Verl - Duisburg 2:3
    Latest results of Ingolstadt
    27.09.2025 Duisburg - Ingolstadt 2:1
    17.09.2025 TSV Havelse - Ingolstadt 2:6
    13.09.2025 Ingolstadt - Schweinfurt 2:3
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg1173123:121124
    2Cottbus1172226:151123
    3Saarbrucken1154221:16519
    4VfL Osnabruck1154215:10519
    5Verl1154223:19419
    6RW Essen1154222:19319
    7Stuttgart II1153315:15018
    8Hoffenheim II1152424:17717
    9Viktoria Koln1152416:11517
    10Mannheim1151520:18216
    11Wehen1144314:14016
    12Munich 18601143417:18-115
    13Ingolstadt1135320:15514
    14Hansa Rostock1135311:12-114
    15Ulm1141618:20-213
    16Regensburg1132611:17-611
    17Aue1132610:18-811
    18Alemannia Aachen1131717:21-410
    19TSV Havelse1104712:25-134
    20Schweinfurt1110107:30-233

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