Result
2:2
01/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 9
- Referee: Besong J. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Steczyk D. ⚽,
- 33', Frode L. ↓, Plath M. ↑,
- 45+1', Ponath M. ↓, Eisele K. ↑,
- 45+3', Scholz J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Steczyk D. 🟨,
- 56', Plath M. 🟨,
- 65', Eze J. ↓, Otto Y. ↑,
- 65', Steczyk D. ↓, Arweiler J. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Christensen F. ⚽, Costly M. (A),
- 68', Lorenz S. 🟨,
- 77', Christensen F. ↓, Borchers M. ↑,
- 78', Christensen G. ↓, Sekulovic D. ↑,
- 79', Besio A. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
- 79', Stocker M. ↓, Kijewski N. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Arweiler J. ⚽, Otto Y. (A),
- 90+3', Taz B. ↓, Mannhardt M. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Lorenz S. ⚽, Carlsen F. (A),
Chances of winning
Verl
44% | Draw
24.5% | Ingolstadt
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Verl's performance.Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Verl that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Verl - Ingolstadt Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.36) |
3.82 ↑
(3.6) |
2.96 ↑
(2.5) |
6.9%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Verl - Ingolstadt?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verl: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verl won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Ingolstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Verl will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Verl won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Verl won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Verl won against Ingolstadt?
Verl has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ingolstadt won against Verl?
Ingolstadt has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Verl - Ingolstadt were as follows:
15.03.2025
Verl
-
Ingolstadt
1:4
19.10.2024
Ingolstadt
-
Verl
1:1
17.03.2024
Ingolstadt
-
Verl
0:1
14.10.2023
Verl
-
Ingolstadt
2:2
05.11.2022
Verl
-
Ingolstadt
2:1
Latest results of Ingolstadt
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Duisburg | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 23 |
| 2 | Saarbrucken | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Cottbus | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21:12 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | VfL Osnabruck | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | RW Essen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:17 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Viktoria Koln | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Mannheim | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Ulm | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Wehen | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 11 | Verl | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Munich 1860 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Alemannia Aachen | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Hansa Rostock | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Aue | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Ingolstadt | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 8 |
| 18 | Regensburg | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10:19 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:25 | -19 | 3 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
