Result
1:2
20/07/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 15
- Referee: Thorarinsson V. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (260/332) | 83% (335/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (260/332) | 83% (335/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (17/57) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (43/72) | 69% (79/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Sigurdsson G. 🟨,
- 36', Skoglund A. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Skoglund A. ⚽, Sigurdsson K. (A),
- 42', Thorkelsson R. 🟨,
- 43', Jonsson I. 🟥,
- 45', Sigurdsson G. ↓, Arinbjornsson P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 65', 1 - 1, Agnarsson E. ⚽, Ibrahimagic T. (A),
- 66', Skoglund A. ↓, Heimisson L. ↑,
- 66', Atlason D. ↓, Thorkelsson S. ↑,
- 67', Thorkelsson R. ↓, Borgthorsson O. ↑,
- 73', Ibrahimagic T. 🟨,
- 75', Antonsson B. ↓, Larusson S. ↑,
- 75', Haraldsson T. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
- 77', Ingimundarson V. 🟨,
- 80', Hansen N. ↓, Gudjonsson H. ↑,
- 80', Hafsteinsson D. ↓, Punyed P. ↑,
- 83', Magnusson T. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 2, Pedersen P. ⚽,
- 90', Palsson A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Jonsson J. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
- 90+2', Pedersen P. ↓, Kjartansson O. ↑,
- 90+5', Borgthorsson O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vikingur Reykjavik
44.6% | Draw
27.2% | Valur
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vikingur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Vikingur Reykjavik - Valur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.13) |
3.43 ↑
(3.28) |
3.31 ↓
(3.38) |
7.1%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Vikingur Reykjavik - Valur?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Vikingur (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Vikingur Reykjavik will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vikingur won 2.
- Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
- Vikingur might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vikingur won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:34. (average 2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vikingur won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 2:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vikingur Reykjavik won against Valur?
Vikingur Reykjavik has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against Vikingur Reykjavik?
Valur has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vikingur Reykjavik - Valur were as follows:
28.04.2025
Valur
-
Vikingur Reykjavik
1:1
29.09.2024
Valur
-
Vikingur Reykjavik
2:2
01.09.2024
Vikingur Reykjavik
-
Valur
3:2
18.06.2024
Valur
-
Vikingur Reykjavik
2:2
01.04.2024
Vikingur Reykjavik
-
Valur
2:1
Latest results of Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 46:24 | 22 | 37 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 33:24 | 9 | 32 |
| 3 | Breidablik | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Stjarnan | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 34:30 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Vestri | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Fram | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Hafnarfjordur | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 31:27 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | KA Akureyri | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:32 | -14 | 22 |
| 9 | Vestmannaeyjar | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 21 |
| 10 | KR Reykjavik | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Afturelding | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Akranes | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
