Victoria La Ceiba vs Honduras Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Honduras Liga Nacional Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso
Result
2:2
23/04/2023 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 17

Chances of winning


Victoria La Ceiba
33.7%
Draw
26.3%
Honduras Progreso
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 27.5% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 26.8% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Victoria La Ceiba's form might have worsened.
  • Honduras Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Honduras Progreso's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Victoria La Ceiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Honduras Progreso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.29)
    3.41
    (3.3)
    2.24
    (2.77)
    11.7%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Victoria La Ceiba won 1.
    • Victoria La Ceiba is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Honduras Progreso is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Honduras Progreso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Victoria La Ceiba won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-24.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Victoria La Ceiba won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso were as follows:
    19.02.2023 Honduras Progreso - Victoria La Ceiba 1:1
    19.10.2022 Honduras Progreso - Victoria La Ceiba 2:2
    Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
    Latest results of Honduras Progreso
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia431013:4910
    2Marathon430111:1109
    3Platense430110:379
    4Real Espana43019:369
    5Olancho42118:627
    6Juticalpa41214:10-65
    7UPNFM41125:9-44
    8Genesis31023:4-13
    9Choloma30124:12-81
    10Motagua30032:7-50
    11Victoria30030:10-100

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